Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Amanda Lemos

edge

Alexia Thainara

Striking

Thainara ▸

Thainara out-strikes Lemos

Effective offense

C

44th

1.5

+20

B

64th

2.0

Defense

C

46th

45%

+40

A+

85th

59%

KO power

C

8 KO

0.4 KD

+34

F

0 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Thainara ▸

Thainara has the bigger wrestling edge on Lemos (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

C

48th

1.0

+50

A+

98th

5.2

Takedown accuracy

A

85th

65%

Even

A

78th

52%

Takedown defense

63%

100%

Control time

C

44th

2.6 min

+56

A+

100th

10.0 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Thainara ▸

Thainara is the bigger submission threat on Lemos

Submission attempts

A

81st

0.7

+18

A+

99th

2.2

Sub win rate

B

62nd

20%

3 subs

+18

A

80th

57%

8 subs

Submission defense

D

37th

10%

Even

D

38th

7%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finishing threats

Finish rate

B

66th

56%

Even

B

58th

33%

KO durability

D

40th

7%

Even

C

44th

0%

Submission defense

D

33rd

13%

+9

D

41st

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Thainara ▸

Thainara pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

3.8

8.3

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

4.1

8.8

Pace trend

-12%/rd

-8%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Thainara ▸

Thainara is in better recent form than Lemos

Win rate (career)

60%

100%

After a win

56%

100%

Last 5

40%

100%

Win streakL2W5

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Lemos

Lemos has faced the tougher schedule vs Thainara

Schedule strength

75%

38%

Win quality

45%

86%

Ranked opponents

11

1

Title-holder bouts

1

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

4

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Thainara ▸

Thainara 2" reach · Thainara 11y younger · Open-stance matchup

Amanda LemosvsAlexia Thainara

39

Age

11y

younger

28

5'4"

163cm

Height

Even

5'4"

163cm

65"

165cm

Reach

2"

reach

67"

170cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Amanda LemosAlexia Thainara

Percentile

Striking/min2.754.62

Accuracy%55%43%

Defense%45%59%

Takedowns/151.04.5

TD defense%63%100%

Submissions/150.71.8

Career rate as a percentile within the women's strawweight (100 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Alexia Thainara, from opponents’ full pro records

Alexia Thainara

Developmental

Opponents' combined record

49-53-1

.480 win rate

Winning-record opponents

3 of 11

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

11

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

LemosAmanda Lemos

ThainaraAlexia Thainara

0-10%

As pick'em

—

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

LemosAmanda Lemos

Stat

ThainaraAlexia Thainara

3

1

KO / TKO

0

—

2

Submission

1

—

4

3

Decision

2

—

10:46

Avg fight time

11:31

Amanda Lemos’s splits

vs Thainara

vs Southpaw

1-150%

vs Switch

0-10%

vs Shorter reach

5-456%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Alexia Thainara’s splits

vs Lemos

vs Orthodox

3-0100%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Amanda LemosvsAlexia Thainara

39

Age

11y

younger

28

5'4"

163cm

Height

Even

5'4"

163cm

65"

165cm

Reach

2"

reach

67"

170cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

46th

+9

C

54th

Thainara has the striking edge (+9).

Attacking

Lemos’s offensevsThainara’s defense

Where Lemos attacks (green = high volume) vs where Thainara gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Lemos’s green zones meeting Thainara’s red zones are the openings.

Amanda LemosOffense

Head65%28th289
Body21%32nd94
Leg14%38th62

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Alexia ThainaraDefense

Head43%75th33
Body38%50th29
Leg18%55th14

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Lemos — by position

69%Standing

Standing69%308
Clinch13%58
Ground18%79

Thainara — absorbed by position

79%Standing

Standing79%60
Clinch14%11
Ground7%5

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Lemos’s offensevsThainara’s defense

Head

D

28th

28.6

+46

A

75th

27.7

Body

D

32nd

9.7

+18

C

50th

13.5

Leg

D

38th

6.5

+17

C

55th

7.9

Thainara’s offensevsLemos’s defense

Head

C

44th

32.6

+26

A

70th

28.8

Body

C

55th

13.8

Even

B

59th

11.7

Leg

B

61st

10.2

Even

C

54th

8.3

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Amanda Lemos	well below average28.6	47%	top 30% of division28.8	289
Head	Alexia Thainara	below division average32.6	37%	top 25% of division27.7	68
Body	Amanda Lemos	below division average9.7	75%	above division average11.7	94
Body	Alexia Thainara	above division average13.8	63%	around division average13.5	33
Leg	Amanda Lemos	below division average6.5	91%	around division average8.3	62
Leg	Alexia Thainara	above division average10.2	61%	above division average7.9	27

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Amanda Lemos

Alexia Thainara

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

64th

+24

A+

88th

Thainara has the grappling edge (+24).

Takedowns

C

55th

1.0

+35

A+

90th

5.2

Takedown accuracy

A

85th

65%

11/17

Even

A

78th

52%

12/23

Takedown defense

C

51st

63%

29/46

100%

2/2

Submission threat

A

80th

0.7

+11

A+

91st

2.2

Control time

C

47th

2.6 min

+45

A+

92nd

10.0 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Amanda Lemos	Alexia Thainara
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.011	5.212
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	65%11 / 17	52%12 / 23
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	63%29 / 46	100%2 / 2
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.78	2.25
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.6 min27:57	10.0 min23:00
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	6.2 min66:21	0.1 min0:11

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Amanda Lemos

68

Schedule Score

Alexia Thainara

39

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

162 min

15 bouts

Octagon time

127 min

more

35 min

3 bouts

Schedule strength

75%

38%

Win quality

45%

86%

Ranked opponents

11

1

Title-holder bouts

1

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Amanda Lemos	Alexia Thainara
Champion	1-2	—
Top-5	1-3	—
Ranked 6–15	5-1	1-0
Cross-div ranked	—	1-0
Unproven	2-0	1-0

Amanda Lemos — bouts

Alexia Thainara — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Amanda Lemos

Alexia Thainara

Lemos — last 5

recent → old

Thainara — last 5

recent → old

WSFT 46

SUB R1

Souza

Dec ’23

WJUNGLE

DEC

Oliveira

Aug ’23

Last 5 record

2-3

5-0

Current streak

L2

W5

Ranked opps

5 of 5

1 of 5

Layoff

4 mo

Even

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Amanda Lemos

Alexia Thainara

Post-result bounce

SituationLemos Thainara

After a loss

4-180%

—

After a win

5-456%

2-0100%

Camp length

SituationLemos Thainara

Short turnaround< 100 days

1-0100%

—

Typical camp100–180 days

3-260%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

5-363%

2-0100%

Title fights

SituationLemos Thainara

All title fightschallenger or champ

0-10%

—

As challengerfor the belt

0-10%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Amanda Lemos

Alexia Thainara

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Lemos11W–3L by finish · 73% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Thainara8W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑16%·Lemos

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑16%·Lemos

A

72nd

73%

+21

C

51st

57%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

33%

40%

KO durability

↑5%·Thainara

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑5%·Thainara

C

47th

5%

+10

C

57th

0%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

D

33rd

10%

+9

C

43rd

7%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Amanda Lemos	Alexia Thainara
Wins
by KO / TKO	8(53%)	0(0%)
by submission	3(20%)	8(57%)
by decision	4(27%)	6(43%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(17%)	0(0%)
by submission	2(33%)	1(100%)
by decision	3(50%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Amanda Lemos

vs

Alexia Thainara

20%

3 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

6

2.1 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

1

0.4 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Amanda LemosFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Leslie Smith9 years ago
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Jul 16, 2017 · R2 · 2:53
Last time submitted
vs Virna Jandiroba2 years ago
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024 · R2 · 4:48

Alexia ThainaraFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Amanda Lemos

89%

R3 vs R1 · 8 bouts reaching R3

Alexia Thainara

74%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

No clear cardio edge — Lemos fades (-12% per round through round 3) and Thainara fades (-8% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Lemos keeps 89% of round-1 output by round 3, Thainara 74%.

Lemos ▼ FADES

Thainara ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Lemos

Thainaralanded / min

Takedown attempts

Lemos

Thainaraattempts / min

Control time

Lemos

Thainara% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Amanda Lemos	4.2	3.3	2.5	0.09	17%	15
R1	Alexia Thainara	8.8	4.4	2.8	0.69	57%	3
R2	Amanda Lemos	4.0	2.5	3.1	0.16	24%	11
R2	Alexia Thainara	8.8	4.0	2.4	0.60	75%	2
R3	Amanda Lemos	3.3	2.5	2.4	0.08	14%	8
R3	Alexia Thainara	7.4	2.4	1.2	0.70	72%	2
R4	Amanda Lemos	2.7	2.6	5.6	0.00	2%	1
R4	Alexia Thainara	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Amanda Lemos	0.3	0.2	11.0	0.00	3%	1
R5	Alexia Thainara	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.