Keita Nakamura Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Sultan Aliev Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik	Apr 20, 2019
W	Salim Touahri Welterweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa	Dec 1, 2018
L	Anthony Rocco Martin Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee	Apr 21, 2018
W	Alex Morono Welterweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami	Sep 22, 2017
L	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson	Oct 1, 2016
W	Kyle Noke Welterweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	4:59	UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker	Jul 13, 2016
L	Tom Breese Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Bisping	Feb 27, 2016
W	Li Jingliang Welterweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke Technical Submission	R3	2:17	UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs. Nelson	Sep 26, 2015
L	Rob Emerson Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC 81: Breaking Point	Feb 2, 2008
L	Drew Fickett Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs. Guillard	Apr 5, 2007
L	Brock Larson Welterweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs. Riggs	Dec 13, 2006

Outside the UFC

32-5-2, 1 NCacross 40 bouts · 13 promotions · wins by 9 KO · 14 sub · 9 decGCM · Shooto · Deep · RIZIN · SRC +8

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Roberto Satoshi de Souza20-4	KO/TKO	Corner Stoppage	R1	1:43	RIZIN	Mar 23, 2024
W	Kiichi Kunimoto21-12-2	KO/TKO	Punches and Soccer Kick	R2	0:49	RIZIN	Apr 1, 2023
L	Lorenz Larkin27-8	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Bellator	Dec 29, 2019
W	Marcos Yoshio de Souza10-3	KO/TKO	Corner Stoppage	R1	1:18	RIZIN	Oct 12, 2019
W	Yuta Watanabe23-14-3	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:00	Deep	Jul 20, 2015
W	Yoshiyuki Katahira8-6-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:47	Deep	Feb 28, 2015
W	Yuki Okano17-15-1	KO/TKO	Head Kick and Punches	R2	0:26	Deep	Oct 26, 2014
W	Keiichiro Yamamiya45-35-10	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	4:13	Deep	Jun 22, 2014
L	Frank Camacho22-10	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	PXC	Feb 28, 2014
NC	Kwang Hee Lee8-6	No Contest	Missed Weight	R1	—	Deep	Dec 22, 2013
W	Kota Shimoishi20-8-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	0:37	Shooto	Jul 27, 2013
W	Nobutatsu Suzuki10-3-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:03	Vale Tudo Japan	Dec 24, 2012
W	Yuki Sasaki25-22-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Shooto	May 18, 2012
W	Hoon Kim10-13-2	KO/TKO	Broken Hand	R1	5:00	Legend FC	Mar 30, 2012
W	Yoichiro Sato25-16-3	Decision	Majority	R3	5:00	Shooto	Jan 8, 2012
L	Akihiro Murayama25-15-9	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:30	Shooto	Sep 23, 2011
W	Yasubey Enomoto22-16	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R2	3:48	SRC	Dec 30, 2010
W	Takuya Wada21-9-10	KO/TKO	Submission to Punches	R1	3:30	SRC	Oct 30, 2010
W	Omar de la Cruz6-4	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	3:53	SRC	Jun 20, 2010
W	Tomoyoshi Iwamiya6-12-4	Decision	Majority	R3	5:00	GCM	Jun 27, 2009
L	Jang Yong Kim8-6-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:59	GCM	Nov 8, 2008
W	Adriano Martins29-13	Decision	Split	R2	5:00	DREAM	Sep 23, 2008
W	Takefumi Hanai4-4-2	KO/TKO	Knees	R1	1:59	GCM	Nov 11, 2007
W	Djalili Salmanov4-3	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:50	GCM	Sep 9, 2006
W	Ronald Jhun24-26-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:55	PIP	Jul 21, 2006
W	Yong Jae Jun6-2	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:58	MARS	Apr 29, 2006
W	Yoshiyuki Yoshida18-9	Decision	Majority	R2	4:06	Shooto	Dec 17, 2005
W	Katsuaki Niioka1-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:10	Shooto	Nov 6, 2005
W	Mohamed Khacha8-4	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:34	GCM	Sep 17, 2005
W	Taro Minato0-6	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	4:03	GCM	Aug 28, 2005
W	Jun Kitagawa4-8-2	Decision	Unanimous	R2	5:00	Shooto	Jun 3, 2005
W	Kentaro Abe2-7-2	Decision	Unanimous	R2	5:00	Shooto	Feb 6, 2005
W	Atsushi Inoue1-7	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:11	GCM	Nov 14, 2004
D	Kazunori Yokota25-9-3	Draw	Unanimous	R2	5:00	GCM	Sep 19, 2004
W	Keisuke Sakai7-4-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:20	Shooto	Jul 16, 2004
W	Ichiro Kanai11-14-3	Decision	Unanimous	R2	5:00	GCM	May 21, 2004
W	Daisuke Nakamura35-29-1	Decision	Unanimous	R2	5:00	GCM	Apr 8, 2004
D	Ichiro Kanai11-14-3	Draw	Majority	R2	5:00	GCM	Dec 27, 2003
W	Kenta Omori3-1	Submission	Triangle Choke	R1	7:44	Kingdom Ehrgeiz	Dec 13, 2003
W	Tomohito Tanizaki1-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	0:33	Kingdom Ehrgeiz	Oct 12, 2003

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

9 wins, 2 losses

W9

L2

Submission

16 wins, 1 loss

W16

L1

Decision

11 wins, 9 losses

W11

L9

Finishes

UFC KOs

0

Below avg · 11%Lightweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.36

Above avg · 0.21Lightweight

UFC submissions

2

Above avg · 6%Lightweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.36

Below avg · 0.44Lightweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Keita Nakamura

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

4

1.50 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

1

0.29 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikes · Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

6 scorecards on file

Keita Nakamura

Scorecard luck

Cards have leaned their way

Won 2 of 2 coin-flip decisions — the kind of close calls that have tended to fall their way. Judges have given them 1 of 2 rounds they disagreed on (50%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

2–0

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

1–1

Won – Lost

50% went their way

Unanimous4 decisions · 67%

4L

Split2 decisions · 33%

2W

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

None scoredno 10-8 rounds in this fighter’s decisions

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC45th

36%337 / 944

Striking accuracy

58%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-0.97 differential

Landed2.23

Absorbed3.20

61%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-6%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head79%46th267
Body15%27th49
Leg6%24th21

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

79%Standing

Standing79%267
Clinch11%37
Ground10%33

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Keita Nakamura

Landed per 15

Head

C

42nd

25.5

42nd

Body

F

19th

4.7

19th

Leg

F

12th

2.0

12th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

C

45th

33.0

45th

Body

C

47th

9.9

47th

Leg

C

53rd

7.1

53rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	25.5	267	830	32%
Body	4.7	49	79	62%
Leg	2.0	21	35	60%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	33.0	346	1,016	34%
Body	9.9	104	141	74%
Leg	7.1	74	80	93%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Keita Nakamura

51%

Takedown accuracy

64%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-0.9 min net

On top2.3

On bottom3.2

Offense

Takedowns

B

63rd

1.7

63rd

TD accuracy

A

73rd

51%

73rd

Sub attempts

C

54th

0.4

54th

Control

C

46th

2.3 min

46th

Defense

TD defense

C

54th

64%

54th

Controlled

3.2 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	18 / 35
Submission attempts	4
Control time	23:44

Defense

TDs defended	23 / 36
Control absorbed	33:30

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (157min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Keita Nakamura

11 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 157 min

105%

R3 pace · 10 bouts

Nakamura holds steady (+3% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Nakamura lifts to 105% of round-1 output by round 3 (10 bouts).

Nakamura — HOLDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Nakamuralanded / min

Takedown attempts

Nakamuraattempts / min

Control time

Nakamura% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	3.3	1.7	3.1	0.20	24%	11
R2	3.5	2.7	4.0	0.15	8%	11
R3	3.5	2.0	2.8	0.34	13%	10

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Keita Nakamura

11 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

35/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

D

33rd

26%

33rd

Win quality

B

67th

45%

67th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

2

4

1

Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-15	2	1-1	50%
Contender-level	2	1-1	50%
Established	2	1-1	50%
Building	4	0-4	0%
Unproven	1	1-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Sultan Aliev	Building	15	Apr 20, 2019
W	Salim Touahri	Unproven	8	Dec 1, 2018
L	Anthony Rocco Martin	Contender-level	36	Apr 21, 2018
W	Alex Morono	Contender-level	32	Sep 22, 2017
L	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Top-15	42	Oct 1, 2016
W	Kyle Noke	Established	30	Jul 13, 2016
L	Tom Breese	Established	22	Feb 27, 2016
W	Li Jingliang	Top-15	50	Sep 26, 2015
L	Rob Emerson	Building	15	Feb 2, 2008
L	Drew Fickett	Building	18	Apr 5, 2007
L	Brock Larson	Building	15	Dec 13, 2006

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

11 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

0-1

1 bout

Typical camp

100–180 days

1-3

4 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

3-2

5 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

4-2

6 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

0-4

4 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

2y 3mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Keita Nakamura

Extended layoff

2y 3mosince last bout

vs Roberto Satoshi de Souza · Mar 23, 2024

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 2-1As underdog 2-3

49.0

DK avg

52.6

Median

87.8

Ceiling

23.0

Floor

18%

Boom

18%

Bust

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