Geoff Neal vs Chidi Njokuani Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Geoff Neal

edge

Chidi Njokuani

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

A+

92nd

2.5

Even

A+

97th

3.1

Defense

D

38th

57%

+18

C

56th

57%

KO power

B

10 KO

0.6 KD

+11

C

15 KO

0.3 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Neal

Neal has the bigger wrestling edge on Njokuani — blunted by Njokuani's takedown defense

Takedowns landed

D

28th

0.5

+20

F

8th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

45%

0%

Takedown defense

A+

86th

90%

+14

A

71st

75%

Control time

D

40th

2.2 min

Even

C

44th

2.3 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way

Submission attempts

D

38th

0.1

Even

D

41st

0.2

Sub win rate

B

58th

13%

2 subs

Even

C

52nd

4%

1 sub

Submission defense

D

36th

8%

Even

D

33rd

11%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Neal

Neal is more likely to finish Njokuani

Finish rate

B

63rd

75%

+10

C

53rd

60%

KO durability

C

48th

14%

+9

D

38th

20%

Submission defense

D

36th

7%

Even

D

33rd

10%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Njokuani ▸

Njokuani pushes the higher work rate over the fight — Njokuani's pace builds late

Work rate / min — full fight

5.8

6.7

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.0

6.2

Pace trend

-2%/rd

+12%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Njokuani ▸

Njokuani is in better recent form than Neal

Win rate (career)

57%

50%

After a win

63%

Even

60%

Last 5

20%

60%

Win streakL2L2

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Neal

Neal has faced the tougher schedule vs Njokuani

Schedule strength

69%

30%

Win quality

44%

Even

43%

Ranked opponents

9

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

5mo

Even

5mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

4

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Njokuani ▸

Njokuani 5" reach · Njokuani 10 cm · Open-stance matchup

Geoff NealvsChidi Njokuani

35

Age

2y

younger

37

5'11"

180cm

Height

4"

taller

6'3"

191cm

75"

191cm

Reach

5"

reach

80"

203cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Geoff NealChidi Njokuani

Percentile

Striking/min5.025.16

Accuracy%50%61%

Defense%57%57%

Takedowns/150.50.0

TD defense%87%75%

Submissions/150.10.1

Career rate as a percentile within the welterweight (443 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

NealGeoff Neal

NjokuaniChidi Njokuani

0-10%

As pick'em

1-150%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

NealGeoff Neal

Stat

NjokuaniChidi Njokuani

5

2

KO / TKO

3

2

1

Submission

0

1

2

3

Decision

2

9:49

Avg fight time

8:26

Geoff Neal’s splits

vs Njokuani

vs Southpaw

1-150%

vs Switch

0-10%

vs Shorter reach

5-271%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Chidi Njokuani’s splits

vs Neal

vs Orthodox

5-456%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Geoff NealvsChidi Njokuani

35

Age

2y

younger

37

5'11"

180cm

Height

4"

taller

6'3"

191cm

75"

191cm

Reach

5"

reach

80"

203cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

63rd

Even

B

67th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Neal’s offensevsNjokuani’s defense

Where Neal attacks (green = high volume) vs where Njokuani gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Neal’s green zones meeting Njokuani’s red zones are the openings.

Geoff NealOffense

Head85%94th585
Body8%39th58
Leg6%43rd44

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Chidi NjokuaniDefense

Head62%37th204
Body21%33rd69
Leg17%32nd56

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Neal — by position

82%Standing

Standing82%566
Clinch10%72
Ground7%49

Njokuani — absorbed by position

75%Standing

Standing75%246
Clinch12%40
Ground13%43

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Neal’s offensevsNjokuani’s defense

Head

A+

94th

55.3

+56

D

37th

35.6

Body

D

39th

7.1

Even

D

33rd

11.7

Leg

C

43rd

5.7

+11

D

32nd

9.3

Njokuani’s offensevsNeal’s defense

Head

B

60th

30.8

+43

F

17th

47.6

Body

A+

97th

25.7

+88

F

9th

19.7

Leg

A+

86th

15.3

+48

D

38th

8.5

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Geoff Neal	top 6% of division55.3	48%	well below average47.6	585
Head	Chidi Njokuani	above division average30.8	45%	below division average35.6	178
Body	Geoff Neal	below division average7.1	71%	bottom of the division19.7	58
Body	Chidi Njokuani	elite — top of division25.7	69%	below division average11.7	193
Leg	Geoff Neal	below division average5.7	94%	below division average8.5	44
Leg	Chidi Njokuani	top 14% of division15.3	88%	below division average9.3	107

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Geoff Neal

Chidi Njokuani

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

55th

Even

C

50th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

D

38th

0.5

+10

D

28th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

B

60th

45%

5/11

0%

0/6

Takedown defense

A+

86th

90%

26/29

+14

A

71st

75%

30/40

Submission threat

C

45th

0.1

Even

C

50th

0.2

Control time

C

47th

2.2 min

Even

C

50th

2.3 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Geoff Neal	Chidi Njokuani
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.55	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	45%5 / 11	0%0 / 6
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	90%26 / 29	75%30 / 40
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.11	0.21
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.2 min19:55	2.3 min13:08
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.8 min7:28	4.1 min23:18

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Geoff Neal

62

Schedule Score

Chidi Njokuani

36

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

137 min

14 bouts

Octagon time

53 min

more

84 min

10 bouts

Schedule strength

69%

30%

Win quality

44%

43%

Ranked opponents

9

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Geoff Neal	Chidi Njokuani
Champion	1-0	—
Top-5	2-5	—
Top-15	2-1	1-1
Long-tenured vet	—	0-1
Contender-level	—	0-1
Building	1-0	1-2
Unproven	2-0	3-0

Geoff Neal — bouts

Chidi Njokuani — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Geoff Neal

Chidi Njokuani

Neal — last 5

recent → old

Njokuani — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

1-4

3-2

Current streak

L2

Even

L2

Ranked opps

4 of 5

1 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

Even

5 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Geoff Neal

Chidi Njokuani

Post-result bounce

SituationNeal Njokuani

After a loss

2-340%

1-325%

After a win

5-363%

3-260%

Camp length

SituationNeal Njokuani

Typical camp100–180 days

2-167%

2-340%

Long layoff> 180 days

5-550%

2-250%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Geoff Neal

Chidi Njokuani

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Neal11W–5L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Njokuani15W–9L by finish · 67% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑11%·Neal

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑11%·Neal

C

51st

75%

+17

D

34th

64%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

29%

32%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

D

37th

13%

Even

D

32nd

14%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

D

37th

8%

+11

D

26th

11%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Geoff Neal	Chidi Njokuani
Wins
by KO / TKO	10(63%)	15(60%)
by submission	2(13%)	1(4%)
by decision	4(25%)	9(36%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	3(38%)	5(42%)
by submission	2(25%)	4(33%)
by decision	3(38%)	3(25%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Geoff Neal

vs

Chidi Njokuani

40%

6 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

Knockout rate

36%

4 KO/TKO in 11 bouts

8

1.4 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

3

1.7 / 100 head

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

3

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

1

0.5 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Geoff NealFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Uros Medic4 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026 · R1 · 1:19
Last time submitted
vs Shavkat Rakhmonov3y 4mo ago
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 4, 2023 · R3 · 4:17

Chidi NjokuaniFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk2y 10mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023 · R1 · 4:16
Last time submitted
vs Jake Matthews11 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025 · R1 · 1:09

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Geoff Neal

110%

R3 vs R1 · 7 bouts reaching R3

Chidi Njokuani

140%

R3 vs R1 · 4 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Njokuani: Njokuani builds (+12% per round through round 3) while Neal holds steady (-2% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Neal lifts to 110% of round-1 output by round 3, Njokuani 140%.

Neal — HOLDS

Njokuani ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Neal

Njokuanilanded / min

Takedown attempts

Neal

Njokuaniattempts / min

Control time

Neal

Njokuani% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Geoff Neal	5.8	4.9	4.5	0.11	15%	14
R1	Chidi Njokuani	6.0	5.2	4.6	0.05	16%	10
R2	Geoff Neal	6.1	5.2	5.5	0.10	15%	9
R2	Chidi Njokuani	6.5	5.6	2.7	0.04	17%	6
R3	Geoff Neal	5.6	5.0	6.6	0.03	11%	7
R3	Chidi Njokuani	7.6	6.6	3.9	0.15	14%	4
R4	Geoff Neal	3.9	3.0	6.8	0.00	21%	1
R4	Chidi Njokuani	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Geoff Neal	7.1	6.6	9.8	0.00	13%	1
R5	Chidi Njokuani	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.