Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Anthony Hernandez

edge

Gregory Rodrigues

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

A+

94th

2.7

Even

A+

95th

2.8

Defense

C

49th

51%

+20

D

29th

50%

KO power

D

3 KO

0.0 KD

+24

B

12 KO

0.6 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Hernandez

Hernandez has the bigger wrestling edge on Rodrigues

Takedowns landed

A+

99th

5.9

+29

A

70th

1.9

Takedown accuracy

B

67th

48%

+20

C

46th

36%

Takedown defense

C

55th

68%

+10

B

65th

75%

Control time

A+

97th

7.9 min

+48

C

49th

2.8 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Hernandez

Hernandez is the bigger submission threat on Rodrigues

Submission attempts

A+

86th

1.6

+37

C

49th

0.4

Sub win rate

A+

86th

60%

9 subs

+26

B

60th

16%

3 subs

Submission defense

C

42nd

6%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finishing threats

Finish rate

C

57th

78%

Even

C

54th

70%

KO durability

C

50th

17%

Even

C

52nd

15%

Submission defense

D

37th

8%

+8

C

46th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Hernandez

Hernandez pushes the higher work rate over five rounds

Work rate / min — full fight

9.6

7.6

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

8.5

7.5

Pace trend

+11%/rd

+9%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Rodrigues ▸

Rodrigues is in better recent form than Hernandez

Win rate (career)

75%

Even

77%

After a win

78%

67%

Last 5

80%

Even

80%

Win streakL1W3

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

57%

49%

Win quality

69%

Even

69%

Ranked opponents

5

Even

5

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Common opps (2)2-02-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

5mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

5

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Rodrigues ▸

Rodrigues 8 cm · Closed-stance matchup

Anthony HernandezvsGregory Rodrigues

32

Age

2y

younger

34

6'0"

183cm

Height

3"

taller

6'3"

191cm

75"

191cm

Reach

Even

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Anthony HernandezGregory Rodrigues

Percentile

Striking/min4.575.53

Accuracy%60%51%

Defense%51%50%

Takedowns/155.91.9

TD defense%68%75%

Submissions/151.60.4

Career rate as a percentile within the middleweight (353 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

HernandezAnthony Hernandez

RodriguesGregory Rodrigues

0-10%

As pick'em

—

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

HernandezAnthony Hernandez

Stat

RodriguesGregory Rodrigues

2

KO / TKO

7

2

5

1

Submission

0

2

0

Decision

3

1

11:25

Avg fight time

8:57

Anthony Hernandez’s splits

vs Rodrigues

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

2-250%

vs Shorter reach

4-180%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Gregory Rodrigues’s splits

vs Hernandez

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

1-150%

vs Longer reach

4-180%

vs Shorter reach

5-271%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Anthony HernandezvsGregory Rodrigues

32

Age

2y

younger

34

6'0"

183cm

Height

3"

taller

6'3"

191cm

75"

191cm

Reach

Even

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

61st

Even

B

63rd

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Hernandez’s offensevsRodrigues’s defense

Where Hernandez attacks (green = high volume) vs where Rodrigues gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Hernandez’s green zones meeting Rodrigues’s red zones are the openings.

Anthony HernandezOffense

Head80%90th498
Body12%53rd76
Leg7%44th46

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Gregory RodriguesDefense

Head58%27th321
Body22%16th120
Leg20%15th108

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Hernandez — by position

50%Standing

Standing50%307
Clinch12%72
Ground39%241

Rodrigues — absorbed by position

86%Standing

Standing86%473
Clinch12%66
Ground2%10

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Hernandez’s offensevsRodrigues’s defense

Head

A+

90th

48.2

+62

D

27th

38.8

Body

C

53rd

8.7

+37

F

16th

13.8

Leg

C

44th

5.6

+29

F

15th

12.1

Rodrigues’s offensevsHernandez’s defense

Head

A+

91st

52.0

+51

D

40th

33.5

Body

A+

86th

15.5

+42

C

44th

9.3

Leg

D

39th

5.0

+31

B

69th

4.3

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Anthony Hernandez	top 10% of division48.2	56%	below division average33.5	498
Head	Gregory Rodrigues	top 9% of division52.0	46%	well below average38.8	473
Body	Anthony Hernandez	around division average8.7	89%	below division average9.3	76
Body	Gregory Rodrigues	top 14% of division15.5	81%	well below average13.8	137
Leg	Anthony Hernandez	below division average5.6	94%	above division average4.3	46
Leg	Gregory Rodrigues	below division average5.0	80%	well below average12.1	32

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Anthony Hernandez

Gregory Rodrigues

Overall Grappling

Grappling

A

79th

+23

C

56th

Hernandez has the grappling edge (+23).

Takedowns

A+

96th

5.9

+30

B

66th

1.9

Takedown accuracy

B

67th

48%

54/112

+20

C

46th

36%

15/42

Takedown defense

C

55th

68%

15/22

+10

B

65th

75%

9/12

Submission threat

A

85th

1.6

+31

C

53rd

0.4

Control time

A+

92nd

7.9 min

+42

C

51st

2.8 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Anthony Hernandez	Gregory Rodrigues
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	5.954	1.915
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	48%54 / 112	36%15 / 42
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	68%15 / 22	75%9 / 12
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	1.615	0.43
Control time / 15 (min)career total	7.9 min71:45	2.8 min21:44
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.7 min15:40	1.0 min8:05

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

Every UFC opponent both fighters have faced — a direct comparison controlling for matchmaking.

Anthony Hernandez

Gregory Rodrigues

Record vs common opponents

Even

2-0

2-0

2-0

2-0

Both won

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

Both won

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Anthony Hernandez

64

Schedule Score

Gregory Rodrigues

56

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

137 min

12 bouts

Octagon time

21 min

more

116 min

13 bouts

Schedule strength

57%

49%

Win quality

69%

Even

69%

Ranked opponents

5

Even

5

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Anthony Hernandez	Gregory Rodrigues
Champion	0-1	—
Top-5	1-0	1-1
Top-15	4-1	4-1
Contender-level	1-0	1-0
Established	1-0	1-0
Building	—	1-1
Unproven	2-1	2-0

Anthony Hernandez — bouts

Gregory Rodrigues — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Anthony Hernandez

Gregory Rodrigues

Hernandez — last 5

recent → old

Rodrigues — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

4-1

Even

4-1

Current streak

L1

W3

Ranked opps

4 of 5

Even

4 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

Even

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Anthony Hernandez

Gregory Rodrigues

Post-result bounce

SituationHernandez Rodrigues

After a loss

2-0100%

3-0100%

After a win

7-278%

6-367%

Camp length

SituationHernandez Rodrigues

Short turnaround< 100 days

—

1-0100%

Typical camp100–180 days

3-0100%

7-278%

Long layoff> 180 days

6-275%

1-150%

Rematches

SituationHernandez Rodrigues

All rematchesany repeat opponent

—

1-0100%

Revenge boutslost the first

—

1-0100%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Anthony Hernandez

Gregory Rodrigues

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Hernandez12W–3L by finish

R1

R2

R3

R4

R5

Rodrigues15W–3L by finish · 60% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

R4

R5

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

20:00

25:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

C

51st

80%

Even

C

50th

79%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

17%

24%

KO durability

↑5%·Hernandez

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑5%·Hernandez

C

43rd

11%

+16

D

27th

16%

Submission defense

↑6%·Rodrigues

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑6%·Rodrigues

C

47th

6%

+19

B

66th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Anthony Hernandez	Gregory Rodrigues
Wins
by KO / TKO	3(20%)	12(63%)
by submission	9(60%)	3(16%)
by decision	3(20%)	4(21%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(67%)	4(67%)
by submission	1(33%)	0(0%)
by decision	0(0%)	2(33%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Anthony Hernandez

vs

Gregory Rodrigues

17%

2 KO/TKO in 12 bouts

Knockout rate

50%

7 KO/TKO in 14 bouts

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

8

1.7 / 100 head

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

2

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

3

0.9 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Anthony HernandezFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Sean Strickland4 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026 · R3 · 2:23
Last time submitted
vs Markus Perez7y 5mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · Feb 2, 2019 · R2 · 1:07

Gregory RodriguesFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Jared Cannonier1y 4mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025 · R4 · 0:21
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Anthony Hernandez

126%

R3 vs R1 · 7 bouts reaching R3

Gregory Rodrigues

142%

R3 vs R1 · 6 bouts reaching R3

No clear cardio edge — Hernandez builds (+11% per round through round 4) and Rodrigues builds (+9% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Hernandez lifts to 126% of round-1 output by round 3, Rodrigues 142%.

Hernandez ▲ BUILDS

Rodrigues ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Hernandez

Rodrigueslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Hernandez

Rodriguesattempts / min

Control time

Hernandez

Rodrigues% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Anthony Hernandez	7.9	3.7	3.9	0.92	36%	12
R1	Gregory Rodrigues	6.5	5.1	4.1	0.23	19%	13
R2	Anthony Hernandez	9.0	5.0	3.1	0.65	53%	11
R2	Gregory Rodrigues	8.4	6.0	5.2	0.55	19%	8
R3	Anthony Hernandez	10.4	4.9	2.3	0.83	75%	7
R3	Gregory Rodrigues	7.8	5.9	5.1	0.39	19%	6
R4	Anthony Hernandez	11.0	5.0	0.6	0.90	81%	2
R4	Gregory Rodrigues	0.0	0.0	25.7	0.00	0%	1
R5	Anthony Hernandez	16.7	9.3	0.4	1.27	89%	1
R5	Gregory Rodrigues	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.