Proprietary metrics · Upset Index
Upset Index
The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.
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50 fighters · / 100- 1
Amanda Nunes6-1 as underdog · 86%66.5 - 2
Rani Yahya6-2 as underdog · 75%60.9 - 3
James Krause4-1 as underdog · 80%59.0 - 4
Michael Trizano4-1 as underdog · 80%59.0 - 5
Krzysztof Jotko4-1 as underdog · 80%59.0 - 6
Fabricio Werdum4-1 as underdog · 80%59.0 - 7
Ben Rothwell5-2 as underdog · 71%57.4 - 8
Carla Esparza5-2 as underdog · 71%57.4 - 9
Yoel Romero6-3 as underdog · 67%56.2 - 10
Alejandro Perez4-2 as underdog · 67%53.1 - 11
Sean Pierson4-2 as underdog · 67%53.1 - 12
Kenny Robertson4-2 as underdog · 67%53.1 - 13CPConstantinos Philippou5-3 as underdog · 63%52.6
- 14
Abel Trujillo5-3 as underdog · 63%52.6 - 15
Daniel Kelly6-4 as underdog · 60%52.2 - 16
Raquel Pennington6-5 as underdog · 55%48.7 - 17
Thiago Alves5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 18
Derek Brunson5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 19
Paul Felder5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 20
Anthony Perosh5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 21
Carlos Condit5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 22
Chan Sung Jung5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 23
Bryan Caraway4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 24
Eddie Alvarez4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 25
TJ Grant4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 26
Stipe Miocic4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 27
Marcus Brimage3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 28
Ricky Glenn3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 29
Corey Anderson3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 30
Dennis Hallman3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 31
Pablo Garza3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 32
Steven Siler3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 33
Jorge Rivera3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 34
Leonardo Santos3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 35
John Lineker3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 36
Claudio Silva3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 37
Akira Corassani3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 38
Maryna Moroz3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 39
Brian Ebersole3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 40
Darren Till3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 41
Alan Belcher3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 42
Dan Hardy3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 43
Jennifer Maia3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 44
Zak Cummings3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 45
Nina Nunes3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 46
Tim Boetsch7-7 as underdog · 50%46.2 - 47
Dennis Siver5-5 as underdog · 50%45.1 - 48
John Howard5-5 as underdog · 50%45.1 - 49
Mark Hunt5-5 as underdog · 50%45.1 - 50
Uriah Hall5-5 as underdog · 50%45.1