Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Fares Ziam

edge

Axel Sola

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

B

62nd

1.5

+12

A

74th

1.8

Defense

A+

91st

65%

+44

C

47th

61%

KO power

D

7 KO

0.2 KD

+10

C

6 KO

0.7 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Ziam

Ziam has the bigger wrestling edge on Sola (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

B

65th

1.9

Even

B

67th

1.9

Takedown accuracy

B

63rd

43%

+13

C

51st

36%

Takedown defense

71%

67%

Control time

A

74th

4.1 min

Even

B

66th

3.5 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Sola ▸

Sola is the bigger submission threat on Ziam

Submission attempts

B

59th

0.5

Even

C

54th

0.5

Sub win rate

B

68th

22%

4 subs

+9

B

59th

9%

1 sub

Submission defense

D

36th

14%

+15

C

52nd

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Sola ▸

Sola is more likely to finish Ziam

Finish rate

D

30th

25%

+38

B

68th

100%

KO durability

B

63rd

0%

Even

C

55th

0%

Submission defense

D

42nd

9%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Sola ▸

Sola pushes the higher work rate over the fight — Sola's pace builds late

Work rate / min — full fight

4.6

6.6

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

4.8

5.9

Pace trend

-3%/rd

+8%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Comparable recent form

Win rate (career)

73%

67%

After a win

75%

0%

Last 5

80%

Even

80%

Win streakL1W1

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Ziam

Ziam has faced the tougher schedule vs Sola

Schedule strength

29%

13%

Win quality

57%

51%

Ranked opponents

1

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Sola ▸

Sola is fresher and more active than Ziam

Last bout

3mo

1mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

3

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Even

Even physically · Open-stance matchup

Fares ZiamvsAxel Sola

29

Age

1y

younger

28

6'0"

183cm

Height

Even

6'0"

183cm

75"

191cm

Reach

1"

reach

74"

188cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Fares ZiamAxel Sola

Percentile

Striking/min2.874.07

Accuracy%52%45%

Defense%65%61%

Takedowns/151.72.2

TD defense%71%0%

Submissions/150.50.0

Career rate as a percentile within the lightweight (426 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Axel Sola, from opponents’ full pro records

Axel Sola

Strong

Opponents' combined record

102-43-4

.703 win rate

Winning-record opponents

10 of 11

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

11

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Fares Ziam

Axel Sola

56%

-140

MMA Index model

Unlock

44%

+120

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

ZiamFares Ziam

SolaAxel Sola

0-10%

As pick'em

—

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

ZiamFares Ziam

Stat

SolaAxel Sola

2

0

KO / TKO

1

0

1

Submission

1

0

6

2

Decision

0

1

13:12

Avg fight time

10:35

Fares Ziam’s splits

vs Sola

vs Orthodox

6-0100%

vs Switch

0-10%

vs Longer reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Axel Sola’s splits

vs Ziam

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Fares ZiamvsAxel Sola

29

Age

1y

younger

28

6'0"

183cm

Height

Even

6'0"

183cm

75"

191cm

Reach

1"

reach

74"

188cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

64th

Even

C

57th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Ziam’s offensevsSola’s defense

Where Ziam attacks (green = high volume) vs where Sola gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Ziam’s green zones meeting Sola’s red zones are the openings.

Fares ZiamOffense

Head66%48th255
Body19%44th72
Leg16%49th62

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Axel SolaDefense

Head72%31st103
Body24%27th35
Leg4%63rd6

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Ziam — by position

70%Standing

Standing70%271
Clinch13%49
Ground18%69

Sola — absorbed by position

74%Standing

Standing74%107
Clinch25%36
Ground1%1

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Ziam’s offensevsSola’s defense

Head

C

48th

27.3

+17

D

31st

39.6

Body

C

44th

8.1

+18

D

27th

13.0

Leg

C

49th

6.8

+14

B

63rd

6.1

Sola’s offensevsZiam’s defense

Head

A

82nd

41.2

Even

A+

88th

15.3

Body

B

58th

10.4

Even

C

57th

8.7

Leg

D

34th

4.7

+25

B

59th

6.5

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Fares Ziam	around division average27.3	43%	top 12% of division15.3	255
Head	Axel Sola	top 18% of division41.2	48%	below division average39.6	120
Body	Fares Ziam	below division average8.1	86%	above division average8.7	72
Body	Axel Sola	above division average10.4	72%	well below average13.0	23
Leg	Fares Ziam	around division average6.8	91%	above division average6.5	62
Leg	Axel Sola	below division average4.7	—	above division average6.1	0

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Fares Ziam

Axel Sola

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

64th

Even

B

59th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

B

64th

1.9

Even

B

63rd

1.9

Takedown accuracy

B

63rd

43%

18/42

+13

C

51st

36%

4/11

Takedown defense

B

65th

71%

51/72

67%

2/3

Submission threat

B

60th

0.5

Even

B

62nd

0.5

Control time

B

69th

4.1 min

+10

B

59th

3.5 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Fares Ziam	Axel Sola
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.918	1.94
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	43%18 / 42	36%4 / 11
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	71%51 / 72	67%2 / 3
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.55	0.51
Control time / 15 (min)career total	4.1 min39:30	3.5 min7:27
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	5.1 min48:56	1.0 min2:08

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Fares Ziam

40

Schedule Score

Axel Sola

30

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

145 min

11 bouts

Octagon time

113 min

more

32 min

3 bouts

Schedule strength

29%

13%

Win quality

57%

51%

Ranked opponents

1

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Fares Ziam	Axel Sola
Ranked 6–15	1-1	—
Contender-level	0-1	—
Established	2-0	—
Building	3-0	0-1
Unproven	2-1	2-0

Fares Ziam — bouts

Axel Sola — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Fares Ziam

Axel Sola

Ziam — last 5

recent → old

Sola — last 5

recent → old

WARES

DEC

Oudelha

Jun ’25

WARES

KO R2

Caio

Jan ’25

Last 5 record

4-1

Even

4-1

Current streak

L1

W1

Ranked opps

1 of 5

0 of 5

Layoff

3 mo

30 d

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Fares Ziam

Axel Sola

Post-result bounce

SituationZiam Sola

After a loss

2-0100%

1-0100%

After a win

6-275%

0-10%

Camp length

SituationZiam Sola

Typical camp100–180 days

1-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

7-278%

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Fares Ziam

Axel Sola

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Ziam11W–3L by finish

R1

R2

R3

R4

Sola8W–0L by finish

R1

R2

R3

R4

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

20:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

D

30th

61%

Even

D

32nd

64%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

36%

42%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

A

75th

0%

Even

A

74th

0%

Submission defense

↑14%·Sola

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑14%·Sola

C

46th

14%

+24

A

70th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Fares Ziam	Axel Sola
Wins
by KO / TKO	7(39%)	6(55%)
by submission	4(22%)	1(9%)
by decision	7(39%)	4(36%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0(0%)	0(0%)
by submission	3(75%)	0(0%)
by decision	1(25%)	1(100%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Fares Ziam

vs

Axel Sola

18%

2 KO/TKO in 11 bouts

Knockout rate

33%

1 KO/TKO in 3 bouts

2

0.8 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

2

1.7 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Fares ZiamFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
vs Terrance McKinney4y 5mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022 · R1 · 2:11

Axel SolaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Fares Ziam

94%

R3 vs R1 · 9 bouts reaching R3

Axel Sola

131%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Sola: Sola builds (+8% per round through round 3) while Ziam fades (-3% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Ziam keeps 94% of round-1 output by round 3, Sola 131%.

Ziam ▼ FADES

Sola ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Ziam

Solalanded / min

Takedown attempts

Ziam

Solaattempts / min

Control time

Ziam

Sola% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Fares Ziam	4.6	2.7	1.7	0.27	27%	11
R1	Axel Sola	6.9	3.9	1.7	0.48	41%	3
R2	Fares Ziam	5.0	3.3	1.5	0.24	25%	10
R2	Axel Sola	4.8	4.0	5.0	0.10	12%	2
R3	Fares Ziam	4.3	2.0	1.6	0.37	30%	9
R3	Axel Sola	8.0	6.5	9.8	0.43	3%	2

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.