Compare Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura — UFC matchup breakdown
Tale of the Tape
The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Aleksandar has 5 months more layoff
Division percentiles below rank both fighters against the Heavyweight roster (343 fighters).
Recent form
Last five pro bouts (non-UFC fights dashed + tagged), current trajectory, and the level of opposition going into this matchup.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Aleksandar Rakic | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Champion | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Top-5 | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Top-15 | 0-1 | 7-5 |
| Cross-div ranked | 1-0 | — |
| Building | 2-0 | 3-1 |
| Unproven | — | 1-0 |
- L vs Azamat Murzakanov#1073Oct 25, 2025 · Top-15
- L vs Magomed Ankalaev#296Oct 26, 2024 · Champion
- L vs Jiri Prochazka#296Apr 13, 2024 · Champion
- L vs Jan Blachowicz#197May 14, 2022 · Champion
- W vs Thiago Santos#289Mar 6, 2021 · Top-5
- W vs Anthony Smith#683Aug 29, 2020 · Top-5
- L vs Volkan Oezdemir#882Dec 21, 2019 · Top-5
- W vs Jimi Manuwa#1180Jun 1, 2019 · Top-5
- W vs Devin Clark18Dec 8, 2018 · Building
- W vs Justin Ledet45Jul 22, 2018 · Cross-div ranked
- W vs Francimar Barroso18Sep 2, 2017 · Building
- L vs Tyrell Fortune48Mar 28, 2026 · Top-15
- L vs Ante Delija48Sep 6, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Mick Parkin#1364Mar 22, 2025 · Top-15
- W vs Jhonata Diniz15Nov 16, 2024 · Building
- L vs Serghei Spivac#973Aug 10, 2024 · Top-15
- W vs Tai Tuivasa#979Mar 16, 2024 · Top-5
- L vs Tom Aspinall#592Jul 22, 2023 · Champion
- W vs Blagoy Ivanov#1568Feb 4, 2023 · Top-15
- W vs Alexandr Romanov#1265Aug 20, 2022 · Top-15
- L vs Alexander Volkov#584Oct 30, 2021 · Top-5
- W vs Walt Harris#872Jun 5, 2021 · Top-15
- W vs Greg Hardy18Dec 19, 2020 · Building
- W vs Ben Rothwell#580Oct 10, 2020 · Top-5
- W vs Maxim Grishin15Jul 11, 2020 · Building
- W vs Serghei Spivac#1570Feb 29, 2020 · Top-15
- L vs Augusto Sakai#1567Sep 14, 2019 · Top-15
- L vs Shamil Abdurakhimov#1370Apr 20, 2019 · Top-15
- W vs Stefan Struve#1369Jul 22, 2018 · Top-15
- L vs Derrick Lewis#782Feb 18, 2018 · Top-5
- L vs Fabricio Werdum#296Nov 18, 2017 · Champion
- W vs Andrei Arlovski#882Jun 17, 2017 · Top-5
- W vs Luis Henrique#1560Mar 4, 2017 · Top-15
- W vs Viktor Pesta8Aug 6, 2016 · Unproven
- L vs Timothy Johnson15Apr 10, 2016 · Building
All figures are 0–100 ratings (shown as %), not percentages of anything literal. Schedule strength = the average quality of every UFC opponent faced (win or lose). Win quality = the average quality of the opponents actually beaten. The composite Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with win quality (35%). Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, falling back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. For fighters with limited UFC experience the headline is held toward a rookie baseline, so debut / low-sample fighters read lower than established names. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Career splits
Striking matchup
Each fighter's offense mapped against the other's defense — where one attacks meets where the other gets hit, across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Rakic has the striking edge (+9).
Where Rakic attacks (green = high volume) vs where Tybura gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Rakic’s green zones meeting Tybura’s red zones are the openings.
- Head52%55th254
- Body16%58th76
- Leg32%92nd155
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes
- Head71%39th611
- Body18%47th154
- Leg11%57th96
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent
- Standing67%323
- Clinch10%47
- Ground24%115
- Standing75%645
- Clinch17%145
- Ground8%71
Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Aleksandar Rakic | above division average32.5 | 38% | above division average25.3 | 254 |
| Head | Marcin Tybura | above division average34.4 | 40% | below division average34.7 | 611 |
| Body | Aleksandar Rakic | above division average9.5 | 76% | below division average9.5 | 76 |
| Body | Marcin Tybura | top 30% of division11.4 | 71% | around division average8.8 | 208 |
| Leg | Aleksandar Rakic | top 8% of division16.2 | 76% | well below average10.6 | 155 |
| Leg | Marcin Tybura | above division average6.9 | 88% | above division average5.8 | 123 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Takedowns, submission threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Each metric graded on the division — the bar leans toward whoever wins that part of the grappling exchange (longer + greener = a bigger edge).
Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns | 0.65 | 1.323 |
| Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted | 22%5 / 23 | 33%23 / 69 |
| Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced | 86%18 / 21 | 71%29 / 41 |
| Submission attempts / 15career attempts | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Control time / 15 (min)career total | 4.8 min37:16 | 4.3 min75:30 |
| Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total | 0.7 min5:45 | 2.3 min40:59 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time. Accuracy under 8 career attempts is shown raw and ungraded — too small a sample to rate against the division.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every pro finish on the fight clockFinish & durability rates
Full professional career
Full method breakdown
| Outcome | Aleksandar Rakic | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 9(64%) | 10(37%) |
| by submission | 1(7%) | 7(26%) |
| by decision | 4(29%) | 10(37%) |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 3(50%) | 6(55%) |
| by submission | 1(17%) | 1(9%) |
| by decision | 2(33%) | 4(36%) |
Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.
KO history
UFC fights only — knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head, then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last time KO'dvs Azamat Murzakanov7 months agoUFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Oct 25, 2025 · R1 · 3:11
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
- Last time KO'dvs Ante Delija9 months agoUFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 6, 2025 · R1 · 2:03
- Last time submittedvs Serghei Spivac1y 10mo agoUFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024 · R1 · 1:44
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
Cardio edge to Tybura: Tybura builds (+18% per round through round 3) while Rakic holds steady (+2% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Rakic lifts to 115% of round-1 output by round 3, Tybura 145%.
Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aleksandar Rakic | 5.8 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 0.21 | 21% | 11 |
| R1 | Marcin Tybura | 4.6 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 0.19 | 27% | 24 |
| R2 | Aleksandar Rakic | 6.2 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 0.10 | 38% | 8 |
| R2 | Marcin Tybura | 5.6 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.27 | 26% | 18 |
| R3 | Aleksandar Rakic | 6.0 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.29 | 40% | 7 |
| R3 | Marcin Tybura | 6.6 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 0.38 | 39% | 14 |
| R4 | Aleksandar Rakic | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R4 | Marcin Tybura | 3.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 0.20 | 2% | 1 |
| R5 | Aleksandar Rakic | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R5 | Marcin Tybura | 8.4 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 0.00 | 0% | 1 |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.