Tristan Connelly Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	#14Darren Elkins Featherweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	Apr 30, 2022
L	Pat Sabatini Featherweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2	Apr 24, 2021
W	Michel Pereira Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje	Sep 14, 2019

Outside the UFC

13-7across 20 bouts · 19 promotions · wins by 4 KO · 9 subCageSport MMA · BFL 74 · Rise FC 4 · FFC 36 · Unified MMA 31 +14

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Xavier Nash9-9	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	BFL 74	Oct 12, 2022
W	D'Juan Owens18-17-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R5	1:56	Rise FC 4	Jul 27, 2019
W	Zach Juusola15-10	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R1	2:46	FFC 36	May 9, 2019
W	Tyrone Henderson9-5-1	KO/TKO	Retirement	R1	5:00	CageSport MMA	Dec 15, 2018
W	Joey Pierotti13-2	Submission	Armbar	R4	1:06	CageSport MMA	Apr 28, 2018
L	Shane Campbell24-8	Submission	Kneebar	R3	4:54	Unified MMA 31	Jun 9, 2017
W	Lenny Wheeler11-6	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R3	3:47	Elite 1 MMA	May 6, 2017
W	Garret Nybakken13-9	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R3	2:47	Unified MMA 30	Mar 31, 2017
W	Adam Assenza19-10-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	1:11	Z Promotions	Oct 28, 2016
W	Ash Mashreghi10-10	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:24	BFL 45	Sep 17, 2016
L	Mario Pereira5-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	BFL 39	Oct 17, 2015
W	Shawn Albrecht11-7	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	4:21	BFL 37	Jul 25, 2015
W	Jonathan Dubois1-8	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:48	AFC 18	May 19, 2013
L	Myles Merola11-8	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	AFC 13	Nov 3, 2012
W	Cory Houston5-4	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	4:47	AFC 11	Sep 15, 2012
L	Matt Trudeau3-1	KO/TKO	Retirement	R1	5:00	AFC 7	Nov 5, 2011
W	Upneet Rai2-4	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:30	AFC 6	Jun 18, 2011
L	Dan Ring5-3-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	AFC 4	Nov 6, 2010
L	Takahiro Kajita18-18-5	Decision	Unanimous	R2	5:00	Deep	Jul 11, 2010
W	Jimmy Phan0-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:26	AFC 2	Mar 6, 2010

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

4 wins, 1 loss

W4

L1

Submission

9 wins, 1 loss

W9

L1

Decision

1 win, 7 losses

W1

L7

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 11%Featherweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.00

Below avg · 0.23Featherweight

UFC submissions

0

Below avg · 7%Featherweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.33

Below avg · 0.40Featherweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Tristan Connelly

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.00 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

1

1.03 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikes · Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

3 scorecards on file

Tristan Connelly

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

No split or majority decisions on file — this read comes from contested rounds alone. Judges have given them 2 of 3 rounds they disagreed on (67%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

None on file

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

2–1

Won – Lost

67% went their way

Unanimous3 decisions · 100%

1W2L

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

2 rounds total

2

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC54th

51%149 / 292

Striking accuracy

50%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.35 differential

Landed3.31

Absorbed2.96

55%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+1%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head73%60th109
Body15%43rd22
Leg12%46th18

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

53%Standing

Standing53%79
Clinch26%39
Ground21%31

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Tristan Connelly

Landed per 15

Head

B

64th

36.3

64th

Body

D

29th

7.3

29th

Leg

D

35th

6.0

35th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

51st

32.3

51st

Body

C

47th

11.0

47th

Leg

A+

97th

1.0

97th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	36.3	109	243	45%
Body	7.3	22	31	71%
Leg	6.0	18	18	100%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	32.3	97	221	44%
Body	11.0	33	46	72%
Leg	1.0	3	4	75%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Tristan Connelly

14%

Takedown accuracy

60%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-4.3 min net

On top2.7

On bottom7.0

Offense

Takedowns

C

43rd

0.3

43rd

TD accuracy

14%

Sub attempts

B

60th

0.3

60th

Control

C

55th

2.7 min

55th

Defense

TD defense

C

52nd

60%

52nd

Controlled

7.0 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	1 / 7
Submission attempts	1
Control time	8:02

Defense

TDs defended	12 / 20
Control absorbed	20:53

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (45min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Tristan Connelly

3 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 45 min

213%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Connelly builds (+38% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Connelly lifts to 213% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Connelly ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Connellylanded / min

Takedown attempts

Connellyattempts / min

Control time

Connelly% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	3.0	1.7	3.1	0.27	14%	3
R2	4.0	3.7	3.3	0.07	1%	3
R3	6.5	4.5	2.5	0.13	38%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Tristan Connelly

3 resolved UFC bouts · 1 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

35/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A

79th

50%

79th

Win quality

F

20th

29%

20th

Limited UFC sample (3 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

2

1

Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-15	2	1-1	50%
Contender-level	1	0-1	0%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Strong

Opponents' combined record

202-141-9

.589 win rate

Winning-record opponents

14 of 20

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

20

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Darren Elkins#14	Top-15	67	Apr 30, 2022
L	Pat Sabatini	Contender-level	32	Apr 24, 2021
W	Michel Pereira	Top-15	43	Sep 14, 2019

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

3 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

—

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-2

2 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

0-1

1 bout

After a win

next bout after a win

0-1

1 bout

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

3y 8mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Tristan Connelly

Extended layoff

3y 8mosince last bout

vs Xavier Nash · Oct 12, 2022

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs underdog 1-2

49.4

DK avg

36.1

Median

83.3

Ceiling

28.6

Floor

33%

Boom

0%

Bust

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