Alexander Gustafsson Record, Stats & Next Fight

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Vladimir Shemarov13-12	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:37	Superior Challenge 3	May 30, 2009
W	Pedro Quetglas2-4	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:08	The Zone FC 3	Nov 8, 2008
W	Krzysztof Kulak32-18-2	Decision	Unanimous	R2	5:00	KSW	Sep 13, 2008
W	Matteo Minonzio21-22	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:52	The Zone FC 2	May 10, 2008
W	Florian Muller6-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	3:44	FS	Mar 13, 2008
W	Farbod Fadami7-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:31	The Zone FC 1	Feb 9, 2008
W	Mikael Haydari0-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:50	FF 9	Dec 15, 2007
W	Saku Heikkola7-9	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	3:42	Shooto	Nov 17, 2007

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

11 wins, 3 losses

W11

L3

Submission

3 wins, 3 losses

W3

L3

Decision

4 wins, 2 losses

W4

L2

Finishes

UFC KOs

5

Above avg · 16%Light Heavyweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.50

Above avg · 0.26Light Heavyweight

UFC submissions

2

Above avg · 8%Light Heavyweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.28

Above avg · 0.26Light Heavyweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Alexander Gustafsson

PowerChin

Knockout rate

28%

5 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

9

1.72 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

3

0.75 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Decision behavior

Judging

5 scorecards on file

Alexander Gustafsson

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 0 of 1 coin-flip decision — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 1 of 4 rounds they disagreed on (25%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

0–1

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

1–3

Won – Lost

25% went their way

Unanimous4 decisions · 80%

3W1L

Split1 decision · 20%

1L

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

1 round total

1

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallB59th

40%751 / 1,845

Striking accuracy

51%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.50 differential

Landed4.03

Absorbed3.53

67%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-9%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head70%73rd523
Body15%54th110
Leg16%60th118

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

77%Standing

Standing77%575
Clinch8%59
Ground16%117

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Alexander Gustafsson

Landed per 15

Head

A

76th

42.1

76th

Body

C

52nd

8.8

52nd

Leg

B

62nd

9.5

62nd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

52nd

32.0

52nd

Body

B

61st

8.2

61st

Leg

F

16th

12.8

16th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	42.1	523	1,484	35%
Body	8.8	110	205	54%
Leg	9.5	118	156	76%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	32.0	398	992	40%
Body	8.2	102	162	63%
Leg	12.8	159	203	78%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Alexander Gustafsson

40%

Takedown accuracy

84%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+1.0 min net

On top2.5

On bottom1.4

Offense

Takedowns

B

65th

1.5

65th

TD accuracy

B

62nd

40%

62nd

Sub attempts

B

68th

0.4

68th

Control

C

51st

2.5 min

51st

Defense

TD defense

A

76th

84%

76th

Controlled

1.4 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	19 / 48
Submission attempts	5
Control time	30:44

Defense

TDs defended	41 / 49
Control absorbed	17:54

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (186min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Alexander Gustafsson

18 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 186 min

190%

R3 pace · 8 bouts

Gustafsson builds (+8% per round through round 5). Within fights that reached round 3, Gustafsson lifts to 190% of round-1 output by round 3 (8 bouts).

Gustafsson ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Gustafssonlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Gustafssonattempts / min

Control time

Gustafsson% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.1	2.8	3.3	0.21	16%	18
R2	5.5	4.1	3.1	0.19	21%	11
R3	7.4	5.6	3.7	0.32	21%	8
R4	6.9	5.5	4.3	0.40	6%	4
R5	5.8	4.4	5.2	0.45	1%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Alexander Gustafsson

18 resolved UFC bouts · 10 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

70/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A+

98th

80%

98th

Win quality

C

47th

39%

47th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

6

2

ChampionHeld the title in this weight class at the time
Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Ranked 6–15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Champion	6	2-4	33%
Top-5	6	2-4	33%
Ranked 6–15	2	2-0	100%
Contender-level	1	1-0	100%
Established	1	1-0	100%
Building	1	1-0	100%
Unproven	1	1-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Nikita Krylov#11	Top-5	74	Jul 23, 2022
L	Fabricio Werdum#14	Champion	87	Jul 25, 2020
L	Anthony Smith#4	Top-5	85	Jun 1, 2019
L	Jon Jones#1	Champion	99	Dec 29, 2018
W	Glover Teixeira#2	Champion	96	May 28, 2017
W	Jan Blachowicz#14	Champion	87	Sep 3, 2016
L	Daniel CormierCHAMP	Champion	100	Oct 3, 2015
L	Anthony Johnson#3	Top-5	88	Jan 24, 2015
W	Jimi Manuwa#11	Top-5	80	Mar 8, 2014
L	Jon JonesCHAMP	Champion	100	Sep 21, 2013
W	Mauricio Rua	Top-5	63	Dec 8, 2012
W	Thiago Silva	Ranked 6–15	53	Apr 14, 2012
W	Vladimir Matyushenko	Established	30	Dec 30, 2011
W	Matt Hamill	Contender-level	45	Aug 6, 2011
W	James Te Huna	Ranked 6–15	44	Feb 26, 2011
W	Cyrille Diabate	Building	15	Oct 16, 2010
L	Phil Davis	Top-5	57	Apr 10, 2010
W	Jared Hamman	Unproven	8	Nov 14, 2009

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

18 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

5-2

7 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

4-6

10 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

3-4

7 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

6-4

10 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

0-3

3 bouts

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

0-3

3 bouts

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

0-1

1 bout

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

0-1

1 bout

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

4y 1mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Alexander Gustafsson

Extended layoff

4y 1mosince last bout

vs Nikita Krylov · Jul 23, 2022

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs favorite 9-3As underdog 1-5

68.10

DK avg

96.20

Median

107.10

Ceiling

5.40

Floor

50%

Boom

28%

Bust

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Every Alexander Gustafsson fight: closing line, result, DK score

All 18 UFC bouts, sortable and filterable — what the market priced them at, how the fight ended, and the fantasy points it produced.

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