Nathaniel Wood vs Mairon Santos Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Nathaniel Wood

edge

Mairon Santos

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

A+

92nd

2.9

+31

B

60th

1.6

Defense

D

42nd

54%

+48

A+

89th

65%

KO power

D

8 KO

0.4 KD

Even

C

9 KO

0.5 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Wood

Wood has the bigger wrestling edge on Santos

Takedowns landed

C

51st

1.3

+43

F

8th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

49%

0%

Takedown defense

B

70th

73%

+9

B

60th

69%

Control time

C

44th

2.2 min

+27

F

16th

0.9 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Wood

Wood is the bigger submission threat on Santos

Submission attempts

B

60th

0.5

+41

F

19th

0.0

Sub win rate

B

67th

22%

5 subs

+10

C

57th

0%

0 subs

Submission defense

D

40th

7%

Even

C

42nd

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Santos ▸

Santos is more likely to finish Wood

Finish rate

D

34th

27%

+14

C

48th

50%

KO durability

C

57th

7%

Even

C

57th

0%

Submission defense

C

42nd

0%

Even

D

41st

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Wood

Wood pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

6.8

3.8

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.5

3.7

Pace trend

+11%/rd

+15%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Santos ▸

Santos is in better recent form than Wood

Win rate (career)

79%

100%

After a win

70%

100%

Last 5

80%

100%

Win streakW4W5

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

24%

28%

Win quality

58%

74%

Ranked opponents

3

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Common opp (1)0-11-0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Wood

Wood is fresher and more active than Santos

Last bout

5mo

9mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

Even

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Santos ▸

Santos 3" reach · Santos 8 cm · Santos 7y younger · Closed-stance matchup

Nathaniel WoodvsMairon Santos

33

Age

7y

younger

26

5'6"

168cm

Height

3"

taller

5'9"

175cm

69"

175cm

Reach

3"

reach

72"

183cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Nathaniel WoodMairon Santos

Percentile

Striking/min5.643.33

Accuracy%51%48%

Defense%54%65%

Takedowns/151.40.0

TD defense%73%69%

Submissions/150.50.0

Career rate as a percentile within the featherweight (283 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Mairon Santos, from opponents’ full pro records

Mairon Santos

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

126-114-1

.525 win rate

Winning-record opponents

10 of 14

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

14

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Nathaniel Wood

Mairon Santos

46%

+110

MMA Index model

Unlock

54%

-130

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

WoodNathaniel Wood

SantosMairon Santos

1-0100%

As pick'em

—

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

WoodNathaniel Wood

Stat

SantosMairon Santos

0

1

KO / TKO

2

—

3

0

Submission

0

—

8

2

Decision

2

—

13:32

Avg fight time

11:43

Nathaniel Wood’s splits

vs Santos

vs Southpaw

2-167%

vs Switch

4-0100%

vs Shorter reach

0-20%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Mairon Santos’s splits

vs Wood

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Nathaniel WoodvsMairon Santos

33

Age

7y

younger

26

5'6"

168cm

Height

3"

taller

5'9"

175cm

69"

175cm

Reach

3"

reach

72"

183cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

58th

Even

B

65th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Wood’s offensevsSantos’s defense

Where Wood attacks (green = high volume) vs where Santos gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Wood’s green zones meeting Santos’s red zones are the openings.

Nathaniel WoodOffense

Head55%81st589
Body10%44th112
Leg34%99th368

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Mairon SantosDefense

Head55%70th58
Body16%66th17
Leg29%40th30

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Wood — by position

87%Standing

Standing87%929
Clinch5%58
Ground8%82

Santos — absorbed by position

93%Standing

Standing93%98
Clinch7%7
Ground0%0

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Wood’s offensevsSantos’s defense

Head

A

81st

44.2

+10

A

70th

27.2

Body

C

44th

9.3

+22

B

66th

8.6

Leg

A+

99th

25.2

+58

D

40th

9.2

Santos’s offensevsWood’s defense

Head

D

42nd

29.3

Even

D

35th

39.4

Body

B

63rd

12.1

+34

D

29th

13.6

Leg

B

69th

10.5

+29

D

40th

9.5

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Nathaniel Wood	top 19% of division44.2	41%	below division average39.4	589
Head	Mairon Santos	below division average29.3	36%	top 30% of division27.2	77
Body	Nathaniel Wood	below division average9.3	61%	well below average13.6	112
Body	Mairon Santos	above division average12.1	59%	above division average8.6	41
Leg	Nathaniel Wood	elite — top of division25.2	79%	below division average9.5	368
Leg	Mairon Santos	above division average10.5	88%	below division average9.2	38

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Nathaniel Wood

Mairon Santos

Overall Grappling

Grappling

B

60th

+13

C

46th

Wood has the grappling edge (+13).

Takedowns

C

52nd

1.3

+15

D

38th

0.0

Takedown accuracy

B

67th

49%

17/35

0%

0/2

Takedown defense

B

70th

73%

33/45

+9

B

60th

69%

9/13

Submission threat

B

61st

0.5

+13

C

48th

0.0

Control time

C

48th

2.2 min

+9

D

39th

0.9 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Nathaniel Wood	Mairon Santos
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.317	0.00
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	49%17 / 35	0%0 / 2
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	73%33 / 45	69%9 / 13
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.56	0.00
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.2 min28:13	0.9 min2:48
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	2.1 min26:48	2.7 min8:18

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Nathaniel Wood

Mairon Santos

Record vs common opponents

Edge · Santos

0-1

0-1

1-0

1-0

Edge · Santos

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Nathaniel Wood

37

Schedule Score

Mairon Santos

38

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

190 min

14 bouts

Octagon time

143 min

more

47 min

4 bouts

Schedule strength

24%

28%

Win quality

58%

74%

Ranked opponents

3

0

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Nathaniel Wood	Mairon Santos
Ranked 6–15	2-1	—
Cross-div ranked	0-1	1-0
Contender-level	1-0	—
Established	1-1	1-0
Building	4-0	2-0
Unproven	3-0	—

Nathaniel Wood — bouts

Mairon Santos — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Nathaniel Wood

Mairon Santos

Wood — last 5

recent → old

Santos — last 5

recent → old

WLFA

DEC

Barbosa

Mar ’23

Last 5 record

4-1

5-0

Current streak

W4

W5

Ranked opps

0 of 5

Even

0 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

9 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Nathaniel Wood

Mairon Santos

Post-result bounce

SituationWood Santos

After a loss

3-0100%

—

After a win

7-370%

3-0100%

Camp length

SituationWood Santos

Short turnaround< 100 days

2-250%

1-0100%

Typical camp100–180 days

2-0100%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

6-186%

2-0100%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Nathaniel Wood

Mairon Santos

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Wood13W–4L by finish

R1

R2

R3

Santos9W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑4%·Wood

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑4%·Wood

D

29th

57%

Even

D

27th

53%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

41%

44%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

B

61st

7%

Even

B

63rd

6%

Submission defense

↑7%·Santos

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑7%·Santos

B

61st

7%

+11

A

71st

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Nathaniel Wood	Mairon Santos
Wins
by KO / TKO	8(35%)	9(53%)
by submission	5(22%)	0(0%)
by decision	10(43%)	8(47%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(33%)	1(100%)
by submission	2(33%)	0(0%)
by decision	2(33%)	0(0%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Nathaniel Wood

vs

Mairon Santos

0%

0 KO/TKO in 14 bouts

Knockout rate

50%

2 KO/TKO in 4 bouts

5

0.8 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

2

2.6 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

3

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Nathaniel WoodFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs John Dodson6y 6mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · Feb 15, 2020 · R3 · 0:16
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Mairon SantosFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Nathaniel Wood

124%

R3 vs R1 · 12 bouts reaching R3

Mairon Santos

156%

R3 vs R1 · 3 bouts reaching R3

No clear cardio edge — Wood builds (+12% per round through round 3) and Santos builds (+14% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Wood lifts to 124% of round-1 output by round 3, Santos 156%.

Wood ▲ BUILDS

Santos ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Wood

Santoslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Wood

Santosattempts / min

Control time

Wood

Santos% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Nathaniel Wood	5.9	5.0	4.8	0.11	13%	14
R1	Mairon Santos	2.9	2.6	2.6	0.05	2%	4
R2	Nathaniel Wood	7.2	5.9	3.8	0.17	19%	14
R2	Mairon Santos	4.5	3.8	1.8	0.06	12%	4
R3	Nathaniel Wood	7.5	6.1	4.0	0.29	12%	12
R3	Mairon Santos	4.0	3.9	2.2	0.00	4%	3

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.