Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Raul Rosas Jr.

edge

Raoni Barcelos

Striking

Barcelos ▸

Barcelos out-strikes Rosas

Effective offense

F

9th

0.6

+77

A+

87th

2.4

Defense

B

69th

52%

+16

C

52nd

60%

KO power

D

2 KO

0.1 KD

Even

D

8 KO

0.3 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Barcelos ▸

Barcelos has the bigger wrestling edge on Rosas (thin sample)

Takedowns landed

A+

99th

6.8

+20

A

79th

2.5

Takedown accuracy

A

82nd

54%

+41

D

41st

32%

Takedown defense

33%

88%

Control time

A+

99th

8.5 min

+29

B

70th

3.7 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Rosas

Rosas is the bigger submission threat on Barcelos

Submission attempts

A

75th

0.8

Even

A

71st

0.7

Sub win rate

A

78th

50%

6 subs

+18

B

60th

14%

3 subs

Submission defense

D

41st

0%

Even

D

41st

4%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both hard to finish

Finish rate

D

40th

50%

Even

D

35th

36%

KO durability

C

50th

0%

Even

C

44th

7%

Submission defense

D

41st

0%

Even

D

41st

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Barcelos ▸

Barcelos pushes the higher work rate over five rounds — Barcelos's pace builds while Rosas's fades

Work rate / min — full fight

6.0

7.3

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.2

7.0

Pace trend

-13%/rd

+18%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Even

Comparable recent form

Win rate (career)

86%

73%

After a win

80%

Even

80%

Last 5

100%

Even

100%

Win streakW5W5

See full Form →

Schedule

Barcelos ▸

Barcelos has faced the tougher schedule vs Rosas

Schedule strength

26%

49%

Win quality

63%

Even

62%

Ranked opponents

1

5

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

Barcelos ▸

Barcelos is fresher and more active than Rosas

Last bout

6mo

4mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

2

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

4

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Rosas

Rosas 4 cm · Rosas 18y younger · Switch-stance wrinkle

Raul Rosas Jr.vsRaoni Barcelos

21

Age

18y

younger

39

5'9"

175cm

Height

2"

taller

5'8"

171cm

67"

170cm

Reach

Even

67"

170cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Raul Rosas Jr.Raoni Barcelos

Percentile

Striking/min1.344.65

Accuracy%42%51%

Defense%52%60%

Takedowns/156.12.5

TD defense%25%87%

Submissions/150.90.7

Career rate as a percentile within the bantamweight (244 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

UFC betting history

Career

RosasRaul Rosas Jr.

BarcelosRaoni Barcelos

—

As pick'em

1-0100%

Notes

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

RosasRaul Rosas Jr.

Stat

BarcelosRaoni Barcelos

1

0

KO / TKO

2

1

2

0

Submission

2

0

3

1

Decision

7

3

10:09

Avg fight time

13:09

Raul Rosas Jr.’s splits

vs Barcelos

vs Southpaw

0-0no data

vs Switch

1-0100%

vs Longer reach

5-183%

vs Shorter reach

0-0no data

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Raoni Barcelos’s splits

vs Rosas

vs Orthodox

7-370%

vs Southpaw

3-0100%

vs Longer reach

8-373%

vs Shorter reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Raul Rosas Jr.vsRaoni Barcelos

21

Age

18y

younger

39

5'9"

175cm

Height

2"

taller

5'8"

171cm

67"

170cm

Reach

Even

67"

170cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

D

37th

+22

B

59th

Barcelos has the striking edge (+22).

Attacking

Rosas’s offensevsBarcelos’s defense

Where Rosas attacks (green = high volume) vs where Barcelos gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Rosas’s green zones meeting Barcelos’s red zones are the openings.

Raul Rosas Jr.Offense

Head64%23rd61
Body14%22nd13
Leg22%38th21

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Raoni BarcelosDefense

Head65%33rd545
Body20%35th170
Leg15%44th122

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Rosas — by position

67%Standing

Standing67%64
Clinch1%1
Ground32%30

Barcelos — absorbed by position

89%Standing

Standing89%741
Clinch7%59
Ground4%37

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Rosas’s offensevsBarcelos’s defense

Head

F

23rd

20.1

+10

D

33rd

40.6

Body

F

22nd

5.9

+14

D

35th

12.7

Leg

D

38th

5.9

Even

C

44th

9.2

Barcelos’s offensevsRosas’s defense

Head

A+

88th

47.5

+12

A

76th

23.3

Body

C

51st

9.7

+28

A

79th

7.0

Leg

B

64th

9.1

+15

A

80th

4.3

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Raul Rosas Jr.	well below average20.1	35%	top 24% of division23.3	61
Head	Raoni Barcelos	top 12% of division47.5	46%	below division average40.6	672
Body	Raul Rosas Jr.	well below average5.9	48%	top 21% of division7.0	13
Body	Raoni Barcelos	around division average9.7	76%	below division average12.7	124
Leg	Raul Rosas Jr.	below division average5.9	70%	top 20% of division4.3	21
Leg	Raoni Barcelos	above division average9.1	86%	below division average9.2	122

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Raul Rosas Jr.

Raoni Barcelos

Overall Grappling

Grappling

A+

86th

+18

B

68th

Rosas has the grappling edge (+18).

Takedowns

A+

97th

6.8

+22

A

75th

2.5

Takedown accuracy

A

82nd

54%

32/59

+41

D

41st

32%

33/104

Takedown defense

33%

1/3

A+

89th

88%

36/41

Submission threat

A

72nd

0.8

Even

B

70th

0.7

Control time

A+

93rd

8.5 min

+28

B

66th

3.7 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Raul Rosas Jr.	Raoni Barcelos
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	6.832	2.533
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	54%32 / 59	32%33 / 104
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	33%1 / 3	88%36 / 41
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.84	0.79
Control time / 15 (min)career total	8.5 min40:23	3.7 min48:44
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	2.3 min10:49	1.0 min12:40

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Raul Rosas Jr.

41

Schedule Score

Raoni Barcelos

54

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

71 min

7 bouts

Octagon time

126 min

more

197 min

15 bouts

Schedule strength

26%

49%

Win quality

63%

62%

Ranked opponents

1

5

Title-holder bouts

0

Even

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Raul Rosas Jr.	Raoni Barcelos
Champion	—	1-0
Top-5	1-0	0-1
Ranked 6–15	—	5-1
Established	0-1	—
Building	1-0	1-2
Unproven	4-0	4-0

Raul Rosas Jr. — bouts

Raoni Barcelos — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Raul Rosas Jr.

Raoni Barcelos

Rosas — last 5

recent → old

Barcelos — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

5-0

Even

5-0

Current streak

W5

Even

W5

Ranked opps

1 of 5

3 of 5

Layoff

6 mo

4 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Raul Rosas Jr.

Raoni Barcelos

Camp length

SituationRosas Barcelos

Short turnaround< 100 days

1-0100%

—

Typical camp100–180 days

1-150%

5-183%

Long layoff> 180 days

3-0100%

5-363%

Post-result bounce

SituationRosas Barcelos

After a loss

1-0100%

2-250%

After a win

4-180%

8-280%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Raul Rosas Jr.

Raoni Barcelos

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Rosas8W–0L by finish · 75% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Barcelos11W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑17%·Rosas

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑17%·Rosas

C

46th

67%

+19

D

27th

50%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

38%

52%

KO durability

↑4%·Rosas

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑4%·Rosas

B

68th

0%

Even

B

66th

4%

Submission defense

↑4%·Rosas

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑4%·Rosas

B

67th

0%

Even

B

65th

4%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Raul Rosas Jr.	Raoni Barcelos
Wins
by KO / TKO	2(17%)	8(36%)
by submission	6(50%)	3(14%)
by decision	4(33%)	11(50%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	0(0%)	1(20%)
by submission	0(0%)	1(20%)
by decision	1(100%)	3(60%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Raul Rosas Jr.

vs

Raoni Barcelos

13%

1 KO/TKO in 8 bouts

Knockout rate

13%

2 KO/TKO in 15 bouts

1

1.6 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

5

0.7 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

3

0.6 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Raul Rosas Jr.Finish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Raoni BarcelosFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Umar Nurmagomedov3y 7mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Jan 14, 2023 · R1 · 4:40
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Raul Rosas Jr.

82%

R3 vs R1 · 4 bouts reaching R3

Raoni Barcelos

134%

R3 vs R1 · 12 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Barcelos: Barcelos builds (+18% per round through round 3) while Rosas fades (-13% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Rosas drops to 82% of round-1 output by round 3, Barcelos 134%.

Rosas ▼ FADES

Barcelos ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Rosas

Barceloslanded / min

Takedown attempts

Rosas

Barcelosattempts / min

Control time

Rosas

Barcelos% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Raul Rosas Jr.	7.1	1.7	1.0	0.91	67%	7
R1	Raoni Barcelos	5.5	3.1	4.1	0.52	21%	15
R2	Raul Rosas Jr.	5.3	1.1	1.5	0.76	47%	5
R2	Raoni Barcelos	8.5	5.5	3.9	0.61	29%	14
R3	Raul Rosas Jr.	5.6	1.1	1.6	0.80	54%	4
R3	Raoni Barcelos	8.1	5.8	4.8	0.43	24%	12

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.