MMA Index
Pro
Proprietary metrics · Upset Index

Upset Index

The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.

← All stats

Leaderboard

17 fighters · / 100
  1. 1
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    5-2 as underdog · 71%
    57.4
  2. 2
    Aiemann Zahabi
    Aiemann Zahabi
    4-2 as underdog · 67%
    53.1
  3. 3
    Rob Font
    Rob Font
    5-3 as underdog · 63%
    52.6
  4. 4
    Song Yadong
    Song Yadong
    4-3 as underdog · 57%
    48.3
  5. 5
    Aljamain Sterling
    Aljamain Sterling
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  6. 6
    Raoni Barcelos
    Raoni Barcelos
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  7. 7
    Douglas Silva de Andrade
    Douglas Silva de Andrade
    3-4 as underdog · 43%
    39.2
  8. 8
    Davey Grant
    Davey Grant
    4-6 as underdog · 40%
    37.9
  9. 9
    Aoriqileng
    Aoriqileng
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  10. 10
    Chris Gutierrez
    Chris Gutierrez
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  11. 11
    Alatengheili
    Alatengheili
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  12. 12
    Cody Garbrandt
    Cody Garbrandt
    3-5 as underdog · 38%
    35.9
  13. 13
    Jose Aldo
    Jose Aldo
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  14. 14
    Deiveson Figueiredo
    Deiveson Figueiredo
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  15. 15
    Vince Morales
    Vince Morales
    2-6 as underdog · 25%
    27.6
  16. 16
    Marlon Vera
    Marlon Vera
    2-8 as underdog · 20%
    23.7
  17. 17
    Cody Gibson
    Cody Gibson
    1-5 as underdog · 17%
    23.1