Justin Scoggins Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Said Nurmagomedov Flyweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov	Jul 14, 2018
L	Yuta Sasaki Flyweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	3:19	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia	Jun 17, 2017
L	Pedro Munhoz Bantamweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke On Ground	R2	1:55	UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira	Nov 19, 2016
W	#12Ray Borg Flyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs. Thompson	Feb 6, 2016
W	Josh Sampo Flyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 187: Johnson vs. Cormier	May 23, 2015
L	#5John Moraga Flyweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Bottom Guard	R2	0:47	UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Mousasi	Sep 5, 2014
L	#13Dustin Ortiz Flyweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale	Jul 6, 2014
W	Will Campuzano Flyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 171: Hendricks vs. Lawler	Mar 15, 2014
W	Richie Vaculik Flyweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head From Back Control	R1	4:43	UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Bigfoot	Dec 6, 2013

Outside the UFC

12-2across 14 bouts · 13 promotions · wins by 7 KO · 2 sub · 3 decRIZIN · Synergy FC 23 · Ignite Fights · XMMA 6 · AFC 11 +8

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Alan Olivas13-5	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:57	Synergy FC 23	Oct 25, 2025
L	Victor Dias13-4	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:22	Ignite Fights	Jun 29, 2024
W	Josh Smith12-12	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:21	XMMA 6	May 3, 2023
W	Jefferson Espinosa6-10	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:06	AFC 11	Nov 5, 2022
W	Eduardo Diez8-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	iFC 2	Mar 18, 2022
W	Kazuma Sone23-21-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	RIZIN	Aug 18, 2019
L	Yuki Motoya39-14	Submission	Leg Scissor Choke	R1	3:28	RIZIN	Dec 31, 2018
W	Len Cook4-3	KO/TKO	Head Kick and Punches	R2	0:18	Warfare 9	Jun 21, 2013
W	Chris Cain5-11	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:57	Warfare 8	Mar 8, 2013
W	Jacob Hebeisen8-5	KO/TKO	Head Kick and Punches	R5	3:45	Warfare 7	Dec 7, 2012
W	Keith Hulin2-5	KO/TKO	Knees and Punches	R1	1:00	Warfare 6	Aug 24, 2012
W	Casey Large1-5	Submission	Armbar	R1	4:55	EC / Conflict MMA	May 12, 2012
W	Timothy Wade3-15	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	QFGC 1	Mar 24, 2012
W	Timm Kitts2-6	KO/TKO	Head Kick	R1	0:23	Conflict MMA	Feb 25, 2012

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

1-0-1across 2 amateur bouts · 1 promotionFight Party

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Chris Ortiz0-3	KO/TKO	Head Kick and Punches	R2	1:39	Fight Party	Oct 1, 2011
D	Chance Beck11-10	Draw	—	R1	2:01	Fight Party	Sep 18, 2010

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

8 wins, 0 losses

W8

L0

Submission

2 wins, 5 losses

W2

L5

Decision

6 wins, 2 losses

W6

L2

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Above avg · 9%Flyweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.11

Below avg · 0.22Flyweight

UFC submissions

0

Below avg · 8%Flyweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.33

Below avg · 0.48Flyweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Justin Scoggins

PowerChin

Knockout rate

11%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.42 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.00 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikesin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

4 scorecards on file

Justin Scoggins

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 0 of 1 coin-flip decision — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 0 of 1 round they disagreed on (0%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

0–1

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

0–1

Won – Lost

0% went their way

Unanimous3 decisions · 75%

3W

Split1 decision · 25%

1L

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

1 round total

1

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallB61st

51%359 / 694

Striking accuracy

55%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+1.40 differential

Landed3.56

Absorbed2.16

69%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

+6%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head66%62nd236
Body21%62nd74
Leg14%57th49

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

62%Standing

Standing62%222
Clinch11%38
Ground28%99

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Justin Scoggins

Landed per 15

Head

B

66th

35.1

66th

Body

B

62nd

11.0

62nd

Leg

C

54th

7.3

54th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

A+

87th

17.7

87th

Body

B

66th

8.6

66th

Leg

B

64th

6.1

64th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	35.1	236	516	46%
Body	11.0	74	120	62%
Leg	7.3	49	58	84%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	17.7	119	338	35%
Body	8.6	58	89	65%
Leg	6.1	41	65	63%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Justin Scoggins

64%

Takedown accuracy

83%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+3.5 min net

On top5.4

On bottom2.0

Offense

Takedowns

A

82nd

3.4

82nd

TD accuracy

A+

89th

64%

89th

Sub attempts

C

57th

0.4

57th

Control

A

78th

5.4 min

78th

Defense

TD defense

A

82nd

83%

82nd

Controlled

2.0 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	23 / 36
Submission attempts	3
Control time	36:34

Defense

TDs defended	33 / 40
Control absorbed	13:08

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (101min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Justin Scoggins

9 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 101 min

103%

R3 pace · 5 bouts

Scoggins fades (-6% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Scoggins sustains 103% of round-1 output by round 3 (5 bouts).

Scoggins ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Scogginslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Scogginsattempts / min

Control time

Scoggins% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	6.9	3.9	2.1	0.47	38%	9
R2	4.9	3.2	2.5	0.19	29%	8
R3	6.2	3.4	1.8	0.36	43%	5

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Justin Scoggins

9 resolved UFC bouts · 3 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

39/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A

70th

43%

70th

Win quality

F

21st

29%

21st

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

3

2

1

3

Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-5	3	1-2	33%
Top-15	2	0-2	0%
Building	1	0-1	0%
Unproven	3	3-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Said Nurmagomedov	Top-15	45	Jul 14, 2018
L	Yuta Sasaki	Building	18	Jun 17, 2017
L	Pedro Munhoz	Top-5	59	Nov 19, 2016
W	Ray Borg#12	Top-5	77	Feb 6, 2016
W	Josh Sampo	Unproven	8	May 23, 2015
L	John Moraga#5	Top-5	80	Sep 5, 2014
L	Dustin Ortiz#13	Top-15	71	Jul 6, 2014
W	Will Campuzano	Unproven	8	Mar 15, 2014
W	Richie Vaculik	Unproven	8	Dec 6, 2013

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

9 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

1-1

2 bouts

Typical camp

100–180 days

0-1

1 bout

Long layoff

> 180 days

2-3

5 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-3

4 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

2-2

4 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

8 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Justin Scoggins

Within a year

8 monthssince last bout

vs Alan Olivas · Oct 25, 2025

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 3-4As underdog 1-1

60.0

DK avg

47.0

Median

105.7

Ceiling

22.8

Floor

33%

Boom

11%

Bust

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