Marc-Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Marc-Andre Barriault

edge

Kyle Daukaus

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

A+

93rd

2.7

+21

A

72nd

1.8

Defense

F

23rd

49%

+16

D

39th

42%

KO power

C

11 KO

0.2 KD

+8

C

2 KO

0.2 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Daukaus ▸

Daukaus has the bigger wrestling edge on Barriault

Takedowns landed

F

21st

0.3

+47

B

68th

1.8

Takedown accuracy

D

30th

23%

Even

D

28th

24%

Takedown defense

B

62nd

68%

Even

B

62nd

71%

Control time

D

27th

1.5 min

+63

A+

90th

6.0 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Daukaus ▸

Daukaus is the bigger submission threat on Barriault

Submission attempts

D

38th

0.1

+37

A

75th

0.9

Sub win rate

C

54th

6%

1 sub

+34

A+

88th

71%

12 subs

Submission defense

C

45th

4%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finishing threats

Finish rate

C

50th

67%

Even

C

54th

75%

KO durability

C

49th

19%

+17

D

32nd

33%

Submission defense

D

41st

6%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Even

Similar work rate over the fight — Barriault's pace builds late

Work rate / min — full fight

6.4

Even

6.1

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

5.9

6.5

Pace trend

+26%/rd

+1%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Daukaus ▸

Daukaus is in better recent form than Barriault

Win rate (career)

38%

44%

After a win

33%

25%

Last 5

20%

80%

Win streakL2L1

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

37%

40%

Win quality

31%

40%

Ranked opponents

3

2

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Common opps (2)1-11-1

See full Schedule →

Activity

Daukaus ▸

Daukaus is fresher and more active than Barriault

Last bout

7mo

2mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Daukaus ▸

Daukaus 2" reach · Daukaus 5 cm · Open-stance matchup

Marc-Andre BarriaultvsKyle Daukaus

36

Age

3y

younger

33

6'1"

185cm

Height

2"

taller

6'3"

191cm

74"

188cm

Reach

2"

reach

76"

193cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

On the bubbleMarc-Andre Barriault 34% cut risk · 2-fight skid

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Marc-Andre BarriaultKyle Daukaus

Percentile

Striking/min5.653.32

Accuracy%47%53%

Defense%49%42%

Takedowns/150.32.1

TD defense%68%82%

Submissions/150.12.1

Career rate as a percentile within the middleweight (354 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

BarriaultMarc-Andre Barriault

DaukausKyle Daukaus

0-10%

As pick'em

—

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

BarriaultMarc-Andre Barriault

Stat

DaukausKyle Daukaus

3

KO / TKO

1

3

1

Submission

2

0

2

6

Decision

1

2

10:23

Avg fight time

7:14

Marc-Andre Barriault’s splits

vs Daukaus

vs Orthodox

5-838%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

2-250%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Kyle Daukaus’s splits

vs Barriault

vs Southpaw

1-233%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

2-167%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Marc-Andre BarriaultvsKyle Daukaus

36

Age

3y

younger

33

6'1"

185cm

Height

2"

taller

6'3"

191cm

74"

188cm

Reach

2"

reach

76"

193cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

56th

Even

C

51st

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Barriault’s offensevsDaukaus’s defense

Where Barriault attacks (green = high volume) vs where Daukaus gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Barriault’s green zones meeting Daukaus’s red zones are the openings.

Marc-Andre BarriaultOffense

Head71%91st657
Body21%86th191
Leg8%56th73

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Kyle DaukausDefense

Head63%46th139
Body27%26th59
Leg10%58th21

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Barriault — by position

67%Standing

Standing67%613
Clinch27%253
Ground6%55

Daukaus — absorbed by position

44%Standing

Standing44%97
Clinch21%47
Ground34%75

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Barriault’s offensevsDaukaus’s defense

Head

A+

91st

53.0

+44

C

46th

32.1

Body

A+

86th

15.7

+60

D

26th

12.0

Leg

C

56th

6.8

Even

C

58th

5.9

Daukaus’s offensevsBarriault’s defense

Head

B

61st

31.0

+53

F

8th

51.5

Body

C

43rd

7.4

+39

F

5th

22.4

Leg

C

53rd

6.4

+14

D

39th

8.3

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Marc-Andre Barriault	top 9% of division53.0	40%	bottom of the division51.5	657
Head	Kyle Daukaus	above division average31.0	43%	around division average32.1	138
Body	Marc-Andre Barriault	top 14% of division15.7	76%	bottom of the division22.4	191
Body	Kyle Daukaus	below division average7.4	71%	well below average12.0	25
Leg	Marc-Andre Barriault	above division average6.8	82%	below division average8.3	73
Leg	Kyle Daukaus	around division average6.4	86%	above division average5.9	25

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Marc-Andre Barriault

Kyle Daukaus

Overall Grappling

Grappling

D

39th

+22

B

61st

Daukaus has the grappling edge (+22).

Takedowns

D

30th

0.3

+35

B

64th

1.8

Takedown accuracy

D

30th

23%

3/13

Even

D

28th

24%

8/33

Takedown defense

B

62nd

68%

46/68

Even

B

62nd

71%

10/14

Submission threat

D

41st

0.1

+29

A

70th

0.9

Control time

D

32nd

1.5 min

+46

A

78th

6.0 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Marc-Andre Barriault	Kyle Daukaus
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.33	1.88
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	23%3 / 13	24%8 / 33
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	68%46 / 68	71%10 / 14
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.11	0.94
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.5 min16:26	6.0 min25:57
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.3 min36:11	4.5 min19:43

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

Every UFC opponent both fighters have faced — a direct comparison controlling for matchmaking.

Marc-Andre Barriault

Kyle Daukaus

Record vs common opponents

Even

1-1

1-1

1-1

1-1

Edge · Daukaus

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

Edge · Barriault

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Marc-Andre Barriault

36

Schedule Score

Kyle Daukaus

41

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

166 min

16 bouts

Octagon time

101 min

more

65 min

9 bouts

Schedule strength

37%

40%

Win quality

31%

40%

Ranked opponents

3

2

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Marc-Andre Barriault	Kyle Daukaus
Top-5	0-1	0-1
Ranked 6–15	0-4	1-2, 1 NC
Cross-div ranked	1-0	—
Contender-level	0-2	—
Established	1-2	0-1
Building	0-0, 1 NC	1-1
Unproven	4-1	2-0

Marc-Andre Barriault — bouts

Kyle Daukaus — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Marc-Andre Barriault

Kyle Daukaus

Barriault — last 5

recent → old

Daukaus — last 5

recent → old

WCFFC

KO R1

Patershuk

Jun ’24

WCFFC

SUB R3

Fallon

Feb ’24

Last 5 record

1-4

4-1

Current streak

L2

L1

Ranked opps

1 of 5

Even

1 of 5

Layoff

7 mo

2 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Marc-Andre Barriault

Kyle Daukaus

Post-result bounce

SituationBarriault Daukaus

After a loss

4-544%

3-175%

After a win

2-433%

1-325%

Camp length

SituationBarriault Daukaus

Short turnaround< 100 days

2-250%

1-0100%

Typical camp100–180 days

2-529%

1-325%

Long layoff> 180 days

2-250%

2-167%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Marc-Andre Barriault

Kyle Daukaus

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Barriault12W–4L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Daukaus14W–3L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑11%·Daukaus

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑11%·Daukaus

D

32nd

71%

+14

C

46th

82%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

43%

23%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

B

60th

11%

Even

C

52nd

14%

Submission defense

↑4%·Daukaus

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑4%·Daukaus

B

67th

4%

Even

A

71st

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Marc-Andre Barriault	Kyle Daukaus
Wins
by KO / TKO	11(65%)	2(12%)
by submission	1(6%)	12(71%)
by decision	5(29%)	3(18%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	3(27%)	3(60%)
by submission	1(9%)	0(0%)
by decision	7(64%)	2(40%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Marc-Andre Barriault

vs

Kyle Daukaus

19%

3 KO/TKO in 16 bouts

Knockout rate

10%

1 KO/TKO in 10 bouts

3

0.5 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

2

1.4 / 100 head

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

3

0.5 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

5

3.6 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Marc-Andre BarriaultFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Dustin Stoltzfus1y 9mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 2, 2024 · R1 · 4:28
Last time submitted
vs Anthony Hernandez3y 11mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022 · R3 · 1:53

Kyle DaukausFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Bo Nickal2 months ago
UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 14, 2026 · R1 · 4:34
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Marc-Andre Barriault

192%

R3 vs R1 · 10 bouts reaching R3

Kyle Daukaus

112%

R3 vs R1 · 3 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Barriault: Barriault builds (+26% per round through round 3) while Daukaus holds steady (+1% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Barriault lifts to 192% of round-1 output by round 3, Daukaus 112%.

Barriault ▲ BUILDS

Daukaus — HOLDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Barriault

Daukauslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Barriault

Daukausattempts / min

Control time

Barriault

Daukaus% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Marc-Andre Barriault	4.0	3.5	5.6	0.06	8%	16
R1	Kyle Daukaus	5.4	2.4	3.1	0.46	40%	9
R2	Marc-Andre Barriault	7.8	7.1	6.7	0.11	9%	11
R2	Kyle Daukaus	7.5	3.7	4.5	0.85	32%	4
R3	Marc-Andre Barriault	7.3	6.6	6.1	0.06	14%	10
R3	Kyle Daukaus	5.5	3.0	2.7	0.20	48%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.