Compare Arnold Allen vs Brian Ortega — UFC matchup breakdown
Tale of the Tape
The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.
Activity & layoff
The recency dimension Tale of the Tape doesn't carry. How active each fighter has been, and how that compares to active peers in their division.
- Brian has 8 months more layoff
Division percentiles below rank both fighters against the Featherweight roster (348 fighters).
Recent form
Last five pro bouts (non-UFC fights dashed + tagged), current trajectory, and the level of opposition going into this matchup.
Common opponents
The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.
Schedule Score
Who they've faced × what they've done. Composite + components compared head-to-head, percentile-ranked against every UFC fighter w/ ≥3 resolved bouts.
Per-tier records + bout-by-bout
| Tier | Arnold Allen | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Champion | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Top-5 | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Top-15 | 4-1 | 3-0 |
| Cross-div champ | — | 0-1 |
| Cross-div ranked | 2-0 | — |
| Established | 1-0 | — |
| Building | 1-0 | — |
| Unproven | 3-0 | 0-0, 1 NC |
- W vs Melquizael Costa#1265May 16, 2026 · Top-15
- L vs Jean Silva#1073Jan 24, 2026 · Top-15
- W vs Giga Chikadze#971Jul 27, 2024 · Top-15
- L vs Movsar Evloev#983Jan 20, 2024 · Top-5
- L vs Max Holloway#296Apr 15, 2023 · Champion
- W vs Calvin Kattar#580Oct 29, 2022 · Top-5
- W vs Dan Hooker45Mar 19, 2022 · Cross-div ranked
- W vs Sodiq Yusuff#1168Apr 10, 2021 · Top-15
- W vs Nik Lentz#1469Jan 25, 2020 · Top-15
- W vs Gilbert Melendez45Jul 6, 2019 · Cross-div ranked
- W vs Jordan Rinaldi18Mar 16, 2019 · Building
- W vs Mads Burnell8May 27, 2018 · Unproven
- W vs Makwan Amirkhani26Mar 18, 2017 · Established
- W vs Yaotzin Meza12Feb 27, 2016 · Unproven
- W vs Alan Omer8Jun 20, 2015 · Unproven
- L vs Aljamain Sterling67Aug 23, 2025 · Cross-div champ
- L vs Diego Lopes#1279Sep 14, 2024 · Top-5
- W vs Yair Rodriguez#289Feb 24, 2024 · Top-5
- L vs Yair Rodriguez#388Jul 16, 2022 · Top-5
- L vs Alexander VolkanovskiCHAMP100Sep 25, 2021 · Champion
- W vs Chan Sung Jung#483Oct 17, 2020 · Top-5
- L vs Max HollowayCHAMP100Dec 8, 2018 · Champion
- W vs Frankie Edgar#292Mar 3, 2018 · Top-5
- W vs Cub Swanson#485Dec 9, 2017 · Top-5
- W vs Renato Moicano#977Jul 29, 2017 · Top-5
- W vs Clay Guida#1569Jun 4, 2016 · Top-15
- W vs Diego Brandao#1560Jan 2, 2016 · Top-15
- W vs Thiago Tavares55Jun 6, 2015 · Top-15
- NC vs Mike de la Torre8Jul 26, 2014 · Unproven
All figures are 0–100 ratings (shown as %), not percentages of anything literal. Schedule strength = the average quality of every UFC opponent faced (win or lose). Win quality = the average quality of the opponents actually beaten. The composite Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) with win quality (35%). Per-bout opponent quality is scored on rank-at-time-of-fight (champion 100, ranks 1–5 = 90→78, ranks 6–15 = 75→60), with cross-division and P4P signals layered on, falling back to opponent UFC record-at-time for unranked opponents. For fighters with limited UFC experience the headline is held toward a rookie baseline, so debut / low-sample fighters read lower than established names. UFC ranking data is sparse before December 2018, so legacy-era fighters score from record-at-time when ranks are missing.
Career splits
Striking matchup
Each fighter's offense mapped against the other's defense — where one attacks meets where the other gets hit, across head, body, and leg. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time.
Allen has the striking edge (+18).
Where Allen attacks (green = high volume) vs where Ortega gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Allen’s green zones meeting Ortega’s red zones are the openings.
- Head73%69th562
- Body18%49th138
- Leg8%29th65
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes
- Head71%8th871
- Body15%29th183
- Leg14%21st173
Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent
- Standing89%681
- Clinch4%30
- Ground7%54
- Standing86%1,058
- Clinch4%43
- Ground10%126
Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.
Full breakdown — all zones, both views
| Zone | Fighter | Landed / 15 | Accuracy | Absorbed / 15 | Career landed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head | Arnold Allen | above division average37.9 | 39% | above division average27.8 | 562 |
| Head | Brian Ortega | top 26% of division39.7 | 31% | bottom of the division62.0 | 527 |
| Body | Arnold Allen | around division average9.8 | 66% | below division average11.5 | 138 |
| Body | Brian Ortega | above division average10.6 | 72% | well below average13.8 | 134 |
| Leg | Arnold Allen | well below average5.2 | 71% | below division average9.5 | 65 |
| Leg | Brian Ortega | below division average6.6 | 81% | well below average12.6 | 78 |
Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.
Grappling matchup
Takedowns, submission threat, and control. Per 15 minutes of UFC fight time, with takedown defense as a percentage of opponent attempts stopped.
Each metric graded on the division — the bar leans toward whoever wins that part of the grappling exchange (longer + greener = a bigger edge).
Allen has the grappling edge (+18).
Full breakdown — career grappling totals
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns | 1.218 | 0.911 |
| Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted | 60%18 / 30 | 24%11 / 45 |
| Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced | 73%57 / 78 | 53%17 / 32 |
| Submission attempts / 15career attempts | 0.34 | 0.810 |
| Control time / 15 (min)career total | 2.2 min32:03 | 1.2 min15:25 |
| Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total | 2.0 min28:31 | 1.7 min22:06 |
All rates computed from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Takedown defense = opponent attempts stopped ÷ opponent total attempts. Control time figures are minutes the fighter spent in a dominant position per 15 minutes of fight time. Accuracy under 8 career attempts is shown raw and ungraded — too small a sample to rate against the division.
Finishing & durability
How often each fighter ends fights early — and how often they get put away. Outcomes view, not per-minute output.
When their fights end
every pro finish on the fight clockFinish & durability rates
Full professional career
Full method breakdown
| Outcome | Arnold Allen | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | ||
| by KO / TKO | 7(33%) | 3(19%) |
| by submission | 4(19%) | 8(50%) |
| by decision | 10(48%) | 5(31%) |
| Losses | ||
| by KO / TKO | 0(0%) | 2(40%) |
| by submission | 0(0%) | 0(0%) |
| by decision | 4(100%) | 3(60%) |
Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.
KO history
UFC fights only — knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head, then when the last finish landed, and on whom.
- Last time KO'dNever finished by strikes in the UFC
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
- Last time KO'dvs Yair Rodriguez3y 11mo agoUFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022 · R1 · 4:11* injury · not a clean KO
- Last time submittedNever submitted in the UFC
Pace & fade
How each fighter's work rate holds up as a fight wears on — round-by-round output (striking, takedown attempts, and control time combined), and whether they fade. The fade % compares round-3 output to round 1 over bouts that reached the third round.
No clear cardio edge — Allen builds (+7% per round through round 5) and Ortega builds (+9% per round through round 5). Within fights that reached round 3, Allen lifts to 108% of round-1 output by round 3, Ortega 216%.
Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.
Full per-round breakdown — both fighters
What drives the pace · per round
The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.
| Round | Fighter | Output / min | Sig landed / min | Sig absorbed / min | TD att / min | Control | Bouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arnold Allen | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.14 | 15% | 15 |
| R1 | Brian Ortega | 3.7 | 2.9 | 5.6 | 0.16 | 8% | 13 |
| R2 | Arnold Allen | 3.9 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.08 | 10% | 14 |
| R2 | Brian Ortega | 4.7 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 0.17 | 9% | 11 |
| R3 | Arnold Allen | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.17 | 14% | 13 |
| R3 | Brian Ortega | 6.5 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 0.25 | 9% | 10 |
| R4 | Arnold Allen | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 0.10 | 17% | 2 |
| R4 | Brian Ortega | 5.2 | 3.2 | 10.1 | 0.55 | 8% | 4 |
| R5 | Arnold Allen | 6.2 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 0.40 | 48% | 2 |
| R5 | Brian Ortega | 5.8 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 0.33 | 1% | 3 |
Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.