Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Arman Tsarukyan

edge

Mauricio Ruffy

Striking

Ruffy ▸

Ruffy out-strikes Tsarukyan

Effective offense

A

77th

1.9

+10

A+

87th

2.4

Defense

B

69th

54%

+16

C

53rd

58%

KO power

C

9 KO

0.3 KD

+30

A

12 KO

1.0 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan has the bigger wrestling edge on Ruffy

Takedowns landed

A+

88th

3.3

+79

F

9th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

38%

0%

Takedown defense

A

70th

75%

+11

A

81st

85%

Control time

A+

92nd

6.4 min

+78

F

14th

0.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan is the bigger submission threat on Ruffy

Submission attempts

D

38th

0.1

+20

F

18th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

69th

26%

6 subs

+12

C

57th

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

C

52nd

0%

Even

C

46th

7%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Ruffy ▸

Ruffy is more likely to finish Tsarukyan

Finish rate

C

42nd

50%

+26

B

68th

80%

KO durability

B

63rd

0%

Even

B

61st

0%

Submission defense

C

52nd

0%

+19

D

32nd

17%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

7.5

4.6

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

7.5

4.6

Pace trend-1%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan is in better recent form than Ruffy

Win rate (career)

83%

Even

83%

After a win

89%

75%

Last 5

100%

80%

Win streakW5W2

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

65%

56%

Win quality

79%

Even

78%

Ranked opponents

8

4

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Ruffy ▸

Ruffy is fresher and more active than Tsarukyan

Last bout

9mo

2mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

3

Bouts, last 24 mo

1

5

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Ruffy ▸

Ruffy 2" reach · Ruffy 10 cm · Closed-stance matchup

Arman TsarukyanvsMauricio Ruffy

29

Age

1y

younger

30

5'7"

170cm

Height

4"

taller

5'11"

180cm

73"

184cm

Reach

2"

reach

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Arman TsarukyanMauricio Ruffy

Percentile

Striking/min3.854.19

Accuracy%50%58%

Defense%54%58%

Takedowns/153.30.0

TD defense%75%85%

Submissions/150.10.0

Career rate as a percentile within the lightweight (426 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Arman Tsarukyan

Mauricio Ruffy

76%

-380

MMA Index model

Unlock

24%

+303

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

TsarukyanArman Tsarukyan

RuffyMauricio Ruffy

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

TsarukyanArman Tsarukyan

Stat

RuffyMauricio Ruffy

4

0

KO / TKO

4

0

1

0

Submission

0

1

5

2

Decision

1

0

12:16

Avg fight time

7:17

Arman Tsarukyan’s splits

vs Ruffy

vs Southpaw

3-260%

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Shorter reach

6-275%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Mauricio Ruffy’s splits

vs Tsarukyan

vs Southpaw

0-10%

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Arman TsarukyanvsMauricio Ruffy

29

Age

1y

younger

30

5'7"

170cm

Height

4"

taller

5'11"

180cm

73"

184cm

Reach

2"

reach

75"

191cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

63rd

+8

A

71st

Ruffy has the striking edge (+8).

Attacking

Tsarukyan’s offensevsRuffy’s defense

Where Tsarukyan attacks (green = high volume) vs where Ruffy gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Tsarukyan’s green zones meeting Ruffy’s red zones are the openings.

Arman TsarukyanOffense

Head66%73rd376
Body22%67th124
Leg12%52nd67

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Mauricio RuffyDefense

Head35%60th57
Body41%16th67
Leg24%26th40

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Tsarukyan — by position

62%Standing

Standing62%349
Clinch7%42
Ground31%176

Ruffy — absorbed by position

85%Standing

Standing85%139
Clinch12%20
Ground3%5

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Tsarukyan’s offensevsRuffy’s defense

Head

A

73rd

36.4

+13

B

60th

26.5

Body

B

67th

12.1

+51

F

16th

16.7

Leg

C

52nd

7.1

+26

D

26th

11.0

Ruffy’s offensevsTsarukyan’s defense

Head

A

80th

39.5

Even

A

77th

20.7

Body

D

39th

7.2

+19

B

58th

8.5

Leg

C

53rd

7.4

+26

A

80th

3.7

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Arman Tsarukyan	top 27% of division36.4	42%	top 23% of division20.7	376
Head	Mauricio Ruffy	top 20% of division39.5	54%	above division average26.5	143
Body	Arman Tsarukyan	above division average12.1	74%	above division average8.5	124
Body	Mauricio Ruffy	below division average7.2	67%	well below average16.7	12
Leg	Arman Tsarukyan	around division average7.1	86%	top 20% of division3.7	67
Leg	Mauricio Ruffy	around division average7.4	87%	well below average11.0	20

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Arman Tsarukyan

Mauricio Ruffy

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

68th

+17

C

51st

Tsarukyan has the grappling edge (+17).

Takedowns

A+

85th

3.3

+48

D

38th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

C

53rd

38%

32/85

0%

0/1

Takedown defense

A

70th

75%

30/40

+11

A

81st

85%

17/20

Submission threat

C

43rd

0.1

Even

C

48th

0.0

Control time

A+

87th

6.4 min

+51

D

36th

0.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Arman Tsarukyan	Mauricio Ruffy
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	3.332	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	38%32 / 85	0%0 / 1
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	75%30 / 40	85%17 / 20
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.11	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	6.4 min62:19	0.7 min1:55
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.6 min16:03	2.0 min5:58

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Arman Tsarukyan

74

Schedule Score

Mauricio Ruffy

64

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

147 min

12 bouts

Octagon time

103 min

more

44 min

6 bouts

Schedule strength

65%

56%

Win quality

79%

Even

78%

Ranked opponents

8

4

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Arman Tsarukyan	Mauricio Ruffy
Champion	1-1	—
Top-5	2-1	1-1
Ranked 6–15	4-0	2-0
Established	1-0	—
Building	2-0	1-0
Unproven	—	1-0

Arman Tsarukyan — bouts

Mauricio Ruffy — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Arman Tsarukyan

Mauricio Ruffy

Tsarukyan — last 5

recent → old

Ruffy — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

5-0

4-1

Current streak

W5

W2

Ranked opps

4 of 5

Even

4 of 5

Layoff

9 mo

2 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Arman Tsarukyan

Mauricio Ruffy

Post-result bounce

SituationTsarukyan Ruffy

After a loss

2-0100%

1-0100%

After a win

8-189%

3-175%

Camp length

SituationTsarukyan Ruffy

Short turnaround< 100 days

1-0100%

—

Typical camp100–180 days

4-180%

3-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

5-0100%

1-150%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Arman Tsarukyan

Mauricio Ruffy

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Tsarukyan15W–1L by finish · 60% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Ruffy13W–2L by finish · 69% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑27%·Ruffy

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑27%·Ruffy

D

32nd

65%

+33

B

65th

92%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

38%

7%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

A

71st

4%

+10

B

61st

7%

Submission defense

↑7%·Tsarukyan

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑7%·Tsarukyan

A

73rd

0%

+14

B

59th

7%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Arman Tsarukyan	Mauricio Ruffy
Wins
by KO / TKO	9(39%)	12(92%)
by submission	6(26%)	0(0%)
by decision	8(35%)	1(8%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(33%)	1(50%)
by submission	0(0%)	1(50%)
by decision	2(67%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Arman Tsarukyan

vs

Mauricio Ruffy

33%

4 KO/TKO in 12 bouts

Knockout rate

71%

5 KO/TKO in 7 bouts

3

0.8 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

6

4.2 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Arman TsarukyanFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Mauricio RuffyFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
vs Benoit Saint Denis11 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 6, 2025 · R2 · 2:56

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Arman Tsarukyan

102%

R3 vs R1 · 8 bouts reaching R3

Mauricio Ruffy

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Tsarukyan sustains 102% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Ruffy hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Tsarukyan — HOLDS

RuffyOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Tsarukyan

Ruffylanded / min

Takedown attempts

Tsarukyan

Ruffyattempts / min

Control time

Tsarukyan

Ruffy% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Arman Tsarukyan	7.5	3.3	1.4	0.71	52%	12
R1	Mauricio Ruffy	3.6	3.3	2.4	0.04	4%	6
R2	Arman Tsarukyan	7.6	4.2	2.0	0.57	42%	10
R2	Mauricio Ruffy	5.5	5.2	4.6	0.00	7%	3
R3	Arman Tsarukyan	7.4	4.3	1.8	0.52	38%	8
R3	Mauricio Ruffy	4.4	4.4	9.0	0.00	1%	1
R4	Arman Tsarukyan	3.5	3.2	2.6	0.00	8%	1
R4	Mauricio Ruffy	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Arman Tsarukyan	5.6	4.6	4.0	0.20	10%	1
R5	Mauricio Ruffy	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.