Proprietary metrics · Upset Index
Upset Index
The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.
← All statsLeaderboard
50 fighters · / 100- 1
Justin Gaethje9-3 as underdog · 75%64.5 - 2
Sean Strickland7-2 as underdog · 78%63.9 - 3
Brandon Moreno5-1 as underdog · 83%63.1 - 4
Jan Blachowicz10-4 as underdog · 71%62.8 - 5
Chris Duncan4-1 as underdog · 80%59.0 - 6
Denise Gomes4-1 as underdog · 80%59.0 - 7
Mario Bautista5-2 as underdog · 71%57.4 - 8
Ketlen Vieira5-2 as underdog · 71%57.4 - 9
Brendan Allen5-2 as underdog · 71%57.4 - 10
Aiemann Zahabi5-2 as underdog · 71%57.4 - 11
Nicolas Dalby6-3 as underdog · 67%56.2 - 12
Dustin Poirier6-3 as underdog · 67%56.2 - 13
Belal Muhammad7-4 as underdog · 64%55.4 - 14
Robert Whittaker7-4 as underdog · 64%55.4 - 15
Michael Johnson8-5 as underdog · 62%54.8 - 16
Charles Oliveira9-6 as underdog · 60%54.3 - 17
Raoni Barcelos4-2 as underdog · 67%53.1 - 18
Steve Garcia4-2 as underdog · 67%53.1 - 19
Renato Moicano5-3 as underdog · 63%52.6 - 20
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos5-3 as underdog · 63%52.6 - 21
Brian Ortega5-3 as underdog · 63%52.6 - 22
Aljamain Sterling5-3 as underdog · 63%52.6 - 23
Khalil Rountree Jr.6-4 as underdog · 60%52.2 - 24
Rob Font6-4 as underdog · 60%52.2 - 25
Beneil Dariush6-4 as underdog · 60%52.2 - 26
Deiveson Figueiredo7-5 as underdog · 58%52.0 - 27
Julian Erosa8-6 as underdog · 57%51.7 - 28
Neil Magny12-10 as underdog · 55%51.2 - 29
Brandon Royval6-5 as underdog · 55%48.7 - 30
Rose Namajunas5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 31
Alexander Volkov5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 32
Diego Ferreira5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 33
Daniel Rodriguez4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 34
JJ Aldrich4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 35
Jesus Aguilar4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 36
Alonzo Menifield4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 37
Song Yadong4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 38
Matt Frevola4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 39
Nate Landwehr4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 40
Nikita Krylov4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 41
Vicente Luque3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 42
Miesha Tate3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 43
Jasmine Jasudavicius3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 44
Alexander Volkanovski3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 45
Muslim Salikhov3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 46
Joaquin Buckley3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 47
Andre Muniz3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 48
Kai Kara-France3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 49
Chidi Njokuani3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 50
Bogdan Guskov3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9