MMA Index
Pro
Proprietary metrics · Upset Index

Upset Index

The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.

← All stats

Leaderboard

41 fighters · / 100
  1. 1
    Alejandro Perez
    Alejandro Perez
    4-1 as underdog · 80%
    59.0
  2. 2
    Mario Bautista
    Mario Bautista
    5-2 as underdog · 71%
    57.4
  3. 3
    Rani Yahya
    Rani Yahya
    4-2 as underdog · 67%
    53.1
  4. 4
    Aiemann Zahabi
    Aiemann Zahabi
    4-2 as underdog · 67%
    53.1
  5. 5
    Rob Font
    Rob Font
    5-3 as underdog · 63%
    52.6
  6. 6
    Bryan Caraway
    Bryan Caraway
    4-3 as underdog · 57%
    48.3
  7. 7
    Raoni Barcelos
    Raoni Barcelos
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  8. 8
    Aljamain Sterling
    Aljamain Sterling
    3-2 as underdog · 60%
    47.9
  9. 9
    Song Yadong
    Song Yadong
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  10. 10
    Russell Doane
    Russell Doane
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  11. 11
    Frankie Saenz
    Frankie Saenz
    3-3 as underdog · 50%
    43.1
  12. 12
    Pedro Munhoz
    Pedro Munhoz
    5-6 as underdog · 45%
    42.1
  13. 13
    Guido Cannetti
    Guido Cannetti
    4-5 as underdog · 44%
    40.9
  14. 14
    Douglas Silva de Andrade
    Douglas Silva de Andrade
    3-4 as underdog · 43%
    39.2
  15. 15
    Davey Grant
    Davey Grant
    4-6 as underdog · 40%
    37.9
  16. 16
    Raphael Assuncao
    Raphael Assuncao
    4-6 as underdog · 40%
    37.9
  17. 17
    Chad Anheliger
    Chad Anheliger
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  18. 18
    Alex Caceres
    Alex Caceres
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  19. 19
    John Dodson
    John Dodson
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  20. 20
    Jose Quinonez
    Jose Quinonez
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  21. 21
    Marlon Moraes
    Marlon Moraes
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  22. 22
    Chris Gutierrez
    Chris Gutierrez
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  23. 23
    Alatengheili
    Alatengheili
    2-3 as underdog · 40%
    36.8
  24. 24
    Cody Garbrandt
    Cody Garbrandt
    3-5 as underdog · 38%
    35.9
  25. 25
    Brian Kelleher
    Brian Kelleher
    3-5 as underdog · 38%
    35.9
  26. 26
    Jose Aldo
    Jose Aldo
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  27. 27
    Deiveson Figueiredo
    Deiveson Figueiredo
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  28. 28
    Vaughan Lee
    Vaughan Lee
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  29. 29
    Yves Jabouin
    Yves Jabouin
    2-4 as underdog · 33%
    33.1
  30. 30
    Vince Morales
    Vince Morales
    2-6 as underdog · 25%
    27.6
  31. 31
    Joe Soto
    Joe Soto
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7
  32. 32
    Andre Soukhamthath
    Andre Soukhamthath
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7
  33. 33
    Cody Gibson
    Cody Gibson
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7
  34. 34
    Johnny Eduardo
    Johnny Eduardo
    1-4 as underdog · 20%
    25.7
  35. 35
    Eddie Wineland
    Eddie Wineland
    2-8 as underdog · 20%
    23.7
  36. 36
    Marlon Vera
    Marlon Vera
    2-8 as underdog · 20%
    23.7
  37. 37
    Takeya Mizugaki
    Takeya Mizugaki
    1-5 as underdog · 17%
    23.1
  38. 38
    Cody Stamann
    Cody Stamann
    1-5 as underdog · 17%
    23.1
  39. 39
    Brad Pickett
    Brad Pickett
    1-6 as underdog · 14%
    21.0
  40. 40
    Urijah Faber
    Urijah Faber
    1-6 as underdog · 14%
    21.0
  41. 41
    Francisco Rivera
    Francisco Rivera
    0-5 as underdog · 0%
    14.6