MMA Index
Proprietary metrics · Upset Index

Upset Index

The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.

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Leaderboard

17 fighters · / 100
  1. 1
    Chan Sung Jung
    Chan Sung Jung
    5-4 as underdog · 56%
    48.6
  2. 2
    Akira Corassani
    Akira Corassani
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  3. 3
    Steven Siler
    Steven Siler
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  4. 4
    Pablo Garza
    Pablo Garza
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  5. 5
    Damon Jackson
    Damon Jackson
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  6. 6
    Gabriel Benitez
    Gabriel Benitez
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  7. 7
    GP
    Godofredo Pepey
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  8. 8
    Darrick Minner
    Darrick Minner
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  9. 9
    Steven Peterson
    Steven Peterson
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  10. 10
    Sheymon Moraes
    Sheymon Moraes
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  11. 11
    Ricardo Lamas
    Ricardo Lamas
    3-5 as underdog · 38%
    35.9
  12. 12
    Daniel Pineda
    Daniel Pineda
    3-5 as underdog · 38%
    35.9
  13. 13
    Makwan Amirkhani
    Makwan Amirkhani
    3-5 as underdog · 38%
    35.9
  14. 14
    Alex Caceres
    Alex Caceres
    4-7 as underdog · 36%
    35.4
  15. 15
    Sam Sicilia
    Sam Sicilia
    2-5 as underdog · 29%
    30.1
  16. 16
    Kyle Bochniak
    Kyle Bochniak
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7
  17. 17
    Charles Rosa
    Charles Rosa
    1-5 as underdog · 17%
    23.1