Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Uros Medic

edge

Daniel Rodriguez

Striking

◂ Medic

Medic out-strikes Rodriguez

Effective offense

A+

97th

3.4

Even

A+

97th

3.5

Defense

C

54th

56%

+15

D

39th

57%

KO power

A

11 KO

0.8 KD

+24

C

9 KO

0.5 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral

Takedowns landed

F

22nd

0.4

Even

F

16th

0.2

Takedown accuracy

50%

29%

Takedown defense

C

43rd

56%

+10

C

53rd

64%

Control time

F

11th

0.6 min

Even

F

13th

0.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Rodriguez ▸

Rodriguez is the bigger submission threat on Medic

Submission attempts

F

19th

0.0

+19

D

38th

0.1

Sub win rate

B

62nd

15%

2 subs

Even

B

64th

20%

4 subs

Submission defense

D

30th

13%

+11

D

41st

4%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Medic

Medic is more likely to finish Rodriguez

Finish rate

A

74th

100%

+38

D

36th

40%

KO durability

C

51st

10%

Even

C

56th

7%

Submission defense

D

26th

20%

+10

D

36th

7%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Rodriguez ▸

Rodriguez pushes the higher work rate over five rounds

Work rate / min — full fight

4.8

7.7

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

4.8

7.0

Pace trend—+20%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Medic

Medic is in better recent form than Rodriguez

Win rate (career)

70%

Even

71%

After a win

50%

78%

Last 5

80%

60%

Win streakW3W3

See full Form →

Schedule

Rodriguez ▸

Rodriguez has faced the tougher schedule vs Medic

Schedule strength

36%

53%

Win quality

62%

57%

Ranked opponents

2

5

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Common opp (1)1-01-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Medic

Medic is fresher and more active than Rodriguez

Last bout

5mo

12mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

3

0

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Even

Rodriguez 3" reach · Medic 6y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Uros MedicvsDaniel Rodriguez

33

Age

6y

younger

39

6'1"

185cm

Height

Even

6'1"

185cm

71"

180cm

Reach

3"

reach

74"

188cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Uros MedicDaniel Rodriguez

Percentile

Striking/min5.597.20

Accuracy%60%49%

Defense%56%57%

Takedowns/150.30.5

TD defense%55%64%

Submissions/150.00.1

Career rate as a percentile within the welterweight (442 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

MedicUros Medic

RodriguezDaniel Rodriguez

0-10%

As pick'em

0-10%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

MedicUros Medic

Stat

RodriguezDaniel Rodriguez

7

1

KO / TKO

3

1

0

2

Submission

1

0

Decision

6

2

4:10

Avg fight time

11:36

Uros Medic’s splits

vs Rodriguez

vs Orthodox

4-180%

vs Switch

2-0100%

vs Shorter reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Daniel Rodriguez’s splits

vs Medic

vs Orthodox

8-373%

vs Switch

2-0100%

vs Longer reach

4-267%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Uros MedicvsDaniel Rodriguez

33

Age

6y

younger

39

6'1"

185cm

Height

Even

6'1"

185cm

71"

180cm

Reach

3"

reach

74"

188cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

A

75th

+13

B

63rd

Medic has the striking edge (+13).

Attacking

Medic’s offensevsRodriguez’s defense

Where Medic attacks (green = high volume) vs where Rodriguez gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Medic’s green zones meeting Rodriguez’s red zones are the openings.

Uros MedicOffense

Head68%80th144
Body22%78th47
Leg10%59th22

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Daniel RodriguezDefense

Head59%21st510
Body22%17th187
Leg19%12th166

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Medic — by position

65%Standing

Standing65%138
Clinch13%28
Ground22%47

Rodriguez — absorbed by position

92%Standing

Standing92%791
Clinch3%30
Ground5%42

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Medic’s offensevsRodriguez’s defense

Head

A

80th

40.1

+60

F

21st

44.3

Body

A

78th

13.1

+61

F

17th

15.8

Leg

B

59th

8.1

+47

F

12th

13.7

Rodriguez’s offensevsMedic’s defense

Head

A+

95th

60.5

+52

C

43rd

33.0

Body

A+

92nd

18.9

+53

D

39th

10.8

Leg

A+

86th

15.4

+54

D

32nd

9.2

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Uros Medic	top 20% of division40.1	51%	below division average33.0	144
Head	Daniel Rodriguez	elite — top of division60.5	40%	well below average44.3	749
Body	Uros Medic	top 22% of division13.1	70%	below division average10.8	47
Body	Daniel Rodriguez	top 8% of division18.9	73%	well below average15.8	233
Leg	Uros Medic	above division average8.1	96%	below division average9.2	22
Leg	Daniel Rodriguez	top 14% of division15.4	92%	bottom of the division13.7	188

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Uros Medic

Daniel Rodriguez

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

43rd

Even

D

36th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

45th

0.4

+20

F

25th

0.2

Takedown accuracy

50%

1/2

29%

2/7

Takedown defense

C

43rd

56%

10/18

+10

C

53rd

64%

32/50

Submission threat

C

50th

0.0

Even

C

43rd

0.1

Control time

D

36th

0.6 min

+13

F

23rd

0.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Uros Medic	Daniel Rodriguez
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.41	0.22
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	50%1 / 2	29%2 / 7
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	56%10 / 18	64%32 / 50
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.11
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.6 min1:32	0.7 min8:03
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	4.5 min12:38	1.8 min19:19

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Uros Medic

Daniel Rodriguez

Record vs common opponents

Even

1-0

1-0

1-0

1-0

Both won

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Uros Medic

45

Schedule Score

Daniel Rodriguez

55

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

42 min

10 bouts

Octagon time

121 min

more

163 min

14 bouts

Schedule strength

36%

53%

Win quality

62%

57%

Ranked opponents

2

5

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Uros Medic	Daniel Rodriguez
Top-5	—	0-3
Ranked 6–15	2-1	3-0
Cross-div ranked	—	2-0
Contender-level	—	1-1
Established	1-2	1-0
Building	2-0	1-0
Unproven	2-0	2-0

Uros Medic — bouts

Daniel Rodriguez — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Uros Medic

Daniel Rodriguez

Medic — last 5

recent → old

Rodriguez — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

4-1

3-2

Current streak

W3

Even

W3

Ranked opps

2 of 5

3 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

12 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Uros Medic

Daniel Rodriguez

Post-result bounce

SituationMedic Rodriguez

After a loss

3-0100%

2-250%

After a win

3-350%

7-278%

Camp length

SituationMedic Rodriguez

Short turnaround< 100 days

1-0100%

4-267%

Typical camp100–180 days

2-167%

3-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

3-260%

2-250%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Uros Medic

Daniel Rodriguez

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Medic12W–3L by finish · 75% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Rodriguez13W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑35%·Medic

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑35%·Medic

A

82nd

100%

+48

D

34th

65%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

0%

40%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

B

66th

6%

+8

A

74th

4%

Submission defense

↑9%·Rodriguez

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑9%·Rodriguez

D

32nd

13%

+27

B

59th

4%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Uros Medic	Daniel Rodriguez
Wins
by KO / TKO	11(85%)	9(45%)
by submission	2(15%)	4(20%)
by decision	0(0%)	7(35%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(33%)	1(20%)
by submission	2(67%)	1(20%)
by decision	0(0%)	3(60%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Uros Medic

vs

Daniel Rodriguez

73%

8 KO/TKO in 11 bouts

Knockout rate

20%

3 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

8

5.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

7

0.9 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

3

3.4 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

3

0.6 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Uros MedicFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Punahele Soriano1y 6mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025 · R1 · 0:31
Last time submitted
vs Myktybek Orolbai2y 8mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023 · R2 · 4:12

Daniel RodriguezFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Ian Machado Garry3y 2mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023 · R1 · 2:57
Last time submitted
vs Neil Magny3y 8mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 5, 2022 · R3 · 3:33

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Uros Medic

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Daniel Rodriguez

154%

R3 vs R1 · 10 bouts reaching R3

Rodriguez lifts to 154% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Medic hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Medic

Rodriguez ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Medic

Rodriguezlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Medic

Rodriguezattempts / min

Control time

Medic

Rodriguez% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Uros Medic	5.6	5.2	3.5	0.07	5%	10
R1	Daniel Rodriguez	6.0	5.9	5.6	0.02	1%	14
R2	Uros Medic	3.9	3.9	3.5	0.00	0%	3
R2	Daniel Rodriguez	8.1	7.8	4.8	0.02	6%	11
R3	Uros Medic	10.1	10.0	4.2	0.00	2%	1
R3	Daniel Rodriguez	9.1	8.4	5.6	0.11	9%	10

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.