Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan — Middleweight at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Rounds
- 3 × 5 min
- Venue
- Meta Apex · Las Vegas, Nevada
Markets
- Allen68%-237
- Shahbazyan32%+197
Record when favored vs. an underdog, across the 18priced bouts in each fighter’s history.
Percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.
Career splits
18 bouts · vs Shahbazyan
- KO/TKO2
- Submission7
- Decision5
- KO/TKO2
- Submission0
- Decision2
- Average11:33
- vs Orthodox5-4
- vs Southpaw9-0
- vs Switchno data
- vs Longer reach5-1
- vs Shorter reach5-0
14 bouts · vs Allen
- KO/TKO6
- Submission1
- Decision2
- KO/TKO3
- Submission1
- Decision1
- Average7:54
- vs Orthodox6-3
- vs Southpaw1-2
- vs Switch2-0
- vs Longer reach3-3
- vs Shorter reach5-0
Tale of the Tape
The biometric and experience deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every UFC finish on the fight clockFull method breakdown
| Outcome | Brendan Allen | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 214% | 667% |
| by submission | 750% | 111% |
| by decision | 536% | 222% |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 250% | 360% |
| by submission | 00% | 120% |
| by decision | 250% | 120% |
| Pace | ||
| Avg finish time (own wins) | R2 3:49 | R1 3:34 |
| Finishes used in avg | 9 | 7 |
Counts come from the same denormalised win/loss-by-method columns the rest of the site uses. The percentile context on each row is computed against fighters currently assigned to this weight class with at least two resolved UFC bouts.
KO history
Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head — then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Reinier de Ridder7 months agoUFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025 · R4 · 5:00* between-rounds stoppage · not a clean KO
- Last time KO'dvs Chris Curtis4y 5mo agoUFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 4, 2021 · R2 · 1:58
- Last submission scoredvs Paul Craig2y 6mo agoUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023 · R3 · 0:38
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
- Last KO/TKO scoredvs Andre Muniz7 months agoUFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · Oct 4, 2025 · R1 · 4:58
- Last time KO'dvs Anthony Hernandez3 years agoUFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023 · R3 · 1:01
- Last submission scoredvs Jack Marshman6y 10mo agoUFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 6, 2019 · R1 · 1:12
- Last time submittedvs Gerald Meerschaert1y 9mo agoUFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024 · R2 · 4:12
Common opponents
Every UFC opponent both fighters have faced — a direct comparison controlling for matchmaking.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Brendan Allen | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Top-5 | 1-1 | — |
| Top-15 | 6-1 | 2-2 |
| Cross-div ranked | 1-0 | — |
| Contender-level | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Building | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Unproven | 2-1 | 4-0 |
- W vs Reinier de Ridder#481Oct 18, 2025 · Top-5
- W vs Marvin Vettori#1068Jul 19, 2025 · Top-15
- L vs Anthony Hernandez#1265Feb 22, 2025 · Top-15
- L vs Nassourdine Imavov#481Sep 28, 2024 · Top-5
- W vs Chris Curtis#1462Apr 6, 2024 · Top-15
- W vs Paul Craig#1363Nov 18, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Bruno Silva45Jun 24, 2023 · Cross-div ranked
- W vs Andre Muniz#1167Feb 25, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Krzysztof Jotko#1560Oct 1, 2022 · Top-15
- W vs Jacob Malkoun18Jun 11, 2022 · Building
- W vs Sam Alvey#1560Feb 5, 2022 · Top-15
- L vs Chris Curtis8Dec 4, 2021 · Unproven
- W vs Punahele Soriano8Jul 24, 2021 · Unproven
- W vs Karl Roberson18Apr 24, 2021 · Building
- L vs Sean Strickland45Nov 14, 2020 · Contender-level
- W vs Kyle Daukaus8Jun 27, 2020 · Unproven
- W vs Tom Breese18Feb 29, 2020 · Building
- W vs Kevin Holland18Oct 18, 2019 · Building
- W vs Andre Muniz#1462Oct 4, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Andre Petroski45Jun 14, 2025 · Contender-level
- W vs Dylan Budka8Feb 15, 2025 · Unproven
- L vs Gerald Meerschaert45Aug 24, 2024 · Contender-level
- W vs AJ Dobson8Mar 23, 2024 · Unproven
- L vs Anthony Hernandez18May 20, 2023 · Building
- W vs Dalcha Lungiambula8Dec 10, 2022 · Unproven
- L vs Nassourdine Imavov18Nov 6, 2021 · Building
- L vs Jack Hermansson#773May 22, 2021 · Top-15
- L vs Derek Brunson#872Aug 1, 2020 · Top-15
- W vs Brad Tavares#1167Nov 2, 2019 · Top-15
- W vs Jack Marshman18Jul 6, 2019 · Building
- W vs Charles Byrd8Mar 2, 2019 · Unproven
- W vs Darren Stewart18Nov 30, 2018 · Building
Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with quality wins (35%) and is Bayesian-shrunken toward the UFC median for small samples. Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, and falls back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Recent form
Last five UFC bouts, current trajectory, and the level of opposition faced going into this matchup.
Striking matchup
Where each fighter lands their strikes — and where each one gets hit — across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Brendan Allen | 35.2top 28% of division | 44% | 43.1well below average | 488 |
| Head | Edmen Shahbazyan | 37.0top 25% of division | 41% | 36.2below division average | 273 |
| Body | Brendan Allen | 11.7above division average | 81% | 7.79above division average | 162 |
| Body | Edmen Shahbazyan | 13.4top 22% of division | 76% | 8.82around division average | 99 |
| Leg | Brendan Allen | 6.85above division average | 93% | 2.81top 15% of division | 95 |
| Leg | Edmen Shahbazyan | 4.20below division average | 82% | 8.55below division average | 31 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Wrestling output, ground threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Edmen Shahbazyan | Career totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 21 / 12 |
| Takedown accuracy | 44% | 38% | 21/48 · 12/32 |
| Takedown defense | 55% | 66% | stopped 23/42 · 35/53 |
| Submission attempts / 15 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 15 / 3 |
| Control time / 15 (min) | 4.7 min | 2.8 min | 65:44 · 21:00 |
| Time controlled BY opponent / 15 (min) | 3.7 min | 3.3 min | 50:47 · 24:40 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time.
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Cardio edge to Allen: Allen actually builds to 107% of round-1 work rate through round 3, while Shahbazyan drops to 60% — a 47-point gap in late-round pace.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Brendan Allen | 5.5 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.23 | 35% | 18 |
| R1 | Edmen Shahbazyan | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.31 | 15% | 14 |
| R2 | Brendan Allen | 5.5 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 0.10 | 27% | 14 |
| R2 | Edmen Shahbazyan | 4.7 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 0.21 | 25% | 8 |
| R3 | Brendan Allen | 5.3 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0.24 | 25% | 10 |
| R3 | Edmen Shahbazyan | 3.5 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 0.43 | 16% | 5 |
| R4 | Brendan Allen | 6.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.40 | 63% | 2 |
| R4 | Edmen Shahbazyan | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R5 | Brendan Allen | 7.8 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 1.40 | 25% | 1 |
| R5 | Edmen Shahbazyan | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace. See Methods for the full formula.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
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