Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Rizvan Kuniev

edge

Tyrell Fortune

Striking

◂ Kuniev

Kuniev out-strikes Fortune (thin sample)

Effective offense

A

84th

2.1

+39

C

45th

1.0

Defense

B

59th

48%

Even

B

63rd

57%

KO power

C

6 KO

0.0 KD

Even

C

11 KO

0.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Fortune ▸

Fortune has the bigger wrestling edge on Kuniev (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

F

15th

0.0

+69

A

84th

3.0

Takedown accuracy—60%

Takedown defense

91%

100%

Control time

B

62nd

3.5 min

+17

A

79th

5.1 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Even

Little submission threat either way (thin sample)

Submission attempts

F

24th

0.0

Even

F

24th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

68th

15%

2 subs

Even

B

64th

6%

1 sub

Submission defense

D

36th

0%

Even

D

35th

5%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both hard to finish (thin sample)

Finish rate

D

33rd

0%

Even

D

33rd

0%

KO durability

C

54th

0%

Even

C

49th

0%

Submission defense

D

32nd

0%

Even

D

30th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Even

Similar work rate over the fight (thin sample)

Work rate / min — full fight

3.9

Even

4.0

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

3.9

Even

4.0

Pace trend+13%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

Fortune ▸

Fortune is in better recent form than Kuniev (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

50%

100%

After a win——

Last 5

75%

80%

Win streakW1W4

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition (thin sample)

Schedule strength

80%

73%

Win quality

41%

100%

Ranked opponents

2

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Even

Similar activity going in

Last bout

5mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

Even

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

1

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Kuniev

Kuniev 5 cm · Closed-stance matchup

Rizvan KunievvsTyrell Fortune

34

Age

2y

younger

36

6'4"

193cm

Height

2"

taller

6'2"

188cm

76"

193cm

Reach

1"

reach

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Rizvan KunievTyrell Fortune

Percentile

Striking/min3.942.00

Accuracy%54%50%

Defense%48%57%

Takedowns/151.03.0

TD defense%93%100%

Submissions/150.00.0

Career rate as a percentile within the heavyweight (304 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for each fighter, from opponents’ full pro records

Fortune faced the tougher slate — opponents averaged .625 career win rate vs .561 for Kuniev.

Rizvan Kuniev

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

174-136-3

.561 win rate

Winning-record opponents

9 of 14

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

14

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Tyrell Fortune

Strong

Opponents' combined record

314-188-2

.625 win rate

Winning-record opponents

18 of 22

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

22

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 5m ago

Rizvan Kuniev

Consensus

72%▲ 2

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Kuniev

Kalshi72¢bestSportsbook-31573%

Tyrell Fortune

Consensus

28%flat

MMA Index model

Unlock

Best price to bet Fortune

Kalshi29¢Sportsbook+26527%best

Kuniev 72%28% Fortune

$7k vol · $6k OI$5k vol · $4k OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Rizvan Kuniev

28%+210

9%+850

34%+155

Tyrell Fortune

10%+750

3%+2800

16%+460

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Rizvan Kuniev

28%+210

9%+850

34%+155

Tyrell Fortune

10%+750

3%+2800

16%+460

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over57%-159
Under43%+116

Goes the distance

Yes52%-125
No48%-106

UFC betting history

Career

KunievRizvan Kuniev

FortuneTyrell Fortune

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi70%72%2 pts

Sportsbook72%73%1 pt

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

KunievRizvan Kuniev

Stat

FortuneTyrell Fortune

0

KO / TKO

0

—

0

Submission

0

—

1

Decision

1

—

15:00

Avg fight time

15:00

Rizvan Kuniev’s splits

vs Fortune

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

1-150%

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tyrell Fortune’s splits

vs Kuniev

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Rizvan KunievvsTyrell Fortune

34

Age

2y

younger

36

6'4"

193cm

Height

2"

taller

6'2"

188cm

76"

193cm

Reach

1"

reach

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

63rd

+10

C

53rd

Kuniev has the striking edge (+10).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Kuniev’s offensevsFortune’s defense

Head

C

57th

33.4

+12

C

45th

32.3

Body

C

53rd

8.4

+25

D

28th

12.1

Leg

C

47th

4.9

Even

C

49th

7.2

Fortune’s offensevsKuniev’s defense

Head

C

48th

30.5

Even

C

47th

31.6

Body

C

53rd

8.2

Even

C

48th

8.7

Leg

C

48th

5.1

+12

D

36th

9.0

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Rizvan Kuniev	above division average33.4	39%	around division average31.6	69
Head	Tyrell Fortune	around division average30.5	45%	around division average32.3	24
Body	Rizvan Kuniev	around division average8.4	75%	around division average8.7	15
Body	Tyrell Fortune	around division average8.2	100%	well below average12.1	6
Leg	Rizvan Kuniev	around division average4.9	100%	below division average9.0	4
Leg	Tyrell Fortune	around division average5.1	—	around division average7.2	0

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Rizvan Kuniev

Tyrell Fortune

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

63rd

Even

B

66th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

50th

0.0

+20

A

70th

3.0

Takedown accuracy

—

60%

3/5

Takedown defense

A

81st

91%

21/23

100%

1/1

Submission threat

B

61st

0.0

Even

B

65th

0.0

Control time

B

60th

3.5 min

Even

B

63rd

5.1 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Rizvan Kuniev	Tyrell Fortune
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	0.00	3.03
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	—0 / 0	60%3 / 5
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	91%21 / 23	100%1 / 1
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.00	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	3.5 min7:01	5.1 min5:07
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	3.4 min6:45	0.7 min0:41

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Rizvan Kuniev

36

Schedule Score

Tyrell Fortune

31

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

30 min

2 bouts

Octagon time

15 min

more

15 min

1 bout

Schedule strength

80%

73%

Win quality

41%

100%

Ranked opponents

2

1

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Rizvan Kuniev	Tyrell Fortune
Top-5	1-1	—
Ranked 6–15	—	1-0

Rizvan Kuniev — bouts

Tyrell Fortune — bouts

W vs Marcin Tybura#873
Mar 28, 2026 · Ranked 6–15

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Rizvan Kuniev

Tyrell Fortune

Kuniev — last 5

recent → old

NCPFL

OTHER R3

Ferreira

Apr ’23

WEFC 46

SUB R1

Hamilton

Mar ’22

WEFC 31

KO R3

Daineko

Dec ’20

Fortune — last 5

recent → old

WLXF 27

KO R3

Dennis

Sep ’25

WRUF

KO R1

Lopez

Aug ’25

WLXF 24

KO R2

Dennis

May ’25

LPFL

SUB R1

Bilostenniy

Aug ’24

Last 5 record

3-1

4-1

Current streak

W1

W4

Ranked opps

2 of 5

1 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Rizvan Kuniev

Tyrell Fortune

Post-result bounce

SituationKuniev Fortune

After a loss

1-0100%

—

Camp length

SituationKuniev Fortune

Long layoff> 180 days

1-0100%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Rizvan Kuniev

Tyrell Fortune

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Kuniev6W–0L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Fortune12W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑5%·Fortune

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑5%·Fortune

F

17th

62%

Even

F

21st

67%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

44%

29%

KO durability

↑5%·Kuniev

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑5%·Kuniev

A+

86th

0%

Even

A

78th

5%

Submission defense

↑5%·Kuniev

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑5%·Kuniev

B

61st

0%

+17

C

43rd

5%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Rizvan Kuniev	Tyrell Fortune
Wins
by KO / TKO	6(46%)	11(61%)
by submission	2(15%)	1(6%)
by decision	4(31%)	5(28%)
other	1(8%)	1(6%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0(0%)	1(33%)
by submission	0(0%)	1(33%)
by decision	3(100%)	1(33%)
other	0(0%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Rizvan Kuniev

vs

Tyrell Fortune

50%

2 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 1 bout

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.0 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Rizvan KunievFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Tyrell FortuneFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Rizvan Kuniev

135%

R3 vs R1 · 2 bouts reaching R3

Tyrell Fortune

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Kuniev lifts to 135% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Fortune hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Kuniev ▲ BUILDS

FortuneOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Kuniev

Fortunelanded / min

Takedown attempts

Kuniev

Fortuneattempts / min

Control time

Kuniev

Fortune% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Rizvan Kuniev	2.9	2.0	1.7	0.00	22%	2
R1	Tyrell Fortune	5.4	1.8	1.6	0.40	61%	1
R2	Rizvan Kuniev	4.9	3.9	2.4	0.00	24%	2
R2	Tyrell Fortune	2.6	2.6	3.8	0.00	0%	1
R3	Rizvan Kuniev	3.9	2.9	4.6	0.00	24%	2
R3	Tyrell Fortune	5.1	1.6	4.0	0.60	41%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.