Daniel Kelly Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

L

Tom Breese

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punch to Head At Distance · R1 · 3:33

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · May 27, 2018

KO/TKO

R1 · 3:33

Punch to Head At Distance

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till

May 27, 2018

L

#15Elias Theodorou

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · Nov 18, 2017

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura

Nov 18, 2017

L

#8Derek Brunson

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punch to Head At Distance · R1 · 1:16

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · Jun 10, 2017

KO/TKO

R1 · 1:16

Punch to Head At Distance

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt

Jun 10, 2017

W

Rashad Evans

Middleweight · Decision · Split · R3 · 5:00

UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · Mar 4, 2017

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Split

UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2

Mar 4, 2017

W

Chris Camozzi

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · Nov 26, 2016

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson

Nov 26, 2016

W

Antonio Carlos Junior

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punches to Head From Half Guard · R3 · 1:36

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Mir · Mar 19, 2016

KO/TKO

R3 · 1:36

Punches to Head From Half Guard

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Mir

Mar 19, 2016

W

Steve Montgomery

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC 193: Rousey vs. Holm · Nov 14, 2015

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC 193: Rousey vs. Holm

Nov 14, 2015

L

Sam Alvey

Middleweight · KO/TKO · Punch to Head In Clinch · R1 · 0:49

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs. Hunt · May 9, 2015

KO/TKO

R1 · 0:49

Punch to Head In Clinch

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs. Hunt

May 9, 2015

W

Patrick Walsh

Middleweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs. Thatch · Feb 14, 2015

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs. Thatch

Feb 14, 2015

W

Luke Zachrich

Middleweight · Submission · Kimura On Ground · R1 · 4:27

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Bisping · Nov 7, 2014

Submission

R1 · 4:27

Kimura On Ground

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Bisping

Nov 7, 2014

Outside the UFC

7-0across 7 bouts · 7 promotions · wins by 2 KO · 4 sub · 1 decAFC 9 · AFC 6 · Shamrock Events · AFC 5 · MMADU +2

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Ben Kelleher13-11	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	3:41	AFC 9	May 17, 2014
W	Bor Bratovz9-6	KO/TKO	Punch	R2	1:42	AFC 6	Aug 24, 2013
W	Daniel Way4-7	Submission	Armbar	R1	—	Shamrock Events	Jun 22, 2013
W	Chris Birch2-3	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:36	AFC 5	May 10, 2013
W	Kym Robinson11-7	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:17	MMADU	Mar 16, 2013
W	Fabio Galeb4-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	AFC 4	Dec 7, 2012
W	Ross Dallow5-10	KO/TKO	Thrown from the Ring	R2	0:00	Dojo KO	Jul 22, 2006

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

3 wins, 3 losses

W3

L3

Submission

5 wins, 0 losses

W5

L0

Decision

5 wins, 1 loss

W5

L1

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Below avg · 15%Middleweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.00

Below avg · 0.24Middleweight

UFC submissions

1

Above avg · 8%Middleweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.20

Below avg · 0.39Middleweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Daniel Kelly

PowerChin

Knockout rate

10%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.00 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

3

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

3

0.95 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

4 scorecards on file

Daniel Kelly

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

Won 1 of 1 coin-flip decision — the kind of close calls that have tended to fall their way. Judges have given them 3 of 5 rounds they disagreed on (60%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

1–0

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

3–2

Won – Lost

60% went their way

Unanimous3 decisions · 75%

2W1L

Split1 decision · 25%

1W

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

1 round total

0

Won

1

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC48th

38%350 / 902

Striking accuracy

61%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-1.02 differential

Landed3.62

Absorbed4.64

70%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-1%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head87%81st303
Body6%24th21
Leg7%38th26

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

69%Standing

Standing69%242
Clinch15%53
Ground16%55

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Daniel Kelly

Landed per 15

Head

A+

88th

47.0

88th

Body

F

13th

3.3

13th

Leg

D

30th

4.0

30th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

10th

49.0

10th

Body

F

22nd

12.7

22nd

Leg

C

42nd

7.9

42nd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	47.0	303	841	36%
Body	3.3	21	32	66%
Leg	4.0	26	29	90%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	49.0	316	986	32%
Body	12.7	82	115	71%
Leg	7.9	51	71	72%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Daniel Kelly

34%

Takedown accuracy

79%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+1.8 min net

On top2.8

On bottom1.0

Offense

Takedowns

B

66th

1.9

66th

TD accuracy

C

46th

34%

46th

Sub attempts

C

53rd

0.3

53rd

Control

C

51st

2.8 min

51st

Defense

TD defense

A

73rd

79%

73rd

Controlled

1.0 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	12 / 35
Submission attempts	2
Control time	17:52

Defense

TDs defended	15 / 19
Control absorbed	6:12

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (97min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Daniel Kelly

10 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 97 min

181%

R3 pace · 6 bouts

Kelly builds (+28% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Kelly lifts to 181% of round-1 output by round 3 (6 bouts).

Kelly ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Kellylanded / min

Takedown attempts

Kellyattempts / min

Control time

Kelly% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.1	2.9	4.1	0.22	13%	10
R2	5.7	3.2	4.9	0.50	24%	6
R3	7.2	5.2	5.1	0.41	20%	6

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Daniel Kelly

10 resolved UFC bouts · 2 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

40/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

B

64th

38%

64th

Win quality

C

53rd

41%

53rd

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

3

1

3

Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Ranked 6–15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Cross-div rankedRanked #1–#15 in another division at the time
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-5	1	0-1	0%
Ranked 6–15	3	1-2	33%
Cross-div ranked	1	1-0	100%
Established	1	0-1	0%
Building	1	1-0	100%
Unproven	3	3-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Tom Breese	Established	26	May 27, 2018
L	Elias Theodorou#15	Ranked 6–15	62	Nov 18, 2017
L	Derek Brunson#8	Top-5	78	Jun 10, 2017
W	Rashad Evans	Cross-div ranked	45	Mar 4, 2017
W	Chris Camozzi	Building	22	Nov 26, 2016
W	Antonio Carlos Junior	Ranked 6–15	50	Mar 19, 2016
W	Steve Montgomery	Unproven	8	Nov 14, 2015
L	Sam Alvey	Ranked 6–15	48	May 9, 2015
W	Patrick Walsh	Unproven	8	Feb 14, 2015
W	Luke Zachrich	Unproven	8	Nov 7, 2014

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

10 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

2-2

4 bouts

Typical camp

100–180 days

1-1

2 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

2-1

3 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-2

3 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

4-2

6 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

8y 2mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Daniel Kelly

Extended layoff

8y 2mosince last bout

vs Tom Breese · May 27, 2018

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs underdog 6-4

51.80

DK avg

63.50

Median

104.90

Ceiling

0.80

Floor

30%

Boom

30%

Bust

Pro

Every Daniel Kelly fight: closing line, result, DK score

All 10 UFC bouts, sortable and filterable — what the market priced them at, how the fight ended, and the fantasy points it produced.

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