Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Eric McConico

edge

Donte Johnson

Striking

Johnson ▸

Johnson out-strikes McConico (thin sample)

Effective offense

C

57th

1.3

Even

B

65th

1.5

Defense

D

39th

45%

+45

A

84th

61%

KO power

D

4 KO

0.0 KD

+14

C

6 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Johnson ▸

Johnson has the bigger wrestling edge on McConico (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

D

34th

0.6

+42

A

75th

2.1

Takedown accuracy

100%

Even

100%

Takedown defense

B

62nd

69%

Even

B

65th

75%

Control time

D

34th

2.0 min

+42

A

76th

4.6 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Johnson ▸

Johnson is the bigger submission threat on McConico (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

18th

0.0

+47

B

65th

0.7

Sub win rate

B

66th

27%

3 subs

Even

B

59th

13%

1 sub

Submission defense

C

46th

0%

Even

C

45th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Johnson ▸

Johnson is more likely to finish McConico (thin sample)

Finish rate

D

29th

0%

+15

C

44th

50%

KO durability

F

24th

50%

+34

C

58th

0%

Submission defense

C

43rd

0%

Even

D

39th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Johnson ▸

Johnson pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

3.8

4.3

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

3.3

4.3

Pace trend+30%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

Johnson ▸

Johnson is in better recent form than McConico (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

50%

100%

After a win

0%

100%

Last 5

60%

100%

Win streakW1W5

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

23%

15%

Win quality

50%

62%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Common opp (1)1-01-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Johnson ▸

Johnson is fresher and more active than McConico

Last bout

3mo

5mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

3

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ McConico

McConico 3" reach · McConico 10 cm · Johnson 9y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Eric McConicovsDonte Johnson

36

Age

9y

younger

27

6'0"

183cm

Height

4"

taller

5'8"

173cm

77"

196cm

Reach

3"

reach

74"

188cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Eric McConicoDonte Johnson

Percentile

Striking/min2.923.11

Accuracy%46%48%

Defense%45%61%

Takedowns/150.62.0

TD defense%68%75%

Submissions/150.00.7

Career rate as a percentile within the middleweight (354 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

McConico faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .555 career win rate vs .357 for Johnson.

Eric McConico

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

106-85-3

.555 win rate

Winning-record opponents

7 of 12

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

12

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Donte Johnson

Developmental

Opponents' combined record

15-27

.357 win rate

Winning-record opponents

1 of 5

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

5

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 1m ago

Eric McConico

Consensus

34%▲ 34

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet McConico

Kalshi34¢bestSportsbook+18334%

Donte Johnson

Consensus

66%▲ 67

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Johnson

Kalshi67¢bestSportsbook-21566%

McConico 34%66% Johnson

$10k vol · $9k OI$4k vol · $3k OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Eric McConico

84%-525

——

Donte Johnson

84%-525

——

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Eric McConico

84%-525

——

Donte Johnson

84%-525

——

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over50%-1900
Under50%-1900

Goes the distance

Yes46%-525
No54%-3233

UFC betting history

Career

McConicoEric McConico

JohnsonDonte Johnson

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi69%67%2 pts

Sportsbook68%66%2 pts

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

McConicoEric McConico

Stat

JohnsonDonte Johnson

0

2

KO / TKO

0

—

0

Submission

1

—

2

0

Decision

1

—

11:48

Avg fight time

10:43

Eric McConico’s splits

vs Johnson

vs Orthodox

2-250%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-10%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Donte Johnson’s splits

vs McConico

vs Orthodox

2-0100%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Eric McConicovsDonte Johnson

36

Age

9y

younger

27

6'0"

183cm

Height

4"

taller

5'8"

173cm

77"

196cm

Reach

3"

reach

74"

188cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

46th

+22

B

68th

Johnson has the striking edge (+22).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

McConico’s offensevsJohnson’s defense

Head

C

55th

28.9

Even

B

63rd

26.0

Body

C

57th

9.0

Even

C

57th

7.9

Leg

B

59th

7.4

+13

C

46th

7.5

Johnson’s offensevsMcConico’s defense

Head

B

59th

30.0

Even

C

57th

28.0

Body

C

44th

7.6

+16

D

28th

11.7

Leg

C

54th

6.6

+9

C

45th

7.7

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Eric McConico	above division average28.9	39%	above division average28.0	89
Head	Donte Johnson	above division average30.0	40%	above division average26.0	44
Body	Eric McConico	above division average9.0	68%	well below average11.7	26
Body	Donte Johnson	below division average7.6	50%	above division average7.9	4
Leg	Eric McConico	above division average7.4	92%	around division average7.7	23
Leg	Donte Johnson	around division average6.6	100%	around division average7.5	7

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Eric McConico

Donte Johnson

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

50th

+14

B

64th

Johnson has the grappling edge (+14).

Takedowns

C

46th

0.6

+17

B

63rd

2.1

Takedown accuracy

100%

2/2

100%

3/3

Takedown defense

B

62nd

69%

20/29

Even

B

65th

75%

9/12

Submission threat

C

48th

0.0

+19

B

66th

0.7

Control time

C

44th

2.0 min

+18

B

62nd

4.6 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Eric McConico	Donte Johnson
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.62	2.13
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	100%2 / 2	100%3 / 3
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	69%20 / 29	75%9 / 12
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.71
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.0 min6:20	4.6 min6:36
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	5.0 min15:41	4.5 min6:25

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Eric McConico

Donte Johnson

Record vs common opponents

Even

1-0

1-0

1-0

1-0

Both won

Decision (Split)R3· 5:00

Aug 9, 2025

Johnson

Mar 7, 2026

Decision (Split)R3· 5:00

W

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Eric McConico

33

Schedule Score

Donte Johnson

30

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

47 min

4 bouts

Octagon time

26 min

more

21 min

2 bouts

Schedule strength

23%

15%

Win quality

50%

62%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Eric McConico	Donte Johnson
Established	1-1	—
Building	1-1	1-0
Unproven	—	1-0

Eric McConico — bouts

Donte Johnson — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Eric McConico

Donte Johnson

McConico — last 5

recent → old

WTUFF-N-U

SUB R1

Hatch

Jul ’24

Johnson — last 5

recent → old

WFURY

KO R1

Ford

Jul ’25

WNIF

KO R1

Parker

Jun ’25

Last 5 record

3-2

5-0

Current streak

W1

W5

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

4 mo

5 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Eric McConico

Donte Johnson

Post-result bounce

SituationMcConico Johnson

After a loss

2-0100%

—

After a win

0-10%

1-0100%

Camp length

SituationMcConico Johnson

Short turnaround< 100 days

0-10%

—

Typical camp100–180 days

2-0100%

1-0100%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Eric McConico

Donte Johnson

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

McConico7W–4L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Johnson6W–0L by finish · 83% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑24%·Johnson

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑24%·Johnson

D

28th

64%

+22

C

50th

88%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

27%

13%

KO durability

↑27%·Johnson

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑27%·Johnson

D

28th

27%

+47

A

75th

0%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

A

71st

0%

Even

B

66th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Eric McConico	Donte Johnson
Wins
by KO / TKO	4(36%)	6(75%)
by submission	3(27%)	1(13%)
by decision	4(36%)	1(13%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	4(100%)	0
by submission	0(0%)	0
by decision	0(0%)	0

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Eric McConico

vs

Donte Johnson

0%

0 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

Knockout rate

33%

1 KO/TKO in 3 bouts

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

4

5.3 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Eric McConicoFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Baisangur Susurkaev8 months ago
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · Nov 15, 2025 · R3 · 1:38
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Donte JohnsonFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Eric McConico

156%

R3 vs R1 · 3 bouts reaching R3

Donte Johnson

—

< 2 bouts to R3

McConico lifts to 156% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Johnson hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

McConico ▲ BUILDS

JohnsonOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

McConico

Johnsonlanded / min

Takedown attempts

McConico

Johnsonattempts / min

Control time

McConico

Johnson% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Eric McConico	2.5	1.8	2.2	0.10	11%	4
R1	Donte Johnson	3.3	1.9	0.8	0.20	19%	2
R2	Eric McConico	4.2	3.7	4.1	0.00	13%	4
R2	Donte Johnson	5.3	2.2	1.2	0.16	65%	2
R3	Eric McConico	4.7	4.0	3.2	0.00	19%	3
R3	Donte Johnson	4.8	4.4	4.0	0.00	10%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.