Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Darren Elkins

edge

Yadier del Valle

Striking

del Valle ▸

del Valle out-strikes Elkins

Effective offense

C

44th

1.3

+41

A+

85th

2.4

Defense

C

45th

51%

+26

A

71st

55%

KO power

D

9 KO

0.1 KD

Even

D

2 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Elkins

Elkins has the bigger wrestling edge on del Valle

Takedowns landed

A

81st

2.9

+49

D

32nd

0.7

Takedown accuracy

34%

100%

Takedown defense

C

43rd

56%

Even

C

43rd

56%

Control time

A+

87th

5.5 min

Even

A

80th

4.6 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

del Valle ▸

del Valle is the bigger submission threat on Elkins

Submission attempts

A

81st

1.1

+16

A+

97th

2.8

Sub win rate

B

66th

21%

6 subs

+11

A

77th

40%

4 subs

Submission defense

C

42nd

2%

Even

C

42nd

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

del Valle ▸

del Valle is more likely to finish Elkins

Finish rate

C

43rd

37%

+23

B

66th

100%

KO durability

C

48th

13%

Even

C

56th

0%

Submission defense

D

41st

3%

Even

D

40th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Elkins

Elkins pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

6.6

2.0

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.4

2.0

Pace trend+5%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

del Valle ▸

del Valle is in better recent form than Elkins

Win rate (career)

63%

67%

After a win

58%

50%

Last 5

60%

80%

Win streakL1L1

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

30%

19%

Win quality

43%

49%

Ranked opponents

5

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

del Valle ▸

del Valle is fresher and more active than Elkins

Last bout

16mo

5mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

0

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

4

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Elkins

Elkins 2" reach · Elkins 3 cm · del Valle 12y younger · Open-stance matchup

Darren ElkinsvsYadier del Valle

42

Age

12y

younger

30

5'10"

178cm

Height

1"

taller

5'9"

175cm

71"

180cm

Reach

2"

reach

69"

175cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Darren ElkinsYadier del Valle

Percentile

Striking/min3.404.05

Accuracy%38%60%

Defense%51%55%

Takedowns/152.91.2

TD defense%56%58%

Submissions/151.12.0

Career rate as a percentile within the featherweight (286 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Yadier del Valle, from opponents’ full pro records

Yadier del Valle

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

44-34-1

.564 win rate

Winning-record opponents

4 of 7

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

7

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 14m ago

Darren Elkins

Consensus

14%▼ 2

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Elkins

Kalshi13¢bestSportsbook+52515%

Yadier del Valle

Consensus

86%▲ 6

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet del Valle

Kalshi88¢Sportsbook-75085%

Elkins 14%86% del Valle

$16k vol · $14k OI$9k vol · $8k OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Darren Elkins

5%+1650

8%+975

Yadier del Valle

42%+105

21%+320

19%+360

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Darren Elkins

5%+1650

8%+975

Yadier del Valle

42%+105

21%+320

19%+360

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over34%+175
Under66%-245

Goes the distance

Yes29%+230
No71%-315

UFC betting history

Career

ElkinsDarren Elkins

del ValleYadier del Valle

1-150%

As pick'em

—

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi81%88%6 pts

Sportsbook85%85%

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

ElkinsDarren Elkins

Stat

del ValleYadier del Valle

4

KO / TKO

0

3

1

Submission

2

0

12

6

Decision

0

1

11:41

Avg fight time

7:12

Darren Elkins’s splits

vs del Valle

vs Orthodox

15-865%

vs Switch

1-150%

vs Longer reach

6-460%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Yadier del Valle’s splits

vs Elkins

vs Southpaw

0-10%

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Darren ElkinsvsYadier del Valle

42

Age

12y

younger

30

5'10"

178cm

Height

1"

taller

5'9"

175cm

71"

180cm

Reach

2"

reach

69"

175cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

D

40th

+23

B

63rd

del Valle has the striking edge (+23).

Attacking

Elkins’s offensevsdel Valle’s defense

Where Elkins attacks (green = high volume) vs where del Valle gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Elkins’s green zones meeting del Valle’s red zones are the openings.

Darren ElkinsOffense

Head76%69th904
Body20%52nd235
Leg4%14th51

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Yadier del ValleDefense

Head35%72nd7
Body15%66th3
Leg50%46th10

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Elkins — by position

58%Standing

Standing58%685
Clinch20%242
Ground22%263

del Valle — absorbed by position

75%Standing

Standing75%15
Clinch0%0
Ground25%5

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Elkins’s offensevsdel Valle’s defense

Head

B

69th

38.2

Even

A

72nd

26.1

Body

C

52nd

10.2

+14

B

66th

8.7

Leg

F

14th

2.9

+33

C

46th

8.2

del Valle’s offensevsElkins’s defense

Head

D

30th

24.8

+10

D

40th

36.5

Body

C

46th

9.6

+23

B

69th

8.3

Leg

C

45th

7.2

+17

B

62nd

6.1

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Darren Elkins	above division average38.2	34%	below division average36.5	904
Head	Yadier del Valle	below division average24.8	25%	top 28% of division26.1	8
Body	Darren Elkins	around division average10.2	65%	above division average8.3	235
Body	Yadier del Valle	around division average9.6	100%	above division average8.7	9
Leg	Darren Elkins	bottom of the division2.9	76%	above division average6.1	51
Leg	Yadier del Valle	around division average7.2	43%	around division average8.2	6

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Darren Elkins

Yadier del Valle

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

67th

Even

B

62nd

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

A

80th

2.9

+29

C

50th

0.7

Takedown accuracy

C

45th

34%

67/197

100%

1/1

Takedown defense

C

43rd

56%

32/57

Even

C

43rd

56%

5/9

Submission threat

A

80th

1.1

Even

A+

86th

2.8

Control time

A+

85th

5.5 min

+19

B

67th

4.6 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Darren Elkins	Yadier del Valle
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	2.967	0.71
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	34%67 / 197	100%1 / 1
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	56%32 / 57	56%5 / 9
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	1.125	2.84
Control time / 15 (min)career total	5.5 min129:02	4.6 min6:34
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	2.3 min53:46	5.7 min8:13

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Darren Elkins

35

Schedule Score

Yadier del Valle

31

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

350 min

30 bouts

Octagon time

328 min

more

22 min

3 bouts

Schedule strength

30%

19%

Win quality

43%

49%

Ranked opponents

5

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Darren Elkins	Yadier del Valle
Champion	0-2	—
Top-5	0-4	—
Ranked 6–15	3-2	—
Cross-div ranked	1-0	—
Contender-level	1-0	—
Established	1-2	0-1
Building	5-1	1-0
Unproven	8-0	1-0

Darren Elkins — bouts

Yadier del Valle — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Darren Elkins

Yadier del Valle

Elkins — last 5

recent → old

del Valle — last 5

recent → old

WFURY

DEC

Allamov

Jun ’24

Last 5 record

3-2

4-1

Current streak

L1

Even

L1

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

16 mo

6 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Darren Elkins

Yadier del Valle

Post-result bounce

SituationElkins del Valle

After a loss

7-370%

—

After a win

11-858%

1-150%

Camp length

SituationElkins del Valle

Short turnaround< 100 days

0-20%

—

Typical camp100–180 days

10-567%

1-150%

Long layoff> 180 days

8-467%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Darren Elkins

Yadier del Valle

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Elkins15W–6L by finish · 60% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

del Valle6W–0L by finish · 83% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑8%·del Valle

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑8%·del Valle

F

24th

52%

+10

D

34th

60%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

49%

45%

KO durability

↑12%·del Valle

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑12%·del Valle

C

47th

12%

+25

A

72nd

0%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

A

71st

2%

Even

B

68th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Darren Elkins	Yadier del Valle
Wins
by KO / TKO	9(31%)	2(20%)
by submission	6(21%)	4(40%)
by decision	14(48%)	4(40%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	5(42%)	0(0%)
by submission	1(8%)	0(0%)
by decision	6(50%)	1(100%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Darren Elkins

vs

Yadier del Valle

13%

4 KO/TKO in 30 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

2

0.2 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

4

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

6

0.7 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Darren ElkinsFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Julian Erosa1y 3mo ago
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025 · R1 · 4:15
Last time submitted
vs Charles Oliveira16 years ago
UFC Live: Jones vs. Matyushenko · Aug 1, 2010 · R1 · 0:41

Yadier del ValleFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Darren Elkins

109%

R3 vs R1 · 22 bouts reaching R3

Yadier del Valle

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Elkins lifts to 109% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). del Valle hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Elkins ▲ BUILDS

del ValleOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Elkins

del Vallelanded / min

Takedown attempts

Elkins

del Valleattempts / min

Control time

Elkins

del Valle% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Darren Elkins	6.2	2.8	3.6	0.69	32%	30
R1	Yadier del Valle	2.9	1.1	0.9	0.09	37%	3
R2	Darren Elkins	6.7	3.6	3.0	0.47	42%	24
R2	Yadier del Valle	1.1	1.0	1.4	0.00	2%	1
R3	Darren Elkins	6.9	3.9	3.3	0.50	37%	22
R3	Yadier del Valle	2.8	1.0	0.6	0.00	44%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.