Proprietary metrics · Upset Index

Upset Index

The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.

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Leaderboard

22 fighters · / 100

1
Daniel Rodriguez
4-1 as underdog · 80%
59.0
2
Nicolas Dalby
6-3 as underdog · 67%
56.2
3
Belal Muhammad
7-4 as underdog · 64%
55.4
4
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
5-3 as underdog · 63%
52.6
5
Neil Magny
11-10 as underdog · 52%
49.2
6
Muslim Salikhov
3-2 as underdog · 60%
47.9
7
Alex Morono
6-6 as underdog · 50%
45.7
8
Leon Edwards
3-3 as underdog · 50%
43.1
9
Ramiz Brahimaj
3-3 as underdog · 50%
43.1
10
Santiago Ponzinibbio
3-4 as underdog · 43%
39.2
11
Court McGee
4-6 as underdog · 40%
37.9
12
Niko Price
5-8 as underdog · 38%
37.1
13
Stephen Thompson
2-3 as underdog · 40%
36.8
14
Geoff Neal
2-3 as underdog · 40%
36.8
15
Phil Rowe
3-5 as underdog · 38%
35.9
16
Gilbert Burns
3-6 as underdog · 33%
33.2
17
Randy Brown
3-6 as underdog · 33%
33.2
18
Adam Fugitt
2-4 as underdog · 33%
33.1
19
Song Kenan
2-4 as underdog · 33%
33.1
20
Carlston Harris
2-4 as underdog · 33%
33.1
21
Max Griffin
3-9 as underdog · 25%
27.0
22
Rhys McKee
1-5 as underdog · 17%
23.1