Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Katlyn Cerminara Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Jamey-Lyn Horth

edge

Katlyn Cerminara

Striking

◂ Horth

Horth out-strikes Cerminara

Effective offense

B

64th

1.8

+19

C

45th

1.6

Defense

A

83rd

63%

+26

C

57th

62%

KO power

D

4 KO

0.0 KD

+19

F

2 KO

0.1 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Horth

Horth has the bigger wrestling edge on Cerminara

Takedowns landed

C

43rd

1.0

+31

F

12th

0.3

Takedown accuracy

C

56th

43%

+40

F

15th

16%

Takedown defense

A

78th

81%

+38

D

40th

50%

Control time

D

42nd

2.2 min

+27

F

15th

1.2 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way

Submission attempts

D

37th

0.2

+9

C

47th

0.3

Sub win rate

B

61st

22%

2 subs

+16

C

45th

6%

1 sub

Submission defense

C

48th

0%

Even

C

48th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Horth

Horth is more likely to finish Cerminara

Finish rate

D

40th

25%

+21

F

19th

0%

KO durability

D

41st

0%

+10

D

30th

12%

Submission defense

C

48th

0%

Even

C

48th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Cerminara ▸

Cerminara pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

4.9

5.3

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

4.4

5.0

Pace trend

+17%/rd

+9%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Comparable recent form

Win rate (career)

57%

65%

After a win

25%

55%

Last 5

60%

Even

60%

Win streakL1L2

See full Form →

Schedule

Cerminara ▸

Cerminara has faced the tougher schedule vs Horth

Schedule strength

31%

78%

Win quality

35%

59%

Ranked opponents

2

13

Title-holder bouts

0

1

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Horth

Horth is fresher and more active than Cerminara

Last bout

4mo

30mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

0

Bouts, last 24 mo

5

0

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Cerminara ▸

Cerminara 2" reach · Cerminara 5 cm · Closed-stance matchup

Jamey-Lyn HorthvsKatlyn Cerminara

36

Age

1y

younger

37

5'7"

170cm

Height

2"

taller

5'9"

175cm

66"

168cm

Reach

2"

reach

68"

173cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

On the bubbleKatlyn Cerminara 35% cut risk · 2-fight skid

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Jamey-Lyn HorthKatlyn Cerminara

Percentile

Striking/min3.804.58

Accuracy%47%34%

Defense%63%62%

Takedowns/151.00.3

TD defense%80%50%

Submissions/150.20.3

Career rate as a percentile within the women's flyweight (74 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

HorthJamey-Lyn Horth

CerminaraKatlyn Cerminara

—

As pick'em

1-0100%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

HorthJamey-Lyn Horth

Stat

CerminaraKatlyn Cerminara

1

0

KO / TKO

0

2

0

Submission

0

3

Decision

11

4

13:09

Avg fight time

14:10

Jamey-Lyn Horth’s splits

vs Cerminara

vs Southpaw

2-340%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

1-233%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Katlyn Cerminara’s splits

vs Horth

vs Southpaw

1-150%

vs Switch

0-10%

vs Longer reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Jamey-Lyn HorthvsKatlyn Cerminara

36

Age

1y

younger

37

5'7"

170cm

Height

2"

taller

5'9"

175cm

66"

168cm

Reach

2"

reach

68"

173cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

60th

+21

D

39th

Horth has the striking edge (+21).

Attacking

Horth’s offensevsCerminara’s defense

Where Horth attacks (green = high volume) vs where Cerminara gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Horth’s green zones meeting Cerminara’s red zones are the openings.

Jamey-Lyn HorthOffense

Head53%45th185
Body33%74th116
Leg14%53rd49

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Katlyn CerminaraDefense

Head52%56th563
Body17%56th186
Leg31%5th331

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Horth — by position

78%Standing

Standing78%273
Clinch21%74
Ground1%3

Cerminara — absorbed by position

87%Standing

Standing87%942
Clinch9%98
Ground4%40

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Horth’s offensevsCerminara’s defense

Head

C

45th

32.2

+10

C

56th

35.7

Body

A

74th

17.2

+19

C

56th

11.9

Leg

C

53rd

8.5

+49

F

5th

18.8

Cerminara’s offensevsHorth’s defense

Head

B

63rd

41.2

Even

B

69th

28.8

Body

A

72nd

16.3

+15

C

57th

11.8

Leg

B

63rd

9.8

Even

B

69th

6.2

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Jamey-Lyn Horth	around division average32.2	37%	above division average28.8	185
Head	Katlyn Cerminara	above division average41.2	27%	above division average35.7	677
Body	Jamey-Lyn Horth	top 26% of division17.2	69%	above division average11.8	116
Body	Katlyn Cerminara	top 28% of division16.3	62%	above division average11.9	269
Leg	Jamey-Lyn Horth	around division average8.5	75%	above division average6.2	49
Leg	Katlyn Cerminara	above division average9.8	78%	bottom of the division18.8	158

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Katlyn Cerminara

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

54th

+25

D

29th

Horth holds a decisive grappling edge (+25).

Takedowns

C

48th

1.0

+27

F

21st

0.3

Takedown accuracy

C

56th

43%

6/14

+40

F

15th

16%

5/32

Takedown defense

A

78th

81%

29/36

+38

D

40th

50%

26/52

Submission threat

C

44th

0.2

Even

C

49th

0.3

Control time

C

47th

2.2 min

+27

F

20th

1.2 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Jamey-Lyn Horth	Katlyn Cerminara
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.06	0.35
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	43%6 / 14	16%5 / 32
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	81%29 / 36	50%26 / 52
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.21	0.35
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.2 min13:31	1.2 min19:00
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.9 min24:10	2.4 min38:45

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Jamey-Lyn Horth

35

Schedule Score

Katlyn Cerminara

78

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

92 min

7 bouts

Octagon time

149 min

more

241 min

17 bouts

Schedule strength

31%

78%

Win quality

35%

59%

Ranked opponents

2

13

Title-holder bouts

0

1

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Jamey-Lyn Horth	Katlyn Cerminara
Champion	—	0-1
Top-5	—	6-5
Ranked 6–15	0-2	5-0
Established	1-1	—
Unproven	3-0	—

Jamey-Lyn Horth — bouts

Katlyn Cerminara — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Katlyn Cerminara

Horth — last 5

recent → old

Cerminara — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

3-2

Even

3-2

Current streak

L1

L2

Ranked opps

2 of 5

4 of 5

Layoff

4 mo

2.5 yr

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Katlyn Cerminara

Post-result bounce

SituationHorth Cerminara

After a loss

2-0100%

4-180%

After a win

1-325%

6-555%

Camp length

SituationHorth Cerminara

Short turnaround< 100 days

0-10%

1-150%

Typical camp100–180 days

0-10%

5-456%

Long layoff> 180 days

3-175%

4-180%

Title fights

SituationHorth Cerminara

All title fightschallenger or champ

—

0-10%

As challengerfor the belt

—

0-10%

Rematches

SituationHorth Cerminara

All rematchesany repeat opponent

—

1-0100%

Encore boutswon the first

—

1-0100%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Katlyn Cerminara

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Horth6W–0L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Cerminara3W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑50%·Horth

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑50%·Horth

B

64th

67%

+58

F

6th

17%

Goes the distance

Both go the distance

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both go the distance

50%

79%

KO durability

↑8%·Horth

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑8%·Horth

B

61st

0%

+31

D

31st

8%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

B

64th

0%

Even

B

64th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Jamey-Lyn Horth	Katlyn Cerminara
Wins
by KO / TKO	4(44%)	2(11%)
by submission	2(22%)	1(6%)
by decision	3(33%)	15(83%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0(0%)	2(33%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	3(100%)	4(67%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Jamey-Lyn Horth

vs

Katlyn Cerminara

14%

1 KO/TKO in 7 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 17 bouts

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.1 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

1

0.2 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Jamey-Lyn HorthFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Katlyn CerminaraFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Jessica Andrade5y 10mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 17, 2020 · R1 · 4:55
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Jamey-Lyn Horth

147%

R3 vs R1 · 6 bouts reaching R3

Katlyn Cerminara

118%

R3 vs R1 · 16 bouts reaching R3

Both lean the same way, but Horth leans harder: Horth builds (+17% per round through round 3), Cerminara builds (+8% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Horth lifts to 147% of round-1 output by round 3, Cerminara 118%.

Horth ▲ BUILDS

Cerminara ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Horth

Cerminaralanded / min

Takedown attempts

Horth

Cerminaraattempts / min

Control time

Horth

Cerminara% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Jamey-Lyn Horth	4.2	3.7	1.9	0.06	9%	7
R1	Katlyn Cerminara	5.0	4.0	4.3	0.18	11%	17
R2	Jamey-Lyn Horth	4.5	3.4	2.8	0.13	18%	6
R2	Katlyn Cerminara	5.1	4.3	4.0	0.13	9%	16
R3	Jamey-Lyn Horth	5.9	4.3	3.3	0.27	18%	6
R3	Katlyn Cerminara	5.9	5.5	5.1	0.09	4%	16

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.