Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Nathaniel Wood

edge

Pavel Andrusca

Striking

Not enough data

Effective offense2.9—

Defense54%—

KO power8 KO—

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Not enough data

Takedowns landed1.3—

Takedown accuracy49%—

Takedown defense73%—

Control time2.2 min—

See full Grappling →

Submission

Not enough data

Submission attempts0.5—

Sub win rate

B

67th

22%

5 subs

Even

B

61st

13%

1 sub

Submission defense

D

40th

7%

Even

D

42nd

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Andrusca ▸

Andrusca finishes a higher share of wins — 88% (7/8) vs 57% (13/23).

Finish rate (of wins)

57% (13/23)

88% (7/8)

By KO/TKO

8

6

By submission

5

1

Avg finish round

R1.8 avg finish

R1.3 avg finish

See full Finishes →

Pace

Andrusca ▸

Andrusca ends fights earlier — only 13% of bouts go the distance.

Goes the distance

41%

13%

Avg finish round

R1.8 avg finish

R1.3 avg finish

See full Pace →

Form

Andrusca ▸

Andrusca has the hotter form — 5 of the last 5, 8-fight win streak.

Last 5

4-1

5-0

Current streak

4-fight win streak

8-fight win streak

See full Form →

Schedule

Andrusca ▸

Andrusca has faced stiffer competition — opponents average 75% win rate vs 60%.

Opponents avg win rate

60%

75%

Opponents with a record on file

29 of 29

3 of 8

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Wood

Wood is fresher and more active than Andrusca

Last bout

5mo

1mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

0

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

0

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Andrusca ▸

Andrusca 9y younger

Nathaniel WoodvsPavel Andrusca

33

Age

9y

younger

24

5'6"

168cm

Height

Even

5'6"

168cm

69"

175cm

Reach

—

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Pavel Andrusca, from opponents’ full pro records

Pavel Andrusca

Strong

Opponents' combined record

33-14

.702 win rate

Winning-record opponents

3 of 3

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

8

3 opponents with records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 8m ago

Nathaniel Wood

Consensus

72%▼ 1

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Wood

Kalshi73¢bestSportsbook-29072%

Pavel Andrusca

Consensus

29%▲ 2

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Andrusca

Kalshi30¢Sportsbook+23928%best

Wood 72%29% Andrusca

$7k vol · $7k OI$34k vol · $30k OI

More Kalshi markets · yes-price

Fight goes the distance54¢

Ends under1.5 25¢

Wood wins by

KO 19¢Sub 10¢Dec 44¢

Andrusca wins by

KO 18¢Sub 4¢Dec 12¢

Draw / No contest 2¢

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Nathaniel Wood

18%+426

9%+1000

43%+127

Pavel Andrusca

17%+480

3%+3000

10%+850

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Nathaniel Wood

18%+426

9%+1000

43%+127

Pavel Andrusca

17%+480

3%+3000

10%+850

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over60%-156
Under40%+151

Goes the distance

Yes54%-117
No46%+114

UFC betting history

Career

WoodNathaniel Wood

AndruscaPavel Andrusca

1-0100%

As pick'em

—

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi74%73%1 pt

Sportsbook71%72%

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

WoodNathaniel Wood

Stat

AndruscaPavel Andrusca

0

1

KO / TKO

—

3

0

Submission

—

8

2

Decision

—

13:32

Avg fight time

—

Nathaniel Wood’s splits

vs Andrusca

vs Orthodox

5-271%

vs Southpaw

2-167%

vs Switch

4-0100%

vs Longer reach

6-186%

vs Shorter reach

0-20%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Pavel Andrusca’s splits

vs Wood

vs Orthodox

0-0no data

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Nathaniel WoodvsPavel Andrusca

33

Age

9y

younger

24

5'6"

168cm

Height

Even

5'6"

168cm

69"

175cm

Reach

—

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

58th

Even

C

53rd

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Wood’s offensevsAndrusca’s defense

Head

A

81st

44.2

36.2

Body

C

44th

9.3

11.8

Leg

A+

99th

25.2

8.8

Andrusca’s offensevsWood’s defense

Head

34.1

D

35th

39.4

Body

11.1

D

29th

13.6

Leg

8.7

D

40th

9.5

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Nathaniel Wood	top 19% of division44.2	41%	below division average39.4	589
Head	Pavel Andrusca	34.1	—	36.2	0
Body	Nathaniel Wood	below division average9.3	61%	well below average13.6	112
Body	Pavel Andrusca	11.1	—	11.8	0
Leg	Nathaniel Wood	elite — top of division25.2	79%	below division average9.5	368
Leg	Pavel Andrusca	8.7	—	8.8	0

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Nathaniel Wood

Pavel Andrusca

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

60th

—

Takedowns

C

53rd

1.3

—

Takedown accuracy

B

67th

49%

17/35

—

Takedown defense

B

70th

73%

33/45

—

Submission threat

B

61st

0.5

—

Control time

C

48th

2.2 min

—

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Nathaniel Wood	Pavel Andrusca
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.317	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	49%17 / 35	—0 / 0
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	73%33 / 45	—0 / 0
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.56	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.2 min28:13	0.0 min0:00
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	2.1 min26:48	0.0 min0:00

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Nathaniel Wood

37

Schedule Score

Pavel Andrusca

—

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

190 min

14 bouts

Octagon time

—

UFC debut

Schedule strength

24%

—%

Win quality

58%

—%

Ranked opponents

3

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Nathaniel Wood	Pavel Andrusca
Ranked 6–15	2-1	—
Cross-div ranked	0-1	—
Contender-level	1-0	—
Established	1-1	—
Building	4-0	—
Unproven	3-0	—

Nathaniel Wood — bouts

Pavel Andrusca — bouts

No resolved UFC bouts.

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Nathaniel Wood

Pavel Andrusca

Wood — last 5

recent → old

Andrusca — pre-UFC · last 5

recent → old

WUAE

KO R1

Gexi

Jul ’26

WUAE

KO R1

Daermisi

Nov ’25

WVFN 45

SUB R1

Nascimento

May ’25

WVFN 43

KO R2

Soares

Feb ’25

WVFN 41

KO R1

Simsek

Oct ’24

Last 5 record

4-1

5-0

Current streak

W4

W5

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

6 mo

43 d

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Nathaniel Wood

Pavel Andrusca

Post-result bounce

SituationWood Andrusca

After a loss

3-0100%

—

After a win

7-370%

—

Camp length

SituationWood Andrusca

Short turnaround< 100 days

2-250%

—

Typical camp100–180 days

2-0100%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

6-186%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Nathaniel Wood

Pavel Andrusca

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Wood13W–4L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Andrusca7W–0L by finish · 71% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑31%·Andrusca

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑31%·Andrusca

D

29th

57%

+33

B

61st

88%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

41%

13%

KO durability

↑7%·Andrusca

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑7%·Andrusca

B

61st

7%

+8

B

69th

0%

Submission defense

↑7%·Andrusca

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑7%·Andrusca

B

61st

7%

Even

B

65th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Nathaniel Wood	Pavel Andrusca
Wins
by KO / TKO	8(35%)	6(75%)
by submission	5(22%)	1(13%)
by decision	10(43%)	1(13%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(33%)	0
by submission	2(33%)	0
by decision	2(33%)	0

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Nathaniel Wood

vs

Pavel Andrusca

0%

0 KO/TKO in 14 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 0 bouts

5

0.8 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

—

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

3

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

—

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Nathaniel WoodFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs John Dodson6y 6mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · Feb 15, 2020 · R3 · 0:16
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pavel AndruscaFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Nathaniel Wood

124%

R3 vs R1 · 12 bouts reaching R3

Pavel Andrusca

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Wood lifts to 124% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Andrusca hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Not enough shared rounds with per-round data to plot a comparable pace curve — at least one fighter rarely sees the later rounds.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Nathaniel Wood	5.9	5.0	4.8	0.11	13%	14
R1	Pavel Andrusca	—	—	—	—	—	—
R2	Nathaniel Wood	7.2	5.9	3.8	0.17	19%	14
R2	Pavel Andrusca	—	—	—	—	—	—
R3	Nathaniel Wood	7.5	6.1	4.0	0.29	12%	12
R3	Pavel Andrusca	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.

Activity & layoff

Activity and recency vs division peers.

Time since last bout

Nathaniel5 months

Pavel6 weeks

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Nathaniel Wood

Active

5 monthssince last bout

vs Losene Keita · Mar 21, 2026

Pavel Andrusca

Active

6 weekssince last bout

vs Pengchu Gexi · Jul 23, 2026

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca — Featherweight at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse