Ernesta Kareckaite Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Regina Tarin Catch Weight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh	Feb 28, 2026
W	Nicolle Caliari Women's Flyweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2	Jan 11, 2025
L	Dione Barbosa Women's Flyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg	May 4, 2024

Outside the UFC

5-0-1across 6 bouts · 6 promotions · wins by 2 KO · 3 decDana White's Contender Series · HXMMA 6 · HXMMA 4 · HXMMA 2 · MMA Bushido 77 +1

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Carli Judice6-2	Decision	29–28, 28–29, 29–28	R3	5:00	Dana White's Contender Series	Sep 26, 2023
W	Laetitia Blot4-1-1	Decision	Split	R5	5:00	HXMMA 6	Jan 22, 2023
W	Kate Bacik7-3	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	HXMMA 4	Aug 28, 2022
D	Laetitia Blot4-1-1	Draw	Unanimous	R3	5:00	HXMMA 2	Oct 30, 2021
W	Klaudia Pawicka0-3	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:00	MMA Bushido 77	May 3, 2019
W	Tekle Iaganashvili0-2	KO/TKO	—	R1	0:00	King of Kings 69	Mar 16, 2019

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

2 wins, 0 losses

W2

L0

Submission

0 wins, 0 losses

W0

L0

Decision

4 wins, 2 losses

W4

L2

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Ernesta Kareckaite

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.00 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.00 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikes · Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

3 scorecards on file

Ernesta Kareckaite

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

Won 1 of 1 coin-flip decision — the kind of close calls that have tended to fall their way. Judges have given them 0 of 3 rounds they disagreed on (0%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

1–0

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

0–3

Won – Lost

0% went their way

Unanimous2 decisions · 67%

2L

Split1 decision · 33%

1W

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC48th

42%253 / 631

Striking accuracy

49%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.81 differential

Landed7.28

Absorbed6.47

65%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-9%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head77%89th195
Body18%70th46
Leg5%41st12

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

87%Standing

Standing87%219
Clinch10%26
Ground3%8

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Ernesta Kareckaite

Landed per 15

Head

A+

97th

65.0

97th

Body

A

82nd

15.3

82nd

Leg

F

22nd

4.0

22nd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

24th

44.3

24th

Body

F

6th

23.3

6th

Leg

B

68th

5.7

68th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	65.0	195	538	36%
Body	15.3	46	71	65%
Leg	4.0	12	22	55%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	44.3	133	354	38%
Body	23.3	70	100	70%
Leg	5.7	17	22	77%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Ernesta Kareckaite

67%

Takedown accuracy

79%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-0.7 min net

On top2.1

On bottom2.8

Offense

Takedowns

C

48th

0.7

48th

TD accuracy

67%

Sub attempts

C

51st

0.0

51st

Control

C

50th

2.1 min

50th

Defense

TD defense

A

77th

79%

77th

Controlled

2.8 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	2 / 3
Submission attempts	0
Control time	6:15

Defense

TDs defended	22 / 28
Control absorbed	8:27

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (45min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Ernesta Kareckaite

3 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 45 min

159%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Kareckaite builds (+22% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Kareckaite lifts to 159% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Kareckaite ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Kareckaitelanded / min

Takedown attempts

Kareckaiteattempts / min

Control time

Kareckaite% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.7	4.3	4.6	0.00	8%	3
R2	7.1	5.5	4.2	0.20	25%	3
R3	7.4	7.1	5.9	0.00	9%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Ernesta Kareckaite

3 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

29/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

1st

10%

1st

Win quality

B

65th

44%

65th

Limited UFC sample (3 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

2

Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Building	1	0-1	0%
Unproven	2	1-1	50%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Strong

Opponents' combined record

15-10-2

.600 win rate

Winning-record opponents

3 of 5

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

5

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Regina Tarin	Unproven	8	Feb 28, 2026
W	Nicolle Caliari	Unproven	8	Jan 11, 2025
L	Dione Barbosa	Building	15	May 4, 2024

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

3 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

—

Long layoff

> 180 days

1-1

2 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

1-0

1 bout

After a win

next bout after a win

0-1

1 bout

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

4 months

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Ernesta Kareckaite

Active

4 monthssince last bout

vs Regina Tarin · Feb 28, 2026

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 1-1As underdog 0-1

62.5

DK avg

56.8

Median

77.0

Ceiling

53.7

Floor

0%

Boom

0%

Bust

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