Steve Erceg vs Ramazonbek Temirov Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Steve Erceg

edge

Ramazonbek Temirov

Striking

Temirov ▸

Temirov out-strikes Erceg (thin sample)

Effective offense

A

83rd

2.2

+9

A

74th

1.7

Defense

D

38th

55%

+13

C

51st

59%

KO power

D

2 KO

0.1 KD

+28

C

11 KO

1.5 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Even

Wrestling stays neutral (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

C

46th

1.1

+13

D

34th

0.8

Takedown accuracy

28%

50%

Takedown defense

67%

100%

Control time

D

41st

1.7 min

+34

F

7th

0.4 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Erceg

Erceg is the bigger submission threat on Temirov (thin sample)

Submission attempts

C

46th

0.4

+32

F

14th

0.0

Sub win rate

A

75th

43%

6 subs

+20

C

55th

5%

1 sub

Submission defense

C

48th

0%

Even

C

47th

5%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Temirov ▸

Temirov is more likely to finish Erceg (thin sample)

Finish rate

D

33rd

20%

+20

C

53rd

50%

KO durability

D

41st

13%

Even

C

44th

0%

Submission defense

C

48th

0%

Even

C

44th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Erceg

Erceg pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

6.2

5.1

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

5.7

5.1

Pace trend+20%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

Temirov ▸

Temirov is in better recent form than Erceg (thin sample)

Win rate (career)

63%

100%

After a win

75%

100%

Last 5

40%

100%

Win streakW2W5

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Erceg

Erceg has faced the tougher schedule vs Temirov (thin sample)

Schedule strength

67%

39%

Win quality

44%

83%

Ranked opponents

6

1

Title-holder bouts

1

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Erceg

Erceg is fresher and more active than Temirov

Last bout

3mo

17mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

0

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

2

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Erceg

Erceg 5" reach · Erceg 8 cm · Closed-stance matchup

Steve ErcegvsRamazonbek Temirov

30

Age

1y

younger

29

5'8"

173cm

Height

3"

taller

5'5"

165cm

68"

173cm

Reach

5"

reach

63"

160cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Steve ErcegRamazonbek Temirov

Percentile

Striking/min4.644.37

Accuracy%47%40%

Defense%55%59%

Takedowns/151.10.8

TD defense%67%100%

Submissions/150.40.0

Career rate as a percentile within the flyweight (117 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Ramazonbek Temirov, from opponents’ full pro records

Ramazonbek Temirov

Strong

Opponents' combined record

163-112-3

.593 win rate

Winning-record opponents

12 of 20

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

20

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Market comparison

Kalshi · updated 12m ago

Steve Erceg

Consensus

50%flat

Best price to bet Erceg

Kalshi50¢bestSportsbook-10850%

Ramazonbek Temirov

Consensus

51%▼ 1

Best price to bet Temirov

Kalshi52¢bestSportsbook-11250%

Erceg 50%51% Temirov

$12k vol · $10k OI$45k vol · $42k OI

Sportsbook

Method of victory

KO/TKO

SUB

DEC

Steve Erceg

10%+750

9%+900

31%+180

Ramazonbek Temirov

27%+225

4%+1900

20%+340

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Steve Erceg

10%+750

9%+900

31%+180

Ramazonbek Temirov

27%+225

4%+1900

20%+340

Total rounds

Line · 2.5

Over60%-177
Under40%+130

Goes the distance

Yes53%-130
No47%-103

UFC betting history

Career

ErcegSteve Erceg

TemirovRamazonbek Temirov

Line movement

Win probability over time

Kalshi53%52%1 pt

Sportsbook49%50%2 pts

Notes

Consensus averages Kalshi’s real-money price with the sportsbook’s vig-free probability. “Best price” is the cheaper cost to back a fighter — lower = better value.

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

ErcegSteve Erceg

Stat

TemirovRamazonbek Temirov

1

KO / TKO

1

—

0

Submission

0

—

4

2

Decision

1

—

14:56

Avg fight time

8:55

Steve Erceg’s splits

vs Temirov

vs Southpaw

2-0100%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

2-250%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Ramazonbek Temirov’s splits

vs Erceg

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Steve ErcegvsRamazonbek Temirov

30

Age

1y

younger

29

5'8"

173cm

Height

3"

taller

5'5"

165cm

68"

173cm

Reach

5"

reach

63"

160cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

50th

+11

B

60th

Temirov has the striking edge (+11).

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Erceg’s offensevsTemirov’s defense

Head

A+

90th

45.7

+40

C

50th

31.6

Body

B

64th

12.1

+37

D

28th

14.0

Leg

C

45th

6.1

+15

D

30th

10.1

Temirov’s offensevsErceg’s defense

Head

A

70th

36.0

+28

C

42nd

35.3

Body

B

64th

11.7

+22

C

43rd

11.9

Leg

C

43rd

5.9

+22

F

21st

12.0

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Steve Erceg	top 10% of division45.7	42%	below division average35.3	410
Head	Ramazonbek Temirov	top 30% of division36.0	37%	around division average31.6	60
Body	Steve Erceg	above division average12.1	70%	below division average11.9	101
Body	Ramazonbek Temirov	above division average11.7	57%	well below average14.0	17
Leg	Steve Erceg	around division average6.1	88%	well below average12.0	43
Leg	Ramazonbek Temirov	below division average5.9	100%	below division average10.1	1

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Steve Erceg

Ramazonbek Temirov

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

49th

Even

C

51st

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

49th

1.1

Even

C

54th

0.8

Takedown accuracy

D

40th

28%

9/32

50%

1/2

Takedown defense

C

56th

67%

31/46

100%

3/3

Submission threat

C

51st

0.4

Even

C

51st

0.0

Control time

C

46th

1.7 min

Even

C

47th

0.4 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Steve Erceg	Ramazonbek Temirov
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.19	0.81
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	28%9 / 32	50%1 / 2
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	67%31 / 46	100%3 / 3
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.43	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.7 min13:51	0.4 min0:28
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.8 min14:42	1.1 min1:18

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Steve Erceg

59

Schedule Score

Ramazonbek Temirov

34

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

120 min

8 bouts

Octagon time

102 min

more

18 min

2 bouts

Schedule strength

67%

39%

Win quality

44%

83%

Ranked opponents

6

1

Title-holder bouts

1

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Steve Erceg	Ramazonbek Temirov
Champion	0-2	—
Top-5	1-1	—
Ranked 6–15	2-0	1-0
Established	1-0	—
Building	1-0	—
Unproven	—	1-0

Steve Erceg — bouts

Ramazonbek Temirov — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Steve Erceg

Ramazonbek Temirov

Erceg — last 5

recent → old

Temirov — last 5

recent → old

WRIZIN

KO R1

Soya

Sep ’23

WRIZIN

KO R1

Hamamoto

May ’23

WNFC 48

KO R1

Alencar

Nov ’22

Last 5 record

2-3

5-0

Current streak

W2

W5

Ranked opps

4 of 5

1 of 5

Layoff

3 mo

17 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Steve Erceg

Ramazonbek Temirov

Post-result bounce

SituationErceg Temirov

After a loss

1-233%

—

After a win

3-175%

1-0100%

Camp length

SituationErceg Temirov

Short turnaround< 100 days

0-10%

—

Typical camp100–180 days

3-175%

1-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

1-150%

—

Title fights

SituationErceg Temirov

All title fightschallenger or champ

0-10%

—

As challengerfor the belt

0-10%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Steve Erceg

Ramazonbek Temirov

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Erceg8W–1L by finish · 63% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Temirov12W–1L by finish · 83% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑6%·Temirov

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑6%·Temirov

D

33rd

57%

+10

C

43rd

63%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

50%

41%

KO durability

↑6%·Temirov

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑6%·Temirov

C

51st

6%

+17

B

69th

0%

Submission defense

↑5%·Erceg

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑5%·Erceg

B

68th

0%

+11

C

57th

5%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Steve Erceg	Ramazonbek Temirov
Wins
by KO / TKO	2(14%)	11(58%)
by submission	6(43%)	1(5%)
by decision	6(43%)	7(37%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(25%)	0(0%)
by submission	0(0%)	1(33%)
by decision	3(75%)	2(67%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Steve Erceg

vs

Ramazonbek Temirov

13%

1 KO/TKO in 8 bouts

Knockout rate

50%

1 KO/TKO in 2 bouts

1

0.2 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

3

5.0 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

2

0.7 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Steve ErcegFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Kai Kara-France1y 11mo ago
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 17, 2024 · R1 · 4:04
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Ramazonbek TemirovFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Steve Erceg

155%

R3 vs R1 · 6 bouts reaching R3

Ramazonbek Temirov

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Erceg lifts to 155% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Temirov hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Erceg ▲ BUILDS

TemirovOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Erceg

Temirovlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Erceg

Temirovattempts / min

Control time

Erceg

Temirov% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Steve Erceg	4.7	4.0	4.6	0.15	5%	8
R1	Ramazonbek Temirov	5.7	5.6	2.4	0.00	2%	2
R2	Steve Erceg	6.7	5.2	4.3	0.33	13%	7
R2	Ramazonbek Temirov	4.4	3.8	2.8	0.20	1%	1
R3	Steve Erceg	7.2	5.1	3.3	0.37	26%	6
R3	Ramazonbek Temirov	3.8	3.0	7.4	0.20	6%	1
R4	Steve Erceg	6.5	5.6	4.2	0.30	0%	2
R4	Ramazonbek Temirov	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Steve Erceg	3.9	3.2	3.3	0.20	2%	2
R5	Ramazonbek Temirov	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.