Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Aleksandar Rakic

edge

Marcin Tybura

Striking

◂ Rakic

Rakic out-strikes Tybura

Effective offense

A

82nd

2.1

+10

A

72nd

1.7

Defense

C

57th

51%

Even

B

58th

55%

KO power

C

9 KO

0.4 KD

+18

D

10 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Both control well

Takedowns landed

C

43rd

0.6

+21

B

63rd

1.3

Takedown accuracy

D

31st

22%

+19

C

49th

33%

Takedown defense

A

78th

86%

+18

B

60th

71%

Control time

A

76th

4.8 min

Even

A

72nd

4.3 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Both real submission threats

Submission attempts

C

52nd

0.1

Even

C

51st

0.1

Sub win rate

B

65th

7%

1 sub

Even

A

70th

26%

7 subs

Submission defense

D

35th

5%

Even

D

36th

3%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both hard to finish

Finish rate

F

23rd

33%

Even

F

24th

43%

KO durability

C

50th

18%

Even

C

50th

21%

Submission defense

D

36th

0%

Even

D

36th

4%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Even

Similar work rate over the fight — Tybura's pace builds late

Work rate / min — full fight

6.0

5.6

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.0

5.1

Pace trend

+2%/rd

+18%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Tybura ▸

Tybura is in better recent form than Rakic

Win rate (career)

55%

58%

After a win

67%

57%

Last 5

20%

40%

Win streakL4L2

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

80%

59%

Win quality

37%

50%

Ranked opponents

8

17

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Tybura ▸

Tybura is fresher and more active than Rakic

Last bout

9mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

2

5

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Rakic

Rakic 3 cm · Rakic 6y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Aleksandar RakicvsMarcin Tybura

34

Age

6y

younger

40

6'4"

193cm

Height

1"

taller

6'3"

191cm

78"

198cm

Reach

Even

78"

198cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Aleksandar RakicMarcin Tybura

Percentile

Striking/min4.133.56

Accuracy%50%48%

Defense%51%55%

Takedowns/150.61.3

TD defense%85%70%

Submissions/150.10.1

Career rate as a percentile within the heavyweight (304 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

RakicAleksandar Rakic

TyburaMarcin Tybura

1-0100%

As pick'em

4-267%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

RakicAleksandar Rakic

Stat

TyburaMarcin Tybura

2

3

KO / TKO

5

0

Submission

1

4

2

Decision

8

4

10:41

Avg fight time

11:01

Aleksandar Rakic’s splits

vs Tybura

vs Southpaw

0-10%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

2-167%

vs Shorter reach

4-357%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Marcin Tybura’s splits

vs Rakic

vs Southpaw

4-180%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

4-267%

vs Shorter reach

7-558%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Aleksandar RakicvsMarcin Tybura

34

Age

6y

younger

40

6'4"

193cm

Height

1"

taller

6'3"

191cm

78"

198cm

Reach

Even

78"

198cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

65th

+9

C

56th

Rakic has the striking edge (+9).

Attacking

Rakic’s offensevsTybura’s defense

Where Rakic attacks (green = high volume) vs where Tybura gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Rakic’s green zones meeting Tybura’s red zones are the openings.

Aleksandar RakicOffense

Head52%55th254
Body16%58th76
Leg32%92nd155

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Marcin TyburaDefense

Head71%39th611
Body18%47th154
Leg11%57th96

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Rakic — by position

67%Standing

Standing67%323
Clinch10%47
Ground24%115

Tybura — absorbed by position

75%Standing

Standing75%645
Clinch17%145
Ground8%71

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Rakic’s offensevsTybura’s defense

Head

C

55th

32.5

+16

D

39th

34.8

Body

C

58th

9.5

+11

C

47th

8.8

Leg

A+

92nd

16.2

+35

C

57th

5.8

Tybura’s offensevsRakic’s defense

Head

B

59th

34.4

Even

B

67th

25.6

Body

B

69th

11.4

+28

D

41st

9.6

Leg

B

58th

6.9

+34

F

24th

10.6

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Aleksandar Rakic	above division average32.5	38%	above division average25.6	254
Head	Marcin Tybura	above division average34.4	40%	below division average34.8	611
Body	Aleksandar Rakic	above division average9.5	76%	below division average9.6	76
Body	Marcin Tybura	above division average11.4	71%	around division average8.8	208
Leg	Aleksandar Rakic	top 8% of division16.2	76%	well below average10.6	155
Leg	Marcin Tybura	above division average6.9	88%	above division average5.8	123

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Aleksandar Rakic

Marcin Tybura

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

58th

Even

B

60th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

50th

0.6

+13

B

64th

1.3

Takedown accuracy

D

31st

22%

5/23

+19

C

49th

33%

23/69

Takedown defense

A

78th

86%

18/21

+18

B

60th

71%

29/41

Submission threat

B

59th

0.1

Even

C

55th

0.1

Control time

A

72nd

4.8 min

Even

A

71st

4.3 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Aleksandar Rakic	Marcin Tybura
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.65	1.323
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	22%5 / 23	33%23 / 69
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	86%18 / 21	71%29 / 41
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.11	0.12
Control time / 15 (min)career total	4.8 min37:16	4.3 min75:30
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.7 min5:45	2.3 min40:59

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Aleksandar Rakic

68

Schedule Score

Marcin Tybura

58

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

118 min

11 bouts

Octagon time

146 min

more

264 min

24 bouts

Schedule strength

80%

59%

Win quality

37%

50%

Ranked opponents

8

17

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Aleksandar Rakic	Marcin Tybura
Champion	0-3	0-2
Top-5	3-1	3-2
Ranked 6–15	0-1	7-5
Cross-div ranked	1-0	—
Building	2-0	3-1
Unproven	—	1-0

Aleksandar Rakic — bouts

Marcin Tybura — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Aleksandar Rakic

Marcin Tybura

Rakic — last 5

recent → old

Tybura — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

1-4

2-3

Current streak

L4

L2

Ranked opps

5 of 5

2 of 5

Layoff

9 mo

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Aleksandar Rakic

Marcin Tybura

Post-result bounce

SituationRakic Tybura

After a loss

1-325%

6-367%

After a win

4-267%

8-657%

Camp length

SituationRakic Tybura

Short turnaround< 100 days

—

3-175%

Typical camp100–180 days

2-0100%

8-657%

Long layoff> 180 days

3-538%

3-260%

Rematches

SituationRakic Tybura

All rematchesany repeat opponent

—

0-10%

Encore boutswon the first

—

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Aleksandar Rakic

Marcin Tybura

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Rakic10W–4L by finish · 78% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Tybura17W–7L by finish · 65% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑8%·Rakic

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑8%·Rakic

D

28th

71%

+12

F

16th

63%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

30%

37%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

C

50th

15%

Even

C

48th

16%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

C

44th

5%

+13

C

57th

3%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Aleksandar Rakic	Marcin Tybura
Wins
by KO / TKO	9(64%)	10(37%)
by submission	1(7%)	7(26%)
by decision	4(29%)	10(37%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	3(50%)	6(55%)
by submission	1(17%)	1(9%)
by decision	2(33%)	4(36%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Aleksandar Rakic

vs

Marcin Tybura

18%

2 KO/TKO in 11 bouts

Knockout rate

21%

5 KO/TKO in 24 bouts

4

1.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.2 / 100 head

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

5

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

2

1.2 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

6

1.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Aleksandar RakicFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Azamat Murzakanov8 months ago
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Oct 25, 2025 · R1 · 3:11
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Marcin TyburaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Ante Delija10 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 6, 2025 · R1 · 2:03
Last time submitted
vs Serghei Spivac1y 11mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024 · R1 · 1:44

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Aleksandar Rakic

115%

R3 vs R1 · 7 bouts reaching R3

Marcin Tybura

145%

R3 vs R1 · 14 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Tybura: Tybura builds (+18% per round through round 3) while Rakic holds steady (+2% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Rakic lifts to 115% of round-1 output by round 3, Tybura 145%.

Rakic — HOLDS

Tybura ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Rakic

Tyburalanded / min

Takedown attempts

Rakic

Tyburaattempts / min

Control time

Rakic

Tybura% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Aleksandar Rakic	5.8	4.3	2.6	0.21	21%	11
R1	Marcin Tybura	4.6	2.9	3.5	0.19	27%	24
R2	Aleksandar Rakic	6.2	4.4	3.4	0.10	38%	8
R2	Marcin Tybura	5.6	3.8	3.1	0.27	26%	18
R3	Aleksandar Rakic	6.0	3.6	2.6	0.29	40%	7
R3	Marcin Tybura	6.6	4.0	2.7	0.38	39%	14
R4	Aleksandar Rakic	—	—	—	—	—	—
R4	Marcin Tybura	3.5	2.8	4.0	0.20	2%	1
R5	Aleksandar Rakic	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Marcin Tybura	8.4	8.4	7.6	0.00	0%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.