Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Jan Blachowicz

edge

Navajo Stirling

Striking

Stirling ▸

Stirling out-strikes Blachowicz

Effective offense

A

72nd

1.8

+23

A+

95th

3.3

Defense

C

56th

52%

+17

A

73rd

58%

KO power

C

9 KO

0.3 KD

Even

C

5 KO

0.4 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Both control well

Takedowns landed

C

53rd

1.0

Even

C

52nd

1.0

Takedown accuracy

A

72nd

49%

+13

B

60th

40%

Takedown defense

B

59th

69%

Even

B

58th

70%

Control time

C

43rd

2.0 min

+11

C

53rd

2.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Blachowicz

Blachowicz is the bigger submission threat on Stirling

Submission attempts

B

65th

0.4

+39

D

26th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

69th

31%

9 subs

+16

C

53rd

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

C

47th

5%

Even

C

49th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both hard to finish

Finish rate

D

37th

58%

Even

D

33rd

40%

KO durability

A

73rd

5%

Even

B

68th

0%

Submission defense

C

45th

5%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Stirling ▸

Stirling pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

4.7

7.6

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

4.4

6.7

Pace trend

+11%/rd

+24%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Stirling ▸

Stirling is in better recent form than Blachowicz

Win rate (career)

60%

100%

After a win

58%

100%

Last 5

33%

100%

Win streak—W5

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Blachowicz

Blachowicz has faced the tougher schedule vs Stirling

Schedule strength

78%

22%

Win quality

53%

69%

Ranked opponents

14

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Stirling ▸

Stirling is fresher and more active than Blachowicz

Last bout

7mo

1mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

3

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

6

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Stirling ▸

Stirling 5 cm · Stirling 15y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Jan BlachowiczvsNavajo Stirling

43

Age

15y

younger

28

6'2"

188cm

Height

2"

taller

6'4"

193cm

78"

198cm

Reach

1"

reach

79"

201cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Jan BlachowiczNavajo Stirling

Percentile

Striking/min3.556.25

Accuracy%50%52%

Defense%52%58%

Takedowns/151.01.0

TD defense%69%82%

Submissions/150.40.0

Career rate as a percentile within the light heavyweight (226 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Navajo Stirling, from opponents’ full pro records

Navajo Stirling

Developmental

Opponents' combined record

33-40-2

.452 win rate

Winning-record opponents

0 of 4

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

4

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

BlachowiczJan Blachowicz

StirlingNavajo Stirling

0-30%

As pick'em

—

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

BlachowiczJan Blachowicz

Stat

StirlingNavajo Stirling

5

1

KO / TKO

2

—

2

1

Submission

0

—

5

6

Decision

3

—

12:36

Avg fight time

12:30

Jan Blachowicz’s splits

vs Stirling

vs Southpaw

2-0100%

vs Switch

2-0100%

vs Shorter reach

8-467%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Navajo Stirling’s splits

vs Blachowicz

vs Southpaw

1-0100%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Jan BlachowiczvsNavajo Stirling

43

Age

15y

younger

28

6'2"

188cm

Height

2"

taller

6'4"

193cm

78"

198cm

Reach

1"

reach

79"

201cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

57th

+16

A

73rd

Stirling has the striking edge (+16).

Attacking

Blachowicz’s offensevsStirling’s defense

Where Blachowicz attacks (green = high volume) vs where Stirling gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Blachowicz’s green zones meeting Stirling’s red zones are the openings.

Jan BlachowiczOffense

Head62%59th638
Body21%64th213
Leg18%61st186

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Navajo StirlingDefense

Head58%63rd92
Body21%54th33
Leg21%50th33

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Blachowicz — by position

78%Standing

Standing78%812
Clinch10%107
Ground11%118

Stirling — absorbed by position

89%Standing

Standing89%140
Clinch9%15
Ground2%3

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Blachowicz’s offensevsStirling’s defense

Head

B

59th

32.7

Even

B

63rd

28.1

Body

B

64th

10.8

+9

C

54th

9.0

Leg

B

61st

9.4

+10

C

50th

8.3

Stirling’s offensevsBlachowicz’s defense

Head

A

74th

41.2

+12

B

62nd

28.9

Body

A+

94th

22.3

+33

B

61st

8.2

Leg

A

72nd

11.2

+42

D

30th

11.1

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Jan Blachowicz	above division average32.7	42%	above division average28.9	638
Head	Navajo Stirling	top 26% of division41.2	42%	above division average28.1	199
Body	Jan Blachowicz	above division average10.8	67%	above division average8.2	213
Body	Navajo Stirling	top 6% of division22.3	71%	around division average9.0	130
Leg	Jan Blachowicz	above division average9.4	84%	below division average11.1	186
Leg	Navajo Stirling	top 28% of division11.2	74%	around division average8.3	55

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Jan Blachowicz

Navajo Stirling

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

60th

Even

C

58th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

57th

1.0

Even

B

60th

1.0

Takedown accuracy

A

72nd

49%

19/39

+13

B

60th

40%

4/10

Takedown defense

B

59th

69%

41/59

Even

B

58th

70%

23/33

Submission threat

B

66th

0.4

+9

C

57th

0.0

Control time

C

45th

2.0 min

+9

C

55th

2.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Jan Blachowicz	Navajo Stirling
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.019	1.04
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	49%19 / 39	40%4 / 10
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	69%41 / 59	70%23 / 33
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.47	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.0 min39:08	2.7 min11:12
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	4.0 min78:07	2.8 min11:41

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Jan Blachowicz

75

Schedule Score

Navajo Stirling

38

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

292 min

22 bouts

Octagon time

230 min

more

62 min

5 bouts

Schedule strength

78%

22%

Win quality

53%

69%

Ranked opponents

14

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Jan Blachowicz	Navajo Stirling
Champion	0-3-1	—
Top-5	6-4	—
Ranked 6–15	1-1-1	1-0
Cross-div champ	2-0	—
Cross-div ranked	1-0	—
Building	1-0	1-0
Unproven	1-0	3-0

Jan Blachowicz — bouts

Navajo Stirling — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Jan Blachowicz

Navajo Stirling

Blachowicz — last 5

recent → old

Stirling — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

1-2-2

5-0

Current streak

—

W5

Ranked opps

4 of 5

1 of 5

Layoff

8 mo

31 d

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Jan Blachowicz

Navajo Stirling

Post-result bounce

SituationBlachowicz Stirling

After a loss

4-357%

—

After a win

7-464%

4-0100%

Camp length

SituationBlachowicz Stirling

Short turnaround< 100 days

3-0100%

1-0100%

Typical camp100–180 days

3-350%

2-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

5-550%

1-0100%

Title fights

SituationBlachowicz Stirling

All title fightschallenger or champ

2-167%

—

As championbelt defenses

1-150%

—

As challengerfor the belt

1-0100%

—

Rematches

SituationBlachowicz Stirling

All rematchesany repeat opponent

2-0100%

—

Revenge boutslost the first

2-0100%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Jan Blachowicz

Navajo Stirling

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Blachowicz18W–4L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Stirling5W–0L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑6%·Blachowicz

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑6%·Blachowicz

F

20th

62%

Even

F

20th

56%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

45%

44%

KO durability

↑5%·Stirling

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑5%·Stirling

A

77th

5%

Even

A

83rd

0%

Submission defense

↑5%·Stirling

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑5%·Stirling

B

59th

5%

+9

B

67th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Jan Blachowicz	Navajo Stirling
Wins
by KO / TKO	9(31%)	5(56%)
by submission	9(31%)	0(0%)
by decision	11(38%)	4(44%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(18%)	0
by submission	2(18%)	0
by decision	7(64%)	0

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Jan Blachowicz

vs

Navajo Stirling

23%

5 KO/TKO in 22 bouts

Knockout rate

50%

3 KO/TKO in 6 bouts

7

1.1 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

2

1.0 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

2

0.4 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Jan BlachowiczFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Thiago Santos7y 4mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · Feb 23, 2019 · R3 · 0:39
Last time submitted
vs Glover Teixeira4y 8mo ago
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021 · R2 · 3:02

Navajo StirlingFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Jan Blachowicz

119%

R3 vs R1 · 15 bouts reaching R3

Navajo Stirling

141%

R3 vs R1 · 3 bouts reaching R3

Both lean the same way, but Stirling leans harder: Stirling builds (+24% per round through round 3), Blachowicz builds (+12% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Blachowicz lifts to 119% of round-1 output by round 3, Stirling 141%.

Blachowicz ▲ BUILDS

Stirling ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Blachowicz

Stirlinglanded / min

Takedown attempts

Blachowicz

Stirlingattempts / min

Control time

Blachowicz

Stirling% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Jan Blachowicz	4.1	3.4	2.4	0.08	13%	22
R1	Navajo Stirling	5.7	5.1	2.4	0.08	11%	5
R2	Jan Blachowicz	4.7	3.6	3.6	0.18	12%	20
R2	Navajo Stirling	7.7	6.0	2.3	0.22	28%	5
R3	Jan Blachowicz	5.2	4.2	4.3	0.18	13%	15
R3	Navajo Stirling	9.4	8.2	3.1	0.20	15%	3
R4	Jan Blachowicz	3.5	2.1	1.5	0.13	23%	3
R4	Navajo Stirling	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Jan Blachowicz	3.7	2.9	2.1	0.07	17%	3
R5	Navajo Stirling	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.