Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Aoriqileng

edge

Kai Asakura

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

A+

86th

2.3

+69

F

16th

0.7

Defense

F

16th

48%

+29

C

46th

52%

KO power

D

9 KO

0.3 KD

+18

C

14 KO

0.3 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng has the bigger wrestling edge on Asakura

Takedowns landed

C

51st

1.2

+44

F

7th

0.0

Takedown accuracy47%—

Takedown defense

C

45th

60%

Even

D

38th

50%

Control time

D

39th

1.8 min

+30

F

9th

0.4 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng is the bigger submission threat on Asakura

Submission attempts

C

44th

0.2

+25

F

19th

0.0

Sub win rate

C

54th

4%

1 sub

Even

B

60th

14%

3 subs

Submission defense

D

35th

8%

Even

D

35th

7%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Asakura ▸

Asakura is more likely to finish Aoriqileng

Finish rate

D

40th

50%

+25

B

65th

100%

KO durability

D

28th

22%

+16

C

44th

0%

Submission defense

D

41st

0%

+31

F

11th

67%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

5.5

2.4

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

5.0

2.4

Pace trend+22%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Comparable recent form

Win rate (career)

44%

33%

After a win25%—

Last 5

50%

60%

Win streakL1W1

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

22%

55%

Win quality

36%

0%

Ranked opponents

0

2

Title-holder bouts

0

1

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng has fought more often lately than Asakura

Last bout

3mo

Even

3mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

Even

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Asakura ▸

Asakura 3 cm · Closed-stance matchup

AoriqilengvsKai Asakura

33

Age

1y

younger

32

5'7"

170cm

Height

1"

taller

5'8"

173cm

69"

175cm

Reach

Even

69"

175cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

AoriqilengKai Asakura

Percentile

Striking/min4.692.27

Accuracy%49%32%

Defense%48%52%

Takedowns/151.20.0

TD defense%58%50%

Submissions/150.00.0

Career rate as a percentile within the bantamweight (244 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Kai Asakura, from opponents’ full pro records

Kai Asakura

Strong

Opponents' combined record

433-207-25

.677 win rate

Winning-record opponents

15 of 25

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

25

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 1m ago

Aoriqileng

Consensus

21%▲ 2

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Aoriqileng

Kalshi21¢bestSportsbook+35021%

Kai Asakura

Consensus

79%▲ 2

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Asakura

Kalshi80¢bestSportsbook-45079%

Aoriqileng 21%79% Asakura

$266 vol · $256 OI$3k vol · $3k OI

Sportsbook

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over37%+165
Under63%-175

UFC betting history

Career

AoriqilengAoriqileng

AsakuraKai Asakura

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi77%79%2 pts

Sportsbook77%79%1 pt

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

AoriqilengAoriqileng

Stat

AsakuraKai Asakura

2

KO / TKO

1

0

Submission

0

2

3

Decision

0

9:36

Avg fight time

6:11

Aoriqileng’s splits

vs Asakura

vs Southpaw

0-10%

vs Switch

2-167%

vs Longer reach

3-0100%

vs Shorter reach

1-325%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Kai Asakura’s splits

vs Aoriqileng

vs Southpaw

0-10%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-20%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

AoriqilengvsKai Asakura

33

Age

1y

younger

32

5'7"

170cm

Height

1"

taller

5'8"

173cm

69"

175cm

Reach

Even

69"

175cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

46th

Even

D

38th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Aoriqileng’s offensevsAsakura’s defense

Where Aoriqileng attacks (green = high volume) vs where Asakura gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Aoriqileng’s green zones meeting Asakura’s red zones are the openings.

AoriqilengOffense

Head66%74th245
Body24%74th89
Leg10%51st38

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Kai AsakuraDefense

Head58%46th36
Body11%55th7
Leg31%31st19

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Aoriqileng — by position

82%Standing

Standing82%305
Clinch6%21
Ground12%46

Asakura — absorbed by position

95%Standing

Standing95%59
Clinch3%2
Ground2%1

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Aoriqileng’s offensevsAsakura’s defense

Head

A

74th

38.8

+28

C

46th

34.5

Body

A

74th

13.9

+19

C

55th

9.9

Leg

C

51st

7.2

+19

D

31st

10.9

Asakura’s offensevsAoriqileng’s defense

Head

C

50th

30.1

+37

F

13th

52.7

Body

C

54th

10.1

+11

C

43rd

11.3

Leg

C

46th

6.8

+8

C

54th

7.7

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Aoriqileng	top 26% of division38.8	41%	bottom of the division52.7	245
Head	Kai Asakura	around division average30.1	28%	around division average34.5	33
Body	Aoriqileng	top 26% of division13.9	84%	below division average11.3	89
Body	Kai Asakura	around division average10.1	67%	above division average9.9	10
Leg	Aoriqileng	around division average7.2	90%	around division average7.7	38
Leg	Kai Asakura	around division average6.8	67%	below division average10.9	4

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Aoriqileng

Kai Asakura

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

52nd

Even

C

47th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

54th

1.2

Even

C

48th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

B

64th

47%

7/15

—

Takedown defense

C

45th

60%

25/42

Even

D

38th

50%

5/10

Submission threat

C

51st

0.2

Even

B

59th

0.0

Control time

C

45th

1.8 min

Even

C

44th

0.4 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Aoriqileng	Kai Asakura
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.27	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	47%7 / 15	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	60%25 / 42	50%5 / 10
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.21	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.8 min10:36	0.4 min0:28
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	5.2 min30:09	3.8 min4:40

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Aoriqileng

30

Schedule Score

Kai Asakura

33

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

86 min

9 bouts

Octagon time

67 min

more

19 min

3 bouts

Schedule strength

22%

55%

Win quality

36%

0%

Ranked opponents

0

2

Title-holder bouts

0

1

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Aoriqileng	Kai Asakura
Champion	—	0-1
Top-5	—	0-1
Ranked 6–15	0-3	—
Established	0-0, 1 NC	—
Building	0-1	—
Unproven	4-1	1-0

Aoriqileng — bouts

Kai Asakura — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Aoriqileng

Kai Asakura

Aoriqileng — last 5

recent → old

Asakura — last 5

recent → old

WRIZIN

KO R2

Archuleta

Dec ’23

WRIZIN

KO R3

Motoya

May ’23

Last 5 record

2-2

3-2

Current streak

L1

W1

Ranked opps

0 of 5

2 of 5

Layoff

3 mo

Even

3 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Aoriqileng

Kai Asakura

Post-result bounce

SituationAoriqileng Asakura

After a loss

3-175%

1-150%

After a win

1-325%

—

Camp length

SituationAoriqileng Asakura

Typical camp100–180 days

3-0100%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

1-420%

1-150%

Title fights

SituationAoriqileng Asakura

All title fightschallenger or champ

—

0-10%

As challengerfor the belt

—

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Aoriqileng

Kai Asakura

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Aoriqileng10W–5L by finish · 90% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Asakura17W–5L by finish · 76% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑39%·Asakura

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑39%·Asakura

F

15th

38%

+41

C

56th

77%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

62%

21%

KO durability

↑6%·Aoriqileng

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑6%·Aoriqileng

B

63rd

5%

+16

C

48th

11%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

C

57th

8%

Even

C

57th

7%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Aoriqileng	Kai Asakura
Wins
by KO / TKO	9(35%)	14(64%)
by submission	1(4%)	3(14%)
by decision	16(62%)	5(23%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(15%)	3(50%)
by submission	3(23%)	2(33%)
by decision	8(62%)	1(17%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Aoriqileng

vs

Kai Asakura

22%

2 KO/TKO in 9 bouts

Knockout rate

33%

1 KO/TKO in 3 bouts

3

1.2 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

3.0 / 100 head

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

4

1.1 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

AoriqilengFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Cody Haddon2 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · May 30, 2026 · R2 · 2:11
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Kai AsakuraFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
vs Tim Elliott1 year ago
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025 · R2 · 4:39

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Aoriqileng

205%

R3 vs R1 · 5 bouts reaching R3

Kai Asakura

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Aoriqileng lifts to 205% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Asakura hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Aoriqileng ▲ BUILDS

AsakuraOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Aoriqileng

Asakuralanded / min

Takedown attempts

Aoriqileng

Asakuraattempts / min

Control time

Aoriqileng

Asakura% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Aoriqileng	4.0	3.2	3.4	0.15	10%	9
R1	Kai Asakura	3.1	3.0	4.2	0.00	4%	3
R2	Aoriqileng	6.0	5.0	5.0	0.11	15%	6
R2	Kai Asakura	1.8	1.8	1.8	0.00	0%	2
R3	Aoriqileng	6.4	5.1	8.0	0.28	12%	5
R3	Kai Asakura	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.