MMA Index
Proprietary metrics · Upset Index

Upset Index

The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.

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Leaderboard

18 fighters · / 100
  1. 1
    Belal Muhammad
    Belal Muhammad
    7-4 as underdog · 64%
    55.4
  2. 2
    Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
    Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
    4-2 as underdog · 67%
    53.1
  3. 3
    Alex Morono
    Alex Morono
    5-4 as underdog · 56%
    48.6
  4. 4
    Nicolas Dalby
    Nicolas Dalby
    4-3 as underdog · 57%
    48.3
  5. 5
    Neil Magny
    Neil Magny
    10-10 as underdog · 50%
    47.1
  6. 6
    Leon Edwards
    Leon Edwards
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  7. 7
    Niko Price
    Niko Price
    5-6 as underdog · 45%
    42.1
  8. 8
    Santiago Ponzinibbio
    Santiago Ponzinibbio
    3-4 as underdog · 43%
    39.2
  9. 9
    Stephen Thompson
    Stephen Thompson
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  10. 10
    Carlston Harris
    Carlston Harris
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  11. 11
    Geoff Neal
    Geoff Neal
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  12. 12
    Adam Fugitt
    Adam Fugitt
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  13. 13
    Randy Brown
    Randy Brown
    3-6 as underdog · 33%
    33.2
  14. 14
    Gilbert Burns
    Gilbert Burns
    3-6 as underdog · 33%
    33.2
  15. 15
    Court McGee
    Court McGee
    3-6 as underdog · 33%
    33.2
  16. 16
    Phil Rowe
    Phil Rowe
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  17. 17
    Max Griffin
    Max Griffin
    2-8 as underdog · 20%
    23.7
  18. 18
    Rhys McKee
    Rhys McKee
    1-5 as underdog · 17%
    23.1