Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Brandon Moreno

edge

Joseph Morales

Striking

◂ Moreno

Moreno out-strikes Morales

Effective offense

B

68th

1.7

+46

F

23rd

0.8

Defense

C

56th

59%

+19

A

76th

57%

KO power

D

5 KO

0.2 KD

Even

D

2 KO

0.2 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

◂ Moreno

Moreno has the bigger wrestling edge on Morales

Takedowns landed

C

53rd

1.4

Even

C

47th

1.1

Takedown accuracy

40%

43%

Takedown defense

C

53rd

65%

+39

F

15th

27%

Control time

B

60th

2.7 min

Even

C

55th

2.5 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

Morales ▸

Morales is the bigger submission threat on Moreno

Submission attempts

C

47th

0.4

+52

A+

100th

3.0

Sub win rate

A

81st

48%

11 subs

Even

A

81st

57%

8 subs

Submission defense

C

48th

0%

Even

C

48th

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finishing threats

Finish rate

B

67th

55%

+9

A

76th

100%

KO durability

C

48th

6%

+15

D

34th

20%

Submission defense

C

48th

0%

Even

C

47th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

◂ Moreno

Moreno pushes the higher work rate over the fight

Work rate / min — full fight

5.2

3.4

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

5.0

3.4

Pace trend+9%/rd—

See full Pace →

Form

Morales ▸

Morales is in better recent form than Moreno

Win rate (career)

61%

Even

60%

After a win

64%

50%

Last 5

40%

100%

Win streakL2W5

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Moreno

Moreno has faced the tougher schedule vs Morales

Schedule strength

84%

41%

Win quality

61%

40%

Ranked opponents

18

2

Title-holder bouts

3

0

Common opp (1)2-1-10-1

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Moreno

Moreno is fresher and more active than Morales

Last bout

5mo

8mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

2

Even

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

4

2

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Moreno

Moreno 3 cm · Switch-stance wrinkle

Brandon MorenovsJoseph Morales

32

Age

Even

32

5'7"

170cm

Height

1"

taller

5'6"

168cm

70"

178cm

Reach

1"

reach

69"

175cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Brandon MorenoJoseph Morales

Percentile

Striking/min3.842.00

Accuracy%44%40%

Defense%59%57%

Takedowns/151.41.1

TD defense%65%26%

Submissions/150.43.0

Career rate as a percentile within the flyweight (117 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Pre-UFC opposition

non-UFC slate for Joseph Morales, from opponents’ full pro records

Joseph Morales

Moderate

Opponents' combined record

83-75-2

.525 win rate

Winning-record opponents

5 of 11

carried winning pro records

Pro bouts faced

11

all opponents have records on file

A descriptive read of the non-UFC slate from opponents’ full career pro records — not a UFC-grade Schedule Score.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

MorenoBrandon Moreno

MoralesJoseph Morales

0-10%

As pick'em

—

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

MorenoBrandon Moreno

Stat

MoralesJoseph Morales

3

1

KO / TKO

0

1

3

0

Submission

3

0

5

6

Decision

0

1

16:43

Avg fight time

7:54

Brandon Moreno’s splits

vs Morales

vs Orthodox

10-663%

vs Southpaw

1-150%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Joseph Morales’s splits

vs Moreno

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

2-250%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Brandon MorenovsJoseph Morales

32

Age

Even

32

5'7"

170cm

Height

1"

taller

5'6"

168cm

70"

178cm

Reach

1"

reach

69"

175cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

53rd

+9

C

44th

Moreno has the striking edge (+9).

Attacking

Moreno’s offensevsMorales’s defense

Where Moreno attacks (green = high volume) vs where Morales gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Moreno’s green zones meeting Morales’s red zones are the openings.

Brandon MorenoOffense

Head74%81st969
Body16%50th207
Leg10%44th132

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Joseph MoralesDefense

Head54%64th44
Body36%46th29
Leg10%66th8

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Moreno — by position

88%Standing

Standing88%1,147
Clinch6%72
Ground7%89

Morales — absorbed by position

63%Standing

Standing63%51
Clinch9%7
Ground28%23

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Moreno’s offensevsMorales’s defense

Head

A

81st

41.2

+17

B

64th

26.2

Body

C

50th

9.3

Even

C

46th

11.3

Leg

C

44th

6.1

+22

B

66th

5.9

Morales’s offensevsMoreno’s defense

Head

D

40th

25.0

Even

D

38th

36.7

Body

C

52nd

9.7

Even

C

56th

9.8

Leg

D

36th

5.3

Even

C

43rd

8.2

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Brandon Moreno	top 19% of division41.2	39%	below division average36.7	969
Head	Joseph Morales	below division average25.0	32%	above division average26.2	50
Body	Brandon Moreno	around division average9.3	71%	above division average9.8	207
Body	Joseph Morales	around division average9.7	74%	around division average11.3	23
Leg	Brandon Moreno	below division average6.1	83%	below division average8.2	132
Leg	Joseph Morales	below division average5.3	75%	above division average5.9	6

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Brandon Moreno

Joseph Morales

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

56th

Even

C

55th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

C

53rd

1.4

Even

C

54th

1.1

Takedown accuracy

B

61st

40%

31/78

43%

3/7

Takedown defense

C

53rd

65%

49/75

+39

F

15th

27%

4/15

Submission threat

C

51st

0.4

+43

A+

93rd

3.0

Control time

B

60th

2.7 min

Even

C

58th

2.5 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Brandon Moreno	Joseph Morales
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.431	1.13
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	40%31 / 78	43%3 / 7
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	65%49 / 75	27%4 / 15
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.49	3.08
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.7 min61:41	2.5 min6:42
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	1.5 min34:17	6.3 min16:29

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

The single UFC opponent both fighters have faced. Reads as a directional signal, not a verdict.

Brandon Moreno

Joseph Morales

Record vs common opponents

Edge · Moreno

2-1-1

2-1-1

0-1

0-1

Edge · Moreno

Decision (Unanimous)R5· 5:00

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Brandon Moreno

85

Schedule Score

Joseph Morales

39

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

341 min

20 bouts

Octagon time

302 min

more

39 min

5 bouts

Schedule strength

84%

41%

Win quality

61%

40%

Ranked opponents

18

2

Title-holder bouts

3

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Brandon Moreno	Joseph Morales
Champion	2-3-1	0-1
Top-5	5-3-1	—
Ranked 6–15	4-1	1-1
Unproven	—	2-0

Brandon Moreno — bouts

Joseph Morales — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Brandon Moreno

Joseph Morales

Moreno — last 5

recent → old

Morales — last 5

recent → old

WURIJAH

SUB R3

Do

Feb ’23

WCW 133

DEC

Honorio

Mar ’22

WCW 126

DEC

Wirth

Aug ’21

Last 5 record

2-3

5-0

Current streak

L2

W5

Ranked opps

5 of 5

1 of 5

Layoff

5 mo

9 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Brandon Moreno

Joseph Morales

Camp length

SituationMoreno Morales

Short turnaround< 100 days

3-175%

1-0100%

Typical camp100–180 days

3-260%

—

Long layoff> 180 days

4-450%

1-233%

Post-result bounce

SituationMoreno Morales

After a loss

2-340%

1-150%

After a win

6-460%

1-150%

Title fights

SituationMoreno Morales

All title fightschallenger or champ

3-260%

—

As championbelt defenses

1-233%

—

As challengerfor the belt

2-0100%

—

Rematches

SituationMoreno Morales

All rematchesany repeat opponent

2-340%

—

Revenge boutslost the first

0-10%

—

Encore boutswon the first

2-250%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Brandon Moreno

Joseph Morales

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Moreno16W–1L by finish

R1

R2

R3

R4

Morales10W–1L by finish · 60% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

R4

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

20:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

C

52nd

70%

Even

C

56th

71%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

48%

31%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

B

66th

3%

+17

C

49th

6%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

B

68th

0%

Even

B

68th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Brandon Moreno	Joseph Morales
Wins
by KO / TKO	5(22%)	2(14%)
by submission	11(48%)	8(57%)
by decision	7(30%)	4(29%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(10%)	1(50%)
by submission	0(0%)	0(0%)
by decision	9(90%)	1(50%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Brandon Moreno

vs

Joseph Morales

15%

3 KO/TKO in 20 bouts

Knockout rate

0%

0 KO/TKO in 5 bouts

4

0.4 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

1

2.0 / 100 head

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

5

0.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

1

2.3 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Brandon MorenoFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Tatsuro Taira7 months ago
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025 · R2 · 2:24
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Joseph MoralesFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Deiveson Figueiredo8y 5mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · Feb 3, 2018 · R2 · 4:34
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Brandon Moreno

115%

R3 vs R1 · 16 bouts reaching R3

Joseph Morales

—

< 2 bouts to R3

Moreno lifts to 115% of round-1 output by round 3 (within fights reaching round 3). Morales hasn't reached the third round in enough UFC bouts to read a pace pattern yet.

Moreno ▲ BUILDS

MoralesOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Moreno

Moraleslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Moreno

Moralesattempts / min

Control time

Moreno

Morales% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Brandon Moreno	4.6	3.1	2.9	0.22	21%	20
R1	Joseph Morales	3.2	1.6	2.0	0.18	24%	5
R2	Brandon Moreno	5.4	4.1	3.9	0.24	16%	18
R2	Joseph Morales	3.7	3.0	2.7	0.16	6%	3
R3	Brandon Moreno	5.6	4.1	3.5	0.27	17%	16
R3	Joseph Morales	2.1	1.0	0.6	0.20	13%	1
R4	Brandon Moreno	5.8	4.5	5.0	0.23	14%	8
R4	Joseph Morales	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Brandon Moreno	5.2	3.8	3.8	0.15	23%	8
R5	Joseph Morales	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.