Roy Nelson Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	#11Alexander Volkov Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis	Apr 15, 2017
W	#15Antonio Silva Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R2	4:10	UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg	Sep 24, 2016
L	#12Derrick Lewis Heavyweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez	Jul 7, 2016
W	#12Jared Rosholt Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs. Thompson	Feb 6, 2016
L	#8Josh Barnett Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R5	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs. Nelson	Sep 26, 2015
L	#9Alistair Overeem Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 185: Pettis vs. Dos Anjos	Mar 14, 2015
L	#7Mark Hunt Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head In Clinch	R2	3:00	UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Nelson	Sep 20, 2014
W	#8Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	3:37	UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs. Nelson	Apr 11, 2014
L	#2Daniel Cormier Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 166: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos 3	Oct 19, 2013
L	#9Stipe Miocic Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 161: Evans vs. Henderson	Jun 15, 2013
W	Cheick Kongo Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	2:03	UFC 159: Jones vs. Sonnen	Apr 27, 2013
W	Matt Mitrione Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	2:58	The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale	Dec 15, 2012
W	Dave Herman Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	0:51	UFC 146: Dos Santos vs. Mir	May 26, 2012
L	Fabricio Werdum Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit	Feb 4, 2012
W	Mirko Filipovic Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head From Back Control	R3	1:30	UFC 137: Penn vs. Diaz	Oct 29, 2011
L	Frank Mir Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 130: Rampage vs. Hamill	May 28, 2011
L	Junior Dos Santos Heavyweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 117: Silva vs. Sonnen	Aug 7, 2010
W	Stefan Struve Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	0:39	UFC Fight Night: Florian vs. Gomi	Mar 31, 2010
W	Brendan SchaubTitle Heavyweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	3:45	The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale	Dec 5, 2009

Outside the UFC

15-10across 25 bouts · 12 promotions · wins by 8 KO · 4 sub · 3 decIFL · Bellator · Bodog Fight · ROTR · GFC 6 +7

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
L	Alan Belcher19-9	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	GFC 6	Nov 10, 2023
W	Dillon Cleckler11-2	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	3:24	GFC 4	May 5, 2023
L	Valentin Moldavsky15-4	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Bellator	Aug 21, 2020
L	Frank Mir19-13	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Bellator	Oct 25, 2019
L	Mirko Filipovic38-11-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Bellator	Feb 16, 2019
L	Sergei Kharitonov35-8	KO/TKO	Knees and Punches	R1	4:59	Bellator	Oct 12, 2018
L	Matt Mitrione13-9	Decision	Majority	R3	5:00	Bellator	Feb 16, 2018
W	Javy Ayala11-8	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Bellator	Sep 23, 2017
L	Jeff Monson60-26-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	SRP	Mar 21, 2009
L	Andrei Arlovski34-24	KO/TKO	Punch	R2	1:46	EliteXC	Oct 4, 2008
W	Brad Imes13-7	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:55	IFL	May 16, 2008
W	Fabiano Scherner11-11	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	3:20	IFL	Feb 29, 2008
W	Antoine Jaoude8-3	KO/TKO	Punch	R2	0:22	IFL	Dec 29, 2007
W	Bryan Vetell4-3	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	1:01	IFL	Nov 3, 2007
W	Shane Ott3-3	Decision	Unanimous	R3	4:00	IFL	Jun 16, 2007
L	Ben Rothwell39-14	Decision	Split	R3	4:00	IFL	Apr 7, 2007
W	Mario Rinaldi11-5	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:38	Bodog Fight	Feb 17, 2007
W	Vince Lucero22-26-1	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:55	IFL	Jan 19, 2007
L	Josh Curran3-0	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Bodog Fight	Dec 16, 2006
W	Jerome Smith6-10-1	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R1	4:13	FF 2	Jul 22, 2006
W	Jason Godsey16-16	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	4:42	FF 1	May 6, 2006
W	Michael Buchkovich11-5-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	0:56	WEF 17	Apr 1, 2006
W	Ray Seraile8-9	KO/TKO	Submission to Punches	R2	3:41	PXC 3	Aug 28, 2004
W	Jerry Vrbanovic6-7-1	Decision	Split	R3	3:00	ROTR	Apr 17, 2004
W	Bo Cantrell10-10	Submission	Hammerlock	R3	2:52	ROTR	Apr 17, 2004

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

16 wins, 3 losses

W16

L3

Submission

4 wins, 0 losses

W4

L0

Decision

4 wins, 17 losses

W4

L17

Finishes

UFC KOs

8

Above avg · 18%Heavyweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.47

Above avg · 0.24Heavyweight

UFC submissions

0

Below avg · 8%Heavyweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.05

Below avg · 0.25Heavyweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Roy Nelson

PowerChin

Knockout rate

42%

8 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

9

2.64 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

2

0.31 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

9 scorecards on file

Roy Nelson

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 0 of 1 coin-flip decision — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 2 of 5 rounds they disagreed on (40%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

0–1

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

2–3

Won – Lost

40% went their way

Unanimous8 decisions · 89%

1W7L

Split1 decision · 11%

1L

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

1 round total

0

Won

1

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC46th

36%439 / 1,176

Striking accuracy

46%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-2.61 differential

Landed2.18

Absorbed4.79

56%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-18%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head78%42nd341
Body12%30th53
Leg10%40th45

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

72%Standing

Standing72%315
Clinch19%83
Ground9%41

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Roy Nelson

Landed per 15

Head

D

38th

25.3

38th

Body

F

21st

3.9

21st

Leg

D

34th

3.3

34th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

20th

47.4

20th

Body

F

10th

17.6

10th

Leg

C

42nd

8.0

42nd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	25.3	341	1,048	33%
Body	3.9	53	74	72%
Leg	3.3	45	54	83%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	47.4	640	1,402	46%
Body	17.6	237	293	81%
Leg	8.0	108	115	94%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Roy Nelson

30%

Takedown accuracy

65%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+1.2 min net

On top3.0

On bottom1.8

Offense

Takedowns

B

60th

1.2

60th

TD accuracy

D

38th

30%

38th

Sub attempts

C

54th

0.1

54th

Control

B

58th

3.0 min

58th

Defense

TD defense

C

50th

65%

50th

Controlled

1.8 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	16 / 54
Submission attempts	1
Control time	41:04

Defense

TDs defended	20 / 31
Control absorbed	24:41

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (203min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Roy Nelson

19 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 203 min

98%

R3 pace · 11 bouts

Nelson fades (-9% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Nelson sustains 98% of round-1 output by round 3 (11 bouts).

Nelson ▼ FADESOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Nelsonlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Nelsonattempts / min

Control time

Nelson% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.2	2.3	4.2	0.28	28%	19
R2	3.3	2.0	5.0	0.26	14%	13
R3	3.6	2.2	5.4	0.25	15%	11
R4	3.1	0.8	7.8	0.40	27%	1
R5	5.2	3.6	5.0	0.20	24%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Roy Nelson

19 resolved UFC bouts · 10 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

58/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

A+

92nd

70%

92nd

Win quality

F

25th

31%

25th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

3

8

5

ChampionHeld the title in this weight class at the time
Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Champion	3	0-3	0%
Top-5	8	1-7	13%
Top-15	5	5-0	100%
Contender-level	1	1-0	100%
Building	1	1-0	100%
Unproven	1	1-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Alexander Volkov#11	Top-5	80	Apr 15, 2017
W	Antonio Silva#15	Top-5	74	Sep 24, 2016
L	Derrick Lewis#12	Top-5	79	Jul 7, 2016
W	Jared Rosholt#12	Top-15	65	Feb 6, 2016
L	Josh Barnett#8	Top-5	76	Sep 26, 2015
L	Alistair Overeem#9	Top-5	83	Mar 14, 2015
L	Mark Hunt#7	Top-5	78	Sep 20, 2014
W	Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira#8	Top-15	73	Apr 11, 2014
L	Daniel Cormier#2	Champion	96	Oct 19, 2013
L	Stipe Miocic#9	Champion	90	Jun 15, 2013
W	Cheick Kongo	Contender-level	45	Apr 27, 2013
W	Matt Mitrione	Top-15	53	Dec 15, 2012
W	Dave Herman	Unproven	8	May 26, 2012
L	Fabricio Werdum	Champion	71	Feb 4, 2012
W	Mirko Filipovic	Building	18	Oct 29, 2011
L	Frank Mir	Top-5	72	May 28, 2011
L	Junior Dos Santos	Top-5	69	Aug 7, 2010
W	Stefan Struve	Top-15	53	Mar 31, 2010
W	Brendan Schaub	Top-15	59	Dec 5, 2009

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

19 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

1-2

3 bouts

Typical camp

100–180 days

6-5

11 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

1-3

4 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

5-4

9 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

3-6

9 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

1-0

1 bout

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

1-0

1 bout

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

2y 7mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Roy Nelson

Extended layoff

2y 7mosince last bout

vs Alan Belcher · Nov 10, 2023

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 9-2As underdog 0-8

63.0

DK avg

64.5

Median

110.9

Ceiling

18.7

Floor

42%

Boom

21%

Bust

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