Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez — Welterweight at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Rounds
- 5 × 5 min
- Venue
- Belgrade Arena · Belgrade, Serbia
Matchup read
Where each fighter holds an advantage in this matchup — offense weighed against the opponent's defense. Tap any row to see the numbers behind it. Descriptive — not a prediction.
StrikingEven
Even striking exchange
GrapplingEven
Wrestling stays neutral
SubmissionSlight edge · Rodriguez
Rodriguez is the bigger submission threat — reduced by the defense of Medic
FinishingClear edge · Medic
Medic is more likely to finish Rodriguez
PaceClear edge · Rodriguez
Tale of the tapeSlight edge · Medic
Rodriguez 3" reach · Medic 3 cm · Medic 6y younger
Each edge weighs one fighter’s offense against the other’s defense in this matchup, not each fighter vs the division in isolation — so a strong defense reduces (not erases) the opposing threat. Tap a row for the percentiles behind it. Thin samples are dimmed; too little data reads “not enough data.”
Markets
Record when favored vs. an underdog, across each fighter’s priced UFC bouts.
Career splits
Tale of the Tape
The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Recent form
Last five pro bouts (non-UFC fights dashed + tagged), current trajectory, and the level of opposition going into this matchup.
Common opponents
The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Uros Medic | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Top-15 | 2-0 | 3-2 |
| Cross-div ranked | — | 2-0 |
| Long-tenured vet | — | 1-0 |
| Contender-level | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Established | 1-0 | — |
| Building | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Unproven | 2-1 | 2-0 |
- W vs Geoff Neal#1363Feb 21, 2026 · Top-15
- W vs Muslim Salikhov#1560Nov 8, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Gilbert Urbina8Aug 9, 2025 · Unproven
- L vs Punahele Soriano18Jan 11, 2025 · Building
- W vs Tim Means45Apr 27, 2024 · Contender-level
- L vs Myktybek Orolbai8Nov 18, 2023 · Unproven
- W vs Matthew Semelsberger30Jul 29, 2023 · Established
- W vs Omar Morales18May 21, 2022 · Building
- L vs Jalin Turner18Sep 25, 2021 · Building
- W vs Aalon Cruz8Mar 6, 2021 · Unproven
- W vs Kevin Holland#1462Jul 19, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Santiago Ponzinibbio#1462May 3, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Alex Morono60Oct 12, 2024 · Long-tenured vet
- L vs Kelvin Gastelum#1167Jun 22, 2024 · Top-15
- L vs Ian Machado Garry18May 13, 2023 · Building
- L vs Neil Magny#1363Nov 5, 2022 · Top-15
- W vs Li Jingliang45Sep 10, 2022 · Cross-div ranked
- W vs Kevin Lee45Aug 28, 2021 · Cross-div ranked
- W vs Preston Parsons8Jul 17, 2021 · Unproven
- W vs Mike Perry#1560Apr 10, 2021 · Top-15
- L vs Nicolas Dalby18Nov 21, 2020 · Building
- W vs Dwight Grant18Aug 22, 2020 · Building
- W vs Gabe Green8May 30, 2020 · Unproven
- W vs Tim Means45Feb 15, 2020 · Contender-level
Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with quality wins (35%). For fighters with limited UFC experience the headline is held toward a rookie baseline — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule — so debut and low-sample fighters read lower than established names. Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, and falls back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Striking matchup
Where each fighter lands their strikes — and where each one gets hit — across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Uros Medic | 51.9top 9% of division | 51% | 31.7around division average | 144 |
| Head | Daniel Rodriguez | 69.1elite — top of division | 40% | 47.1well below average | 749 |
| Body | Uros Medic | 16.9top 12% of division | 70% | 11.2below division average | 47 |
| Body | Daniel Rodriguez | 21.5elite — top of division | 73% | 17.3bottom of the division | 233 |
| Leg | Uros Medic | 7.92above division average | 96% | 10.4well below average | 22 |
| Leg | Daniel Rodriguez | 17.4top 10% of division | 92% | 15.3bottom of the division | 188 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Wrestling output, ground threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Uros Medic | Daniel Rodriguez | Career totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1 / 2 |
| Takedown accuracy | 50% | 29% | 1/2 · 2/7 |
| Takedown defense | 56% | 64% | stopped 10/18 · 32/50 |
| Submission attempts / 15 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 / 1 |
| Control time / 15 (min) | 0.6 min | 0.7 min | 1:32 · 8:03 |
| Time controlled BY opponent / 15 (min) | 4.5 min | 1.8 min | 12:38 · 19:19 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every UFC finish on the fight clockFinish & durability rates
UFC bouts only
Full method breakdown
| Outcome | Uros Medic | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 7(100%) | 3(30%) |
| by submission | 0(0%) | 1(10%) |
| by decision | 0(0%) | 6(60%) |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 1(33%) | 1(25%) |
| by submission | 2(67%) | 1(25%) |
| by decision | 0(0%) | 2(50%) |
| Pace | ||
| Avg finish time (own wins) | R1 3:59 | R2 1:30 |
| Finishes used in avg | 7 | 4 |
Counts come from the same denormalised win/loss-by-method columns the rest of the site uses. The percentile context on each row is computed against fighters currently assigned to this weight class with at least two resolved UFC bouts.
KO history
UFC fights only — knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head, then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last time KO'dvs Punahele Soriano1y 4mo agoUFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025 · R1 · 0:31
- Last time submittedvs Myktybek Orolbai2y 6mo agoUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023 · R2 · 4:12
- Last time KO'dvs Ian Machado Garry3 years agoUFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023 · R1 · 2:57
- Last time submittedvs Neil Magny3y 6mo agoUFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 5, 2022 · R3 · 3:33
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Rodriguez actually builds to 154% of round-1 work rate by round 3. Medic hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a fade pattern yet.
Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uros Medic | 5.6 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 0.07 | 5% | 10 |
| R1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 0.02 | 1% | 14 |
| R2 | Uros Medic | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 0.00 | 0% | 3 |
| R2 | Daniel Rodriguez | 8.1 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 0.02 | 6% | 11 |
| R3 | Uros Medic | 10.1 | 10.0 | 4.2 | 0.00 | 2% | 1 |
| R3 | Daniel Rodriguez | 9.1 | 8.4 | 5.6 | 0.11 | 9% | 10 |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Daniel has 7 months more layoff
- Uros Medic vs. Daniel Rodriguez booked for UFC Belgrade main eventmmafighting · May 25, 2026
- UFC Belgrade main event announced: Serbia’s Uros Medic vs. Daniel Rodriguezmmamania · May 25, 2026
- Uros Medic Set To Headline UFC Belgrade In Homecoming Bout Against 25-Fight Veteran On August 1lowkickmma · May 25, 2026