Proprietary metrics · Upset Index

Upset Index

The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.

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Leaderboard

18 fighters · / 100

1
Chan Sung Jung
5-4 as underdog · 56%
48.6
2
Pablo Garza
3-2 as underdog · 60%
47.9
3
Steven Siler
3-2 as underdog · 60%
47.9
4
Akira Corassani
3-2 as underdog · 60%
47.9
5
Bill Algeo
3-2 as underdog · 60%
47.9
6
Gabriel Benitez
3-3 as underdog · 50%
43.1
7
Damon Jackson
3-4 as underdog · 43%
39.2
8
Godofredo Pepey
3-4 as underdog · 43%
39.2
9
Steven Peterson
2-3 as underdog · 40%
36.8
10
Darrick Minner
2-3 as underdog · 40%
36.8
11
Sheymon Moraes
2-3 as underdog · 40%
36.8
12
Daniel Pineda
3-5 as underdog · 38%
35.9
13
Makwan Amirkhani
3-5 as underdog · 38%
35.9
14
Ricardo Lamas
3-5 as underdog · 38%
35.9
15
Alex Caceres
4-8 as underdog · 33%
33.2
16
Sam Sicilia
2-5 as underdog · 29%
30.1
17
Kyle Bochniak
1-4 as underdog · 20%
25.7
18
Charles Rosa
1-5 as underdog · 17%
23.1