Paul Kelly Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Donald Cerrone Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	3:48	UFC 126: Silva vs. Belfort	Feb 5, 2011
W	TJ O'Brien Lightweight	KO/TKO	Elbows to Head From Crucifix	R2	3:16	UFC 123: Rampage vs. Machida	Nov 20, 2010
L	Jacob Volkmann Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Live: Jones vs. Matyushenko	Aug 1, 2010
W	Matt Veach Lightweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Front Headlock	R2	3:41	UFC 112: Invincible	Apr 10, 2010
L	Dennis Siver Lightweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head In Clinch	R2	2:53	UFC 105: Couture vs. Vera	Nov 14, 2009
W	Rolando Delgado Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 99: The Comeback	Jun 13, 2009
W	Troy Mandaloniz Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 95: Sanchez vs. Stevenson	Feb 21, 2009
L	Marcus Davis Welterweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Bottom Guard	R2	2:16	UFC 89: Bisping vs. Leben	Oct 18, 2008
W	Paul Taylor Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 80: Rapid Fire	Jan 19, 2008

Outside the UFC

10-1across 11 bouts · 10 promotions · wins by 7 KO · 3 subCage Warriors · Probellum MMA · UWC 22 · UCMMA 31 · SFL 2 +5

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Simone Bottino5-11	KO/TKO	Submission to Strikes	R2	0:00	Probellum MMA	Mar 7, 2020
W	Henrique Santana7-7	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:47	UWC 22	Mar 2, 2013
W	Richard Griffin6-11	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	2:52	UCMMA 31	Dec 1, 2012
L	Ryan Healy25-14-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	SFL 2	Apr 7, 2012
W	Jordan James9-10	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	2:40	CG 4	Aug 5, 2007
W	Sami Berik14-37	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:27	Cage Warriors	Jul 21, 2007
W	Marius Liaukevicius12-13	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R1	1:10	COW	Jul 14, 2007
W	Bruce Davis4-4	KO/TKO	Cut	R1	3:38	HOP 6	Jul 30, 2006
W	James Neal1-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:02	UF 1	Nov 26, 2005
W	Nigel Whitear8-18	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:54	FX3	Oct 15, 2005
W	Ian McAleese0-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:21	Cage Warriors	Jul 29, 2005

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

8 wins, 1 loss

W8

L1

Submission

4 wins, 2 losses

W4

L2

Decision

3 wins, 2 losses

W3

L2

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Below avg · 13%Welterweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.11

Below avg · 0.24Welterweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 7%Welterweight

Submission attempts / fight

1.11

Above avg · 0.39Welterweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Paul Kelly

PowerChin

Knockout rate

11%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.40 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

3

1.81 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Decision behavior

Judging

2 scorecards on file

Paul Kelly

Unanimous2 decisions · 100%

2W

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC57th

37%325 / 856

Striking accuracy

59%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.61 differential

Landed3.22

Absorbed2.61

45%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-4%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head77%70th251
Body15%44th48
Leg8%40th26

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

51%Ground

Standing34%112
Clinch14%46
Ground51%167

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Paul Kelly

Landed per 15

Head

A

78th

37.3

78th

Body

D

39th

7.1

39th

Leg

D

31st

3.9

31st

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

B

66th

24.7

66th

Body

A

71st

6.5

71st

Leg

C

43rd

7.9

43rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	37.3	251	761	33%
Body	7.1	48	59	81%
Leg	3.9	26	36	72%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	24.7	166	517	32%
Body	6.5	44	63	70%
Leg	7.9	53	70	76%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Paul Kelly

60%

Takedown accuracy

31%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+2.4 min net

On top5.9

On bottom3.5

Offense

Takedowns

C

58th

1.3

58th

TD accuracy

A

79th

60%

79th

Sub attempts

A

83rd

1.5

83rd

Control

A

78th

5.9 min

78th

Defense

TD defense

F

17th

31%

17th

Controlled

3.5 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	9 / 15
Submission attempts	10
Control time	39:58

Defense

TDs defended	8 / 26
Control absorbed	23:38

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (101min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Paul Kelly

9 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 101 min

101%

R3 pace · 4 bouts

Kelly builds (+15% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Kelly sustains 101% of round-1 output by round 3 (4 bouts).

Kelly ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Kellylanded / min

Takedown attempts

Kellyattempts / min

Control time

Kelly% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.8	3.2	3.4	0.16	28%	9
R2	5.2	3.0	2.3	0.08	47%	9
R3	6.4	3.6	1.6	0.25	51%	4

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Paul Kelly

9 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

32/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

D

26th

24%

26th

Win quality

D

42nd

37%

42nd

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

4

Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Cross-div rankedRanked #1–#15 in another division at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-5	1	0-1	0%
Cross-div ranked	1	0-1	0%
Contender-level	1	0-1	0%
Established	1	0-1	0%
Building	1	1-0	100%
Unproven	4	4-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Donald Cerrone	Top-5	59	Feb 5, 2011
W	TJ O'Brien	Unproven	8	Nov 20, 2010
L	Jacob Volkmann	Established	22	Aug 1, 2010
W	Matt Veach	Unproven	8	Apr 10, 2010
L	Dennis Siver	Cross-div ranked	36	Nov 14, 2009
W	Rolando Delgado	Unproven	8	Jun 13, 2009
W	Troy Mandaloniz	Unproven	8	Feb 21, 2009
L	Marcus Davis	Contender-level	40	Oct 18, 2008
W	Paul Taylor	Building	15	Jan 19, 2008

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

9 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

0-1

1 bout

Typical camp

100–180 days

4-2

6 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-1

1 bout

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

3-0

3 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

1-4

5 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

6y 4mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Paul Kelly

Extended layoff

6y 4mosince last bout

vs Simone Bottino · Mar 7, 2020

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 2-1As underdog 1-3

68.4

DK avg

83.7

Median

121.2

Ceiling

10.2

Floor

56%

Boom

33%

Bust

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