Colby Covington Record, Stats & Next Fight

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Jay Ellis17-112	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R1	2:49	AFC 21	May 16, 2014
W	Jose Caceres15-12	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	CFA 12	Oct 12, 2013
W	Jason Jackson20-6	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Fight Time 10	Jun 22, 2012
W	David Hayes1-5	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R2	1:42	Fight Time 9	Apr 27, 2012
W	Chris Ensley6-46	KO/TKO	Submission to Knee Injury	R1	1:21	Midtown Productions	Feb 11, 2012

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

1-0across 1 amateur bout · 1 promotionFCFF

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Marcos Rocha1-1	Submission	—	R1	1:48	FCFF	Aug 26, 2006

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

4 wins, 2 losses

W4

L2

Submission

4 wins, 1 loss

W4

L1

Decision

9 wins, 2 losses

W9

L2

Finishes

UFC KOs

3

Above avg · 13%Welterweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.06

Below avg · 0.24Welterweight

UFC submissions

2

Above avg · 7%Welterweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.18

Below avg · 0.39Welterweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Colby Covington

PowerChin

Knockout rate

18%

3 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.13 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

4

0.69 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Decision behavior

Judging

9 scorecards on file

Colby Covington

Scorecard luck

Even on close calls

No split or majority decisions on file — this read comes from contested rounds alone. Judges have given them 4 of 8 rounds they disagreed on (50%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

None on file

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

4–4

Won – Lost

50% went their way

Unanimous9 decisions · 100%

7W2L

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

4 rounds total

4

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC49th

38%1,099 / 2,856

Striking accuracy

54%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.72 differential

Landed3.81

Absorbed3.09

61%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-8%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head69%79th763
Body16%54th174
Leg15%60th162

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

80%Standing

Standing80%876
Clinch10%107
Ground11%116

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Colby Covington

Landed per 15

Head

A

80th

39.7

80th

Body

C

53rd

9.1

53rd

Leg

B

60th

8.4

60th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

51st

30.1

51st

Body

D

39th

10.9

39th

Leg

B

63rd

5.4

63rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	39.7	763	2,396	32%
Body	9.1	174	265	66%
Leg	8.4	162	195	83%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	30.1	578	1,561	37%
Body	10.9	209	290	72%
Leg	5.4	103	117	88%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Colby Covington

43%

Takedown accuracy

69%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+6.0 min net

On top6.5

On bottom0.5

Offense

Takedowns

A+

89th

3.6

89th

TD accuracy

B

58th

43%

58th

Sub attempts

C

44th

0.2

44th

Control

A+

85th

6.5 min

85th

Defense

TD defense

B

62nd

69%

62nd

Controlled

0.5 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	70 / 164
Submission attempts	3
Control time	125:04

Defense

TDs defended	20 / 29
Control absorbed	9:01

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (288min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Colby Covington

17 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 288 min

105%

R3 pace · 15 bouts

Covington holds steady (+1% per round through round 5). Within fights that reached round 3, Covington lifts to 105% of round-1 output by round 3 (15 bouts).

Covington — HOLDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Covingtonlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Covingtonattempts / min

Control time

Covington% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	6.9	2.8	2.4	0.70	49%	17
R2	7.4	4.0	3.3	0.55	44%	15
R3	7.2	3.8	3.1	0.53	45%	15
R4	8.3	5.6	3.8	0.49	31%	7
R5	6.8	3.9	3.5	0.46	39%	7

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Colby Covington

17 resolved UFC bouts · 11 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

77/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A+

96th

77%

96th

Win quality

A+

91st

60%

91st

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

5

3

2

3

ChampionHeld the title in this weight class at the time
Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Ranked 6–15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Champion	5	2-3	40%
Top-5	3	3-0	100%
Ranked 6–15	3	2-1	67%
Established	1	0-1	0%
Building	2	2-0	100%
Unproven	3	3-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Joaquin Buckley#9	Ranked 6–15	73	Dec 14, 2024
L	Leon EdwardsCHAMP	Champion	100	Dec 16, 2023
W	Jorge Masvidal#6	Top-5	81	Mar 5, 2022
L	Kamaru UsmanCHAMP	Champion	100	Nov 6, 2021
W	Tyron Woodley#5	Champion	92	Sep 19, 2020
L	Kamaru UsmanCHAMP	Champion	100	Dec 14, 2019
W	Robbie Lawler#10	Champion	89	Aug 3, 2019
W	Rafael Dos Anjos#1	Top-5	93	Jun 9, 2018
W	Demian Maia#3	Top-5	88	Oct 28, 2017
W	Dong Hyun Kim#7	Ranked 6–15	74	Jun 17, 2017
W	Bryan Barberena	Building	18	Dec 17, 2016
W	Max Griffin	Building	15	Aug 20, 2016
W	Jonathan Meunier	Unproven	8	Jun 18, 2016
L	Warlley Alves	Established	26	Dec 12, 2015
W	Mike Pyle#15	Ranked 6–15	63	May 23, 2015
W	Wagner Silva	Unproven	8	Nov 8, 2014
W	Anying Wang	Unproven	8	Aug 23, 2014

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

17 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

2-0

2 bouts

Typical camp

100–180 days

3-1

4 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

6-4

10 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

3-1

4 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

8-4

12 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

1-3

4 bouts

As champion

defending the belt

0-1

1 bout

As challenger

fighting for the belt

1-2

3 bouts

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

0-1

1 bout

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

0-1

1 bout

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

1y 8mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Colby Covington

Extended layoff

1y 8mosince last bout

vs Joaquin Buckley · Dec 14, 2024

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs favorite 11-1As underdog 1-4

99.60

DK avg

115.80

Median

140.80

Ceiling

48.60

Floor

65%

Boom

6%

Bust

Pro

Every Colby Covington fight: closing line, result, DK score

All 17 UFC bouts, sortable and filterable — what the market priced them at, how the fight ended, and the fantasy points it produced.

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