Losene Keita vs Muhammad Naimov Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Losene Keita

edge

Muhammad Naimov

Striking

◂ Keita

Keita out-strikes Naimov (thin sample)

Effective offense

C

56th

1.5

+25

D

31st

1.0

Defense

C

56th

62%

+24

D

32nd

44%

KO power

C

10 KO

0.0 KD

Even

D

6 KO

0.1 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Naimov ▸

Naimov has the bigger wrestling edge on Keita (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

F

8th

0.0

+53

B

62nd

1.8

Takedown accuracy—35%

Takedown defense

100%

74%

Control time

F

1st

0.0 min

+73

A

73rd

4.0 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Naimov ▸

Naimov is the bigger submission threat on Keita (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

19th

0.0

+23

C

42nd

0.2

Sub win rate

C

57th

0%

0 subs

Even

B

62nd

15%

2 subs

Submission defense

C

42nd

0%

Even

D

40th

6%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finish at a similar career clip — Keita 63% (10/16), Naimov 62% (8/13) of wins.

Finish rate (of wins)

63% (10/16)

Even

62% (8/13)

By KO/TKO

10

6

By submission

0

2

Avg finish round

R1.7 avg finish

Even

R1.7 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

Naimov ▸

Naimov pushes the higher work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

3.4

4.5

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

3.4

4.3

Pace trend—+2%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Naimov ▸

Naimov is in better recent form than Keita (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

0%

71%

After a win—60%

Last 5

80%

60%

Win streakL1L1

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

45%

18%

Win quality

5%

57%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Common opp (1)0-11-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Keita

Keita is fresher and more active than Naimov

Last bout

5mo

9mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

Even

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

1

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Keita

Keita 2" reach · Keita 4y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Losene KeitavsMuhammad Naimov

28

Age

4y

younger

32

5'9"

175cm

Height

Even

5'9"

175cm

72"

183cm

Reach

2"

reach

70"

178cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Losene KeitaMuhammad Naimov

Percentile

Striking/min3.472.51

Accuracy%43%40%

Defense%62%44%

Takedowns/150.01.5

TD defense%100%68%

Submissions/150.00.2

Career rate as a percentile within the featherweight (283 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Losene Keita, from opponents’ full pro records

Losene Keita

Strong

Opponents' combined record

240-131-1

.647 win rate

Winning-record opponents

11 of 17

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

17

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Losene Keita

Muhammad Naimov

70%

-270

MMA Index model

Unlock

30%

+222

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

KeitaLosene Keita

NaimovMuhammad Naimov

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

KeitaLosene Keita

Stat

NaimovMuhammad Naimov

—

0

KO / TKO

2

1

—

0

Submission

0

1

—

1

Decision

3

0

15:00

Avg fight time

10:46

Losene Keita’s splits

vs Naimov

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Muhammad Naimov’s splits

vs Keita

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

2-167%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Losene KeitavsMuhammad Naimov

28

Age

4y

younger

32

5'9"

175cm

Height

Even

5'9"

175cm

72"

183cm

Reach

2"

reach

70"

178cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

52nd

+18

D

35th

Keita has the striking edge (+18).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Keita’s offensevsNaimov’s defense

Head

C

57th

34.6

+20

A

77th

24.2

Body

B

60th

11.6

+30

D

30th

13.4

Leg

C

46th

7.3

+13

D

33rd

10.5

Naimov’s offensevsKeita’s defense

Head

D

32nd

25.7

+10

C

42nd

35.2

Body

D

42nd

8.9

+19

B

61st

9.4

Leg

C

47th

7.4

+32

F

14th

14.9

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Losene Keita	above division average34.6	36%	below division average35.2	36
Head	Muhammad Naimov	below division average25.7	31%	top 23% of division24.2	104
Body	Losene Keita	above division average11.6	87%	above division average9.4	13
Body	Muhammad Naimov	below division average8.9	62%	below division average13.4	38
Leg	Losene Keita	around division average7.3	100%	bottom of the division14.9	3
Leg	Muhammad Naimov	around division average7.4	83%	below division average10.5	33

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Losene Keita

Muhammad Naimov

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

50th

+9

B

59th

Naimov has the grappling edge (+9).

Takedowns

C

48th

0.0

+13

B

61st

1.8

Takedown accuracy

—

C

46th

35%

9/26

Takedown defense

100%

1/1

B

69th

74%

25/34

Submission threat

B

58th

0.0

Even

C

52nd

0.2

Control time

C

44th

0.0 min

+24

B

68th

4.0 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Losene Keita	Muhammad Naimov
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	1.89
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	35%9 / 26
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	100%1 / 1	74%25 / 34
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.21
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	4.0 min20:07
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	3.2 min16:02

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Losene Keita

Muhammad Naimov

Record vs common opponents

Edge · Naimov

0-1

0-1

1-0

1-0

Edge · Naimov

Decision (Split)R3· 5:00

Mar 21, 2026

Naimov

Oct 21, 2023

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

W

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Losene Keita

28

Schedule Score

Muhammad Naimov

35

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

15 min

1 bout

Octagon time

60 min

more

75 min

7 bouts

Schedule strength

45%

18%

Win quality

5%

57%

Ranked opponents

0

Even

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Losene Keita	Muhammad Naimov
Contender-level	0-1	1-0
Building	—	3-2
Unproven	—	1-0

Losene Keita — bouts

L vs Nathaniel Wood45
Mar 21, 2026 · Contender-level

Muhammad Naimov — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Losene Keita

Muhammad Naimov

Keita — last 5

recent → old

WOKTAGON

KO R2

Paradeiser

Dec ’24

WOKTAGON

DEC

Legierski

Sep ’24

WOKTAGON

KO R2

Bogdanovic

Jul ’24

WOKTAGON

DEC

Sardari

May ’24

Naimov — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

4-1

3-2

Current streak

L1

Even

L1

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

9 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Losene Keita

Muhammad Naimov

Post-result bounce

SituationKeita Naimov

After a loss

—

1-0100%

After a win

—

3-260%

Camp length

SituationKeita Naimov

Typical camp100–180 days

—

3-260%

Long layoff> 180 days

—

1-0100%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Losene Keita

Muhammad Naimov

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Keita10W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

R4

Naimov8W–2L by finish · 63% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

R4

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

20:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

D

35th

63%

Even

D

35th

62%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

39%

41%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

B

63rd

6%

Even

B

61st

6%

Submission defense

↑6%·Keita

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑6%·Keita

A

71st

0%

+11

B

61st

6%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Losene Keita	Muhammad Naimov
Wins
by KO / TKO	10(63%)	6(46%)
by submission	0(0%)	2(15%)
by decision	6(38%)	5(38%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(50%)	1(25%)
by submission	0(0%)	1(25%)
by decision	1(50%)	2(50%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Losene Keita

vs

Muhammad Naimov

0%

0 KO/TKO in 1 bout

Knockout rate

25%

2 KO/TKO in 8 bouts

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

1.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

1

1.2 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Losene KeitaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Muhammad NaimovFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Mairon Santos8 months ago
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025 · R3 · 0:21
Last time submitted
vs Felipe Lima2y 2mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024 · R3 · 1:15

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Losene Keita

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Muhammad Naimov

102%

R3 vs R1 · 5 bouts reaching R3

Naimov sustains 102% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Keita hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Keita

Naimov — HOLDSOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Keita

Naimovlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Keita

Naimovattempts / min

Control time

Keita

Naimov% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Losene Keita	2.2	2.2	3.4	0.00	0%	1
R1	Muhammad Naimov	4.5	2.5	2.6	0.36	24%	7
R2	Losene Keita	4.6	4.6	3.8	0.00	0%	1
R2	Muhammad Naimov	4.1	2.3	2.7	0.36	21%	6
R3	Losene Keita	3.6	3.6	6.2	0.00	0%	1
R3	Muhammad Naimov	4.7	2.1	3.6	0.30	42%	5

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.