Tucker Lutz Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

ResultOpponentMethodDetailEvent

L

Melsik Baghdasaryan

Featherweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

Jul 15, 2023

L

Daniel Pineda

Featherweight · Submission · Guillotine Choke After Drop to Half Guard · R2 · 2:50

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023

Submission

R2 · 2:50

Guillotine Choke After Drop to Half Guard

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen

Mar 25, 2023

L

Pat Sabatini

Featherweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate

Nov 20, 2021

W

Kevin Aguilar

Featherweight · Decision · Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021

Decision

R3 · 5:00

Unanimous

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler

May 15, 2021

Dana White's Contender Series

2-0across 2 bouts · wins by 2 dec

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Sherrard Blackledge5-1	Decision	30–27, 30–27, 30–27	R3	5:00	Dana White's Contender Series	Nov 17, 2020
W	Chase Gibson14-8	Decision	30–27, 30–27, 30–27	R3	5:00	Dana White's Contender Series	Sep 1, 2020

Dana White’s Contender Series — a UFC-adjacent proving ground, shown as its own tier. Excluded from Schedule Score and UFC-scoped metrics.

Outside the UFC

9-1across 10 bouts · 2 promotions · wins by 6 KO · 2 sub · 1 decSF · Jonathan Ogden Foundation

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Trevor Thompson2-3	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	4:55	SF	Nov 2, 2019
W	Cole Presley7-5	KO/TKO	Punch	R1	1:49	SF	Apr 6, 2019
W	Wesley Golden11-29	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	3:53	Jonathan Ogden Foundation	Nov 1, 2018
W	Timothy Wade3-15	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:31	SF	Oct 6, 2018
W	Francisco Isata12-6	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	SF	Apr 14, 2018
W	Myron Baker6-9	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R1	0:50	SF	Oct 7, 2017
W	Mike Otwell5-4	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	2:55	SF	Apr 8, 2017
W	Jonathan Vinyard3-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R2	1:01	SF	Oct 15, 2016
W	Irving Nicholas1-3	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R1	0:22	SF	Apr 16, 2016
L	Alvin Mercer2-2	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	2:08	SF	Oct 24, 2015

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Amateur

6-0across 6 amateur bouts · 6 promotionsSF 21 · SF 18 · SF 15 · Xtreme Caged Combat · LITC 13 +1

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Brandon Johnson2-5	Decision	Unanimous	R5	3:00	SF 21	Mar 8, 2014
W	Latra Collick3-1	KO/TKO	—	R2	0:59	SF 18	Sep 28, 2013
W	Albert Alvarez4-2	Decision	Unanimous	R5	3:00	SF 15	May 4, 2013
W	Alejandro Dominguez0-4	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	1:00	Xtreme Caged Combat	Feb 16, 2013
W	Jonathan Best0-1	Decision	Unanimous	R3	3:00	LITC 13	Nov 30, 2012
W	William Leone1-1	KO/TKO	Strikes	R2	0:30	SF 10	Aug 18, 2012

Amateur (pre-professional) bouts — shown for context only and excluded from the professional record and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

6 wins, 1 loss

W6

L1

Submission

2 wins, 1 loss

W2

L1

Decision

4 wins, 2 losses

W4

L2

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Tucker Lutz

PowerChin

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

0

0.00 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

1

1.04 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikesin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

3 scorecards on file

Tucker Lutz

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

No split or majority decisions on file — this read comes from contested rounds alone. Judges have given them 0 of 1 round they disagreed on (0%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

None on file

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

0–1

Won – Lost

0% went their way

Unanimous3 decisions · 100%

1W2L

Split

None

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

1 round total

0

Won

1

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC47th

46%180 / 399

Striking accuracy

44%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min+0.49 differential

Landed3.74

Absorbed3.25

57%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-10%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head53%45th95
Body30%69th54
Leg17%58th31

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

88%Standing

Standing88%158
Clinch11%19
Ground2%3

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Tucker Lutz

Landed per 15

Head

D

37th

27.0

37th

Body

A

79th

15.3

79th

Leg

B

58th

8.8

58th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

B

69th

27.3

69th

Body

F

10th

19.6

10th

Leg

B

66th

5.7

66th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	27.0	95	284	33%
Body	15.3	54	76	71%
Leg	8.8	31	39	79%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	27.3	96	205	47%
Body	19.6	69	93	74%
Leg	5.7	20	23	87%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Tucker Lutz

39%

Takedown accuracy

60%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-0.8 min net

On top3.4

On bottom4.2

Offense

Takedowns

B

62nd

2.0

62nd

TD accuracy

C

50th

39%

50th

Sub attempts

C

47th

0.0

47th

Control

B

64th

3.4 min

64th

Defense

TD defense

C

51st

60%

51st

Controlled

4.2 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	7 / 18
Submission attempts	0
Control time	12:07

Defense

TDs defended	9 / 15
Control absorbed	14:49

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (53min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Tucker Lutz

4 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 53 min

88%

R3 pace · 3 bouts

Lutz fades (-8% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Lutz keeps 88% of round-1 output by round 3 (3 bouts).

Lutz ▼ FADESOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Lutzlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Lutzattempts / min

Control time

Lutz% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	6.0	3.9	3.0	0.35	27%	4
R2	4.9	3.4	3.7	0.34	11%	4
R3	5.1	2.8	4.0	0.33	32%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Tucker Lutz

4 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

30/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

F

14th

18%

14th

Win quality

D

41st

37%

41st

Limited UFC sample (4 bouts). The headline Schedule Score is held toward a rookie baseline until a fighter has 6+ UFC bouts — a thin UFC résumé hasn’t yet proven a strong schedule. The component bars above are not down-weighted.

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

1

2

Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Contender-level	1	0-1	0%
Building	1	0-1	0%
Unproven	2	1-1	50%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

Pre-UFC opposition

Developmental

Opponents' combined record

52-82

.388 win rate

Winning-record opponents

3 of 10

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

10

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Melsik Baghdasaryan	Building	18	Jul 15, 2023
L	Daniel Pineda	Unproven	12	Mar 25, 2023
L	Pat Sabatini	Contender-level	32	Nov 20, 2021
W	Kevin Aguilar	Unproven	12	May 15, 2021

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

4 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

0-1

1 bout

Long layoff

> 180 days

0-2

2 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

0-2

2 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

0-1

1 bout

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last bout

3y 1mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Tucker Lutz

Extended layoff

3y 1mosince last bout

vs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Jul 15, 2023

Fight-by-fight odds & scoring

DFSAs favorite 1-2As underdog 0-1

41.90

DK avg

41.80

Median

93.20

Ceiling

14.80

Floor

25%

Boom

50%

Bust

Pro

Every Tucker Lutz fight: closing line, result, DK score

All 4 UFC bouts, sortable and filterable — what the market priced them at, how the fight ended, and the fantasy points it produced.

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