Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Magomed Tuchalov

edge

Brendson Ribeiro

Striking

Not enough data

Effective offense—1.3

Defense—53%

KO power—9 KO

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed—0.9

Takedown accuracy—43%

Takedown defense—21%

Control time—0.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Not enough data

Submission attempts—0.6

Sub win rate

B

61st

20%

1 sub

+15

A

76th

41%

7 subs

Submission defense

C

46th

0%

+8

D

38th

11%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both are heavy finishers — Tuchalov by KO (5 of 5 wins), Ribeiro by KO (16 of 17).

Finish rate (of wins)

100% (5/5)

94% (16/17)

By KO/TKO

4

9

By submission

1

7

Avg finish round

R1.4 avg finish

R1.3 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

Even

Similar career tempo — fights reach a decision 0% (Tuchalov) vs 11% (Ribeiro) of the time.

Goes the distance

0%

11%

Avg finish round

R1.4 avg finish

R1.3 avg finish

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Tuchalov

Tuchalov has the hotter form — 5 of the last 5, 5-fight win streak.

Last 5

5-0

2-3

Current streak

5-fight win streak

3-fight skid

See full Form →

Schedule

Ribeiro ▸

Ribeiro has faced stiffer competition — opponents average 56% win rate vs 43%.

Opponents avg win rate

43%

56%

Opponents with a record on file

5 of 5

28 of 28

See full Schedule →

Activity

Ribeiro ▸

Ribeiro has fought more often lately than Tuchalov

Last bout

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

0

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

0

5

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Tuchalov

Tuchalov 5 cm

Magomed TuchalovvsBrendson Ribeiro

26

Age

3y

younger

29

6'5"

196cm

Height

2"

taller

6'3"

191cm

—

Reach

—

81"

206cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Magomed Tuchalov, from opponents’ full pro records

Magomed Tuchalov

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

24-17-1

.585 win rate

Winning-record opponents

2 of 5

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

5

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 6m ago

Magomed Tuchalov

Consensus

86%▲ 4

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Tuchalov

Kalshi87¢bestSportsbook-80086%

Brendson Ribeiro

Consensus

14%flat

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Ribeiro

Kalshi15¢Sportsbook+57514%

Tuchalov 86%14% Ribeiro

$4k vol · $4k OI$5k vol · $5k OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Magomed Tuchalov

57%-250

9%+800

10%+700

Brendson Ribeiro

10%+700

7%+1000

6%+1200

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Magomed Tuchalov

57%-250

9%+800

10%+700

Brendson Ribeiro

10%+700

7%+1000

6%+1200

Total rounds

Line · 1.5

Over34%+175
Under66%-250

Goes the distance

Yes15%+500
No85%-1000

UFC betting history

Career

TuchalovMagomed Tuchalov

RibeiroBrendson Ribeiro

—

As pick'em

0-10%

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi83%87%4 pts

Sportsbook83%86%3 pts

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

TuchalovMagomed Tuchalov

Stat

RibeiroBrendson Ribeiro

—

KO / TKO

0

3

—

Submission

1

—

Decision

1

—

Avg fight time

7:01

Magomed Tuchalov’s splits

vs Ribeiro

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Brendson Ribeiro’s splits

vs Tuchalov

vs Orthodox

0-40%

vs Southpaw

2-167%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-10%

vs Shorter reach

2-433%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Magomed TuchalovvsBrendson Ribeiro

26

Age

3y

younger

29

6'5"

196cm

Height

2"

taller

6'3"

191cm

—

Reach

—

81"

206cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

61st

Even

C

53rd

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Tuchalov’s offensevsRibeiro’s defense

Head

32.1

C

45th

33.3

Body

10.0

F

25th

13.1

Leg

8.3

D

37th

9.9

Ribeiro’s offensevsTuchalov’s defense

Head

C

42nd

26.2

36.4

Body

C

55th

9.4

10.4

Leg

B

59th

9.1

8.8

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Magomed Tuchalov	32.1	—	36.4	0
Head	Brendson Ribeiro	below division average26.2	31%	around division average33.3	68
Body	Magomed Tuchalov	10.0	—	10.4	0
Body	Brendson Ribeiro	above division average9.4	66%	well below average13.1	29
Leg	Magomed Tuchalov	8.3	—	8.8	0
Leg	Brendson Ribeiro	above division average9.1	68%	below division average9.9	32

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Magomed Tuchalov

Brendson Ribeiro

Overall Grappling

Grappling

—

C

47th

Takedowns

—

B

60th

0.9

Takedown accuracy

—

43%

3/7

Takedown defense

—

F

15th

21%

3/14

Submission threat

—

A

74th

0.6

Control time

—

D

40th

0.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Magomed Tuchalov	Brendson Ribeiro
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	0.93
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	43%3 / 7
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	—0 / 0	21%3 / 14
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.62
Control time / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	0.7 min2:13
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	0.0 min0:00	5.1 min16:43

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Magomed Tuchalov

—

Schedule Score

Brendson Ribeiro

31

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

UFC debut

Octagon time

—

49 min

7 bouts

Schedule strength

—%

24%

Win quality

—%

30%

Ranked opponents

0

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Magomed Tuchalov	Brendson Ribeiro
Ranked 6–15	—	0-2
Building	—	0-2
Unproven	—	2-1

Magomed Tuchalov — bouts

No resolved UFC bouts.

Brendson Ribeiro — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Magomed Tuchalov

Brendson Ribeiro

Tuchalov — pre-UFC · last 5

recent → old

WUAE

KO R1

Machado

Mar ’26

WUAE

KO R2

Nomvemve

Jan ’26

WUAE

KO R2

Gaziev

Sep ’25

WUAE

SUB R1

Sodikov

Jun ’25

WFIGHT

KO R1

Abdulmuslimov

Aug ’24

Ribeiro — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

5-0

2-3

Current streak

W5

L3

Ranked opps

0 of 5

1 of 5

Layoff

4 mo

Even

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Magomed Tuchalov

Brendson Ribeiro

Post-result bounce

SituationTuchalov Ribeiro

After a loss

—

1-325%

After a win

—

1-150%

Camp length

SituationTuchalov Ribeiro

Short turnaround< 100 days

—

0-20%

Typical camp100–180 days

—

2-167%

Long layoff> 180 days

—

0-10%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Magomed Tuchalov

Brendson Ribeiro

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Tuchalov5W–0L by finish · 60% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Ribeiro15W–8L by finish · 67% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑6%·Tuchalov

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑6%·Tuchalov

A

72nd

100%

Even

A

73rd

94%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

0%

11%

KO durability

↑19%·Tuchalov

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑19%·Tuchalov

A

75th

0%

+41

D

34th

19%

Submission defense

↑11%·Tuchalov

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑11%·Tuchalov

B

61st

0%

+30

D

32nd

11%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Magomed Tuchalov	Brendson Ribeiro
Wins
by KO / TKO	4(80%)	9(53%)
by submission	1(20%)	7(41%)
by decision	0(0%)	1(6%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0	5(50%)
by submission	0	3(30%)
by decision	0	2(20%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Magomed Tuchalov

vs

Brendson Ribeiro

0%

0 KO/TKO in 0 bouts

Knockout rate

13%

1 KO/TKO in 8 bouts

0

—

Knockdowns dealt

1

1.5 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

—

Knockdowns absorbed

2

2.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Magomed TuchalovFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Brendson RibeiroFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Oumar Sy10 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 6, 2025 · R1 · 4:42
Last time submitted
vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev3 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 4, 2026 · R1 · 2:52

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Magomed Tuchalov

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Brendson Ribeiro

52%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

Ribeiro drops to 52% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Tuchalov hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Magomed Tuchalov	—	—	—	—	—	—
R1	Brendson Ribeiro	4.0	3.1	4.1	0.22	7%	7
R2	Magomed Tuchalov	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Brendson Ribeiro	2.1	1.9	3.1	0.00	3%	3
R3	Magomed Tuchalov	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Brendson Ribeiro	2.5	2.2	3.9	0.10	0%	2

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.

Activity & layoff

Activity and recency vs division peers.

Time since last bout

Magomed3 months

Brendson3 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Magomed Tuchalov

Active

3 monthssince last bout

vs Caio Machado · Mar 28, 2026

Brendson Ribeiro

Active

3 monthssince last bout

vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Apr 4, 2026

Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro — Light Heavyweight at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov