Jalin Turner vs Kaue Fernandes Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Jalin Turner

edge

Kaue Fernandes

Striking

Fernandes ▸

Fernandes out-strikes Turner

Effective offense

A+

92nd

2.8

Even

A+

86th

2.4

Defense

F

19th

41%

+69

A+

88th

62%

KO power

A

11 KO

0.6 KD

+14

B

6 KO

1.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Turner

Turner has the bigger wrestling edge on Fernandes — blunted by Fernandes's takedown defense

Takedowns landed

D

31st

0.6

+18

C

49th

1.2

Takedown accuracy

50%

100%

Takedown defense

A

71st

75%

Even

B

69th

77%

Control time

D

41st

2.1 min

+12

D

29th

1.4 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Turner

Turner is the bigger submission threat on Fernandes

Submission attempts

A

81st

1.1

+62

F

18th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

70th

27%

4 subs

Even

B

64th

18%

2 subs

Submission defense

C

49th

4%

Even

C

51st

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Turner

Turner is more likely to finish Fernandes

Finish rate

A

81st

100%

+18

B

63rd

67%

KO durability

C

46th

14%

+12

B

58th

0%

Submission defense

C

45th

7%

Even

C

48th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Turner

Turner pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

5.8

4.7

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.5

5.2

Pace trend

-21%/rd

Even

-21%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Fernandes ▸

Fernandes is in better recent form than Turner

Win rate (career)

57%

75%

After a win

57%

100%

Last 5

40%

80%

Win streakW1W3

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Turner

Turner has faced the tougher schedule vs Fernandes

Schedule strength

55%

15%

Win quality

44%

50%

Ranked opponents

6

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

7mo

10mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

Even

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Turner

Turner 4" reach · Turner 8 cm · Open-stance matchup

Jalin TurnervsKaue Fernandes

31

Age

Even

31

6'3"

191cm

Height

3"

taller

6'0"

183cm

77"

196cm

Reach

4"

reach

73"

185cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Jalin TurnerKaue Fernandes

Percentile

Striking/min5.794.28

Accuracy%48%55%

Defense%41%62%

Takedowns/150.81.2

TD defense%75%76%

Submissions/151.10.0

Career rate as a percentile within the lightweight (421 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

TurnerJalin Turner

FernandesKaue Fernandes

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

TurnerJalin Turner

Stat

FernandesKaue Fernandes

5

2

KO / TKO

2

0

3

1

Submission

0

3

Decision

1

6:45

Avg fight time

9:32

Jalin Turner’s splits

vs Fernandes

vs Southpaw

2-167%

vs Switch

0-10%

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Kaue Fernandes’s splits

vs Turner

vs Orthodox

1-150%

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

2-0100%

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

2-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Jalin TurnervsKaue Fernandes

31

Age

Even

31

6'3"

191cm

Height

3"

taller

6'0"

183cm

77"

196cm

Reach

4"

reach

73"

185cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

61st

+16

A

78th

Fernandes has the striking edge (+16).

Attacking

Turner’s offensevsFernandes’s defense

Where Turner attacks (green = high volume) vs where Fernandes gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Turner’s green zones meeting Fernandes’s red zones are the openings.

Jalin TurnerOffense

Head67%87th344
Body26%88th135
Leg6%45th32

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Kaue FernandesDefense

Head65%66th35
Body22%64th12
Leg13%66th7

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Turner — by position

73%Standing

Standing73%373
Clinch10%52
Ground17%86

Fernandes — absorbed by position

78%Standing

Standing78%42
Clinch15%8
Ground7%4

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Turner’s offensevsFernandes’s defense

Head

A+

87th

46.7

+20

B

66th

24.2

Body

A+

88th

17.8

+24

B

64th

7.8

Leg

C

45th

6.0

+21

B

66th

5.8

Fernandes’s offensevsTurner’s defense

Head

C

56th

30.4

+17

D

39th

35.9

Body

B

63rd

11.4

+22

D

41st

10.8

Leg

A+

85th

13.7

+72

F

13th

14.2

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Jalin Turner	top 13% of division46.7	42%	below division average35.9	344
Head	Kaue Fernandes	above division average30.4	41%	above division average24.2	78
Body	Jalin Turner	top 12% of division17.8	73%	below division average10.8	135
Body	Kaue Fernandes	above division average11.4	73%	above division average7.8	33
Leg	Jalin Turner	around division average6.0	73%	bottom of the division14.2	32
Leg	Kaue Fernandes	top 15% of division13.7	90%	above division average5.8	52

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Jalin Turner

Kaue Fernandes

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

61st

Even

C

55th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

D

41st

0.6

+17

C

57th

1.2

Takedown accuracy

B

69th

50%

4/8

100%

3/3

Takedown defense

A

71st

75%

36/48

Even

B

69th

77%

10/13

Submission threat

A

77th

1.1

+27

C

50th

0.0

Control time

C

46th

2.1 min

Even

C

42nd

1.4 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Jalin Turner	Kaue Fernandes
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.64	1.23
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	50%4 / 8	100%3 / 3
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	75%36 / 48	77%10 / 13
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	1.17	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.1 min13:32	1.4 min3:32
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.7 min23:17	3.4 min8:43

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Jalin Turner

51

Schedule Score

Kaue Fernandes

31

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

95 min

14 bouts

Octagon time

57 min

more

38 min

4 bouts

Schedule strength

55%

15%

Win quality

44%

50%

Ranked opponents

6

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Kaue Fernandes, from opponents’ full pro records

Kaue Fernandes

Strong

Opponents' combined record

86-51-3

.628 win rate

Winning-record opponents

6 of 9

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

9

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Jalin Turner	Kaue Fernandes
Top-5	1-3	—
Top-15	2-3	—
Cross-div ranked	1-0	—
Established	—	0-1
Building	2-0	1-0
Unproven	2-0	2-0

Jalin Turner — bouts

Kaue Fernandes — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Jalin Turner

Kaue Fernandes

Turner — last 5

recent → old

Fernandes — last 5

recent → old

WLFA

KO R1

Douglas

Mar ’23

Last 5 record

2-3

4-1

Current streak

W1

W3

Ranked opps

4 of 5

0 of 5

Layoff

7 mo

10 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Jalin Turner

Kaue Fernandes

Post-result bounce

SituationTurner Fernandes

After a loss

4-267%

1-0100%

After a win

4-357%

2-0100%

Camp length

SituationTurner Fernandes

Short turnaround< 100 days

0-10%

—

Typical camp100–180 days

4-267%

1-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

4-267%

2-0100%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Jalin Turner

Kaue Fernandes

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Turner14W–5L by finish · 77% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Fernandes8W–0L by finish · 88% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑27%·Turner

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑27%·Turner

A+

90th

100%

+43

C

47th

73%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

17%

38%

KO durability

↑17%·Fernandes

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑17%·Fernandes

F

22nd

17%

+56

A

78th

0%

Submission defense

↑4%·Fernandes

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑4%·Fernandes

C

56th

4%

+10

B

65th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Jalin Turner	Kaue Fernandes
Wins
by KO / TKO	11(73%)	6(55%)
by submission	4(27%)	2(18%)
by decision	0(0%)	3(27%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	4(44%)	0(0%)
by submission	1(11%)	0(0%)
by decision	4(44%)	2(100%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Jalin Turner

vs

Kaue Fernandes

40%

6 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

Knockout rate

50%

2 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

9

2.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

4

5.1 / 100 head

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

2

0.9 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Jalin TurnerFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Renato Moicano2y 2mo ago
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024 · R2 · 4:11
Last time submitted
vs Ignacio Bahamondes1y 4mo ago
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025 · R1 · 2:29

Kaue FernandesFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Jalin Turner

110%

R3 vs R1 · 3 bouts reaching R3

Kaue Fernandes

92%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

No clear cardio edge — Turner fades (-21% per round through round 3) and Fernandes fades (-21% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Turner lifts to 110% of round-1 output by round 3, Fernandes 92%.

Turner ▼ FADES

Fernandes ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Turner

Fernandeslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Turner

Fernandesattempts / min

Control time

Turner

Fernandes% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Jalin Turner	6.8	5.9	4.3	0.06	19%	14
R1	Kaue Fernandes	5.6	5.1	1.3	0.06	8%	4
R2	Jalin Turner	6.1	5.3	4.7	0.07	13%	7
R2	Kaue Fernandes	4.8	4.0	1.3	0.10	12%	2
R3	Jalin Turner	4.4	3.7	4.0	0.20	2%	3
R3	Kaue Fernandes	3.6	3.0	1.8	0.10	8%	2

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.