MMA Index
Proprietary metrics · Upset Index

Upset Index

The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.

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Leaderboard

10 fighters · / 100
  1. 1
    Jan Blachowicz
    Jan Blachowicz
    10-3 as underdog · 77%
    66.5
  2. 2
    Nikita Krylov
    Nikita Krylov
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  3. 3
    Khalil Rountree Jr.
    Khalil Rountree Jr.
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  4. 4
    Volkan Oezdemir
    Volkan Oezdemir
    5-5 as underdog · 50%
    45.1
  5. 5
    Alonzo Menifield
    Alonzo Menifield
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  6. 6
    Anthony Smith
    Anthony Smith
    5-6 as underdog · 45%
    42.1
  7. 7
    Paul Craig
    Paul Craig
    5-6 as underdog · 45%
    42.1
  8. 8
    Johnny Walker
    Johnny Walker
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  9. 9
    Ion Cutelaba
    Ion Cutelaba
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  10. 10
    Brendson Ribeiro
    Brendson Ribeiro
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7