Clay Guida Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Chase Hooper Lightweight	Submission	Armbar From Mount	R1	3:41	UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura	Dec 7, 2024
L	Joaquim Silva Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	Dec 2, 2023
L	Rafa Garcia Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	Apr 15, 2023
W	Scott Holtzman Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	Dec 3, 2022
L	Claudio Puelles Lightweight	Submission	Kneebar From Bottom Half Guard	R1	3:01	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	Apr 23, 2022
W	Leonardo Santos Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	1:21	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo	Dec 4, 2021
L	Mark Madsen Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum	Aug 21, 2021
W	#10Michael Johnson Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov	Feb 6, 2021
L	#13King Green Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov	Jun 20, 2020
L	#14Jim Miller Lightweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard	R1	0:58	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler	Aug 3, 2019
W	BJ Penn Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade	May 11, 2019
L	Charles Oliveira Lightweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard	R1	2:18	UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2	Jun 9, 2018
W	#15Joe Lauzon Lightweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head At Distance	R1	1:07	UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis	Nov 11, 2017
W	Erik Koch Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee	Jun 25, 2017
L	#12Brian Ortega Featherweight	KO/TKO	Knee to Head At Distance	R3	4:40	UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2	Jun 4, 2016
L	Thiago Tavares Featherweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Bottom	R1	0:39	UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Henderson 3	Nov 7, 2015
W	Robert Peralta Featherweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs. Lamas	Apr 4, 2015
L	#11Dennis Bermudez Featherweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	2:57	UFC on FOX: Lawler vs. Brown	Jul 26, 2014
W	#12Tatsuya Kawajiri Featherweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs. Nelson	Apr 11, 2014
L	#1Chad Mendes Featherweight	KO/TKO	Punch to Head In Clinch	R3	0:30	UFC 164: Henderson vs. Pettis 2	Aug 31, 2013
W	Hatsu Hioki Featherweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Dodson	Jan 26, 2013
L	Gray Maynard Lightweight	Decision	Split	R5	5:00	UFC on FX: Maynard vs. Guida	Jun 22, 2012
L	Benson Henderson Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos	Nov 12, 2011
W	Anthony Pettis Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs. Team dos Santos Finale	Jun 4, 2011
W	Takanori Gomi Lightweight	Submission	Guillotine Choke From Bottom Half Guard	R2	4:27	UFC 125: Resolution	Jan 1, 2011
W	Rafael Dos Anjos Lightweight	Submission	Injury Jaw Injury	R3	1:51	UFC 117: Silva vs. Sonnen	Aug 7, 2010
W	Shannon Gugerty Lightweight	Submission	Arm Triangle From Side Control	R2	3:40	UFC Live: Vera vs. Jones	Mar 21, 2010
L	Kenny Florian Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	2:19	UFC 107: Penn vs. Sanchez	Dec 12, 2009
L	Diego Sanchez Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale	Jun 20, 2009
W	Nate Diaz Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC 94: St-Pierre vs. Penn 2	Jan 31, 2009
W	Mac Danzig Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs. Neer	Sep 17, 2008
W	Samy Schiavo Lightweight	KO/TKO	Punches to Head From Mount	R1	4:15	UFC Fight Night: Florian vs. Lauzon	Apr 2, 2008
L	Roger Huerta Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R3	0:51	The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale	Dec 8, 2007
W	Marcus Aurelio Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC 74: Respect	Aug 25, 2007
L	Tyson Griffin Lightweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC 72: Victory	Jun 16, 2007
L	Din Thomas Lightweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Evans vs. Salmon	Jan 25, 2007
W	JJ Justin James Lightweight	Submission	Rear Naked Choke	R2	4:42	UFC 64: Unstoppable	Oct 14, 2006

Outside the UFC

20-6across 26 bouts · 17 promotions · wins by 4 KO · 10 sub · 5 decCombat · XKK · Strikeforce · KOTC · XFO +12

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Joe Martin6-8	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	WEC	Aug 17, 2006
L	Yusuke Endo14-4-2	Submission	Armbar	R1	2:47	Shooto	Jul 21, 2006
L	Gilbert Melendez22-8	Decision	Split	R5	5:00	Strikeforce	Jun 9, 2006
W	Josh Thomson22-9	Decision	Unanimous	R5	5:00	Strikeforce	Mar 10, 2006
L	Tristan Yunker14-9	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	1:17	KOTC	Feb 17, 2006
W	Joe Jordan48-14-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	XFO	Dec 10, 2005
W	Jeff Carstens8-25	KO/TKO	Injury	R1	3:01	IHC 9	Nov 19, 2005
W	Dave Lehr Cochran26-29-1	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:26	KOTC	Sep 17, 2005
W	John Strawn38-12	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R2	3:12	XFO 7	Aug 27, 2005
W	Jay Estrada23-9	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	—	Combat	Aug 13, 2005
W	Bart Palaszewski36-17	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	XFO 6	Jun 25, 2005
W	Alonzo Martinez46-24-1	Submission	Arm-Triangle Choke	R3	3:22	XKK	May 20, 2005
W	Chris Mickle31-21-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	XKK	May 20, 2005
W	Alex Carter6-29	KO/TKO	Submission to Punches	R1	2:54	Combat	May 14, 2005
W	Brandon Adamson11-13	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	3:02	XFO	Mar 19, 2005
W	Bill Guardiola0-2	Submission	Ankle Lock	R1	—	Combat	Feb 5, 2005
W	Dennis Davis15-11	KO/TKO	Knee	R1	0:00	MMA Mexico 5	Dec 18, 2004
W	Vito Woods3-4	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R2	1:19	XFO 4	Dec 3, 2004
W	Randy Hauer7-15	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:25	EC 60	Nov 12, 2004
W	Bill Guardiola0-2	Submission	Ankle Lock	R1	—	Combat	Oct 23, 2004
L	Gabe Lemley13-9	Submission	Armbar	R2	0:33	XFO 2	Jun 26, 2004
W	Jed Deno15-3	Submission	Choke	R1	3:35	UCS	May 1, 2004
W	Shawn Nolan6-46	N/A	—	R0	0:00	XKK	Apr 3, 2004
L	Dan Duke2-1	N/A	—	R0	0:00	XKK	Apr 3, 2004
W	Adam Bass8-5	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	2:53	XFO 1	Mar 14, 2004
L	Adam Copenhaver8-4	Submission	Rear-Naked Choke	R1	—	SC 17	Jul 26, 2003

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

7 wins, 2 losses

W7

L2

Submission

14 wins, 12 losses

W14

L12

Decision

16 wins, 10 losses

W16

L10

Other

1 win, 1 loss

Disqualifications and other results

W1

L1

Finishes

UFC KOs

2

Below avg · 11%Lightweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.16

Below avg · 0.21Lightweight

UFC submissions

5

Above avg · 6%Lightweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.43

Below avg · 0.44Lightweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Clay Guida

PowerChin

Knockout rate

5%

2 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

6

0.87 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

2

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

6

0.58 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Decision behavior

Judging

12 scorecards on file

Clay Guida

Scorecard luck

Even on close calls

Split their 4 coin-flip decisions evenly — no edge either way on the cards. Judges have given them 4 of 9 rounds they disagreed on (44%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

2–2

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

4–5

Won – Lost

44% went their way

Unanimous8 decisions · 67%

4W4L

Split4 decisions · 33%

2W2L

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

4 rounds total

4

Won

0

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC44th

33%1,156 / 3,486

Striking accuracy

61%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-0.37 differential

Landed2.63

Absorbed3.00

64%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-6%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head60%41st691
Body16%37th186
Leg24%70th279

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

65%Standing

Standing65%753
Clinch14%158
Ground21%245

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Clay Guida

Landed per 15

Head

D

40th

24.5

40th

Body

D

33rd

6.6

33rd

Leg

A

71st

9.9

71st

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

D

37th

36.5

37th

Body

B

67th

7.5

67th

Leg

A

81st

3.6

81st

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	24.5	691	2,881	24%
Body	6.6	186	291	64%
Leg	9.9	279	314	89%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	36.5	1,031	3,003	34%
Body	7.5	211	309	68%
Leg	3.6	102	125	82%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Clay Guida

34%

Takedown accuracy

69%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min+4.2 min net

On top5.5

On bottom1.4

Offense

Takedowns

A

82nd

2.8

82nd

TD accuracy

C

46th

34%

46th

Sub attempts

B

61st

0.6

61st

Control

A+

86th

5.5 min

86th

Defense

TD defense

B

63rd

69%

63rd

Controlled

1.4 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	78 / 232
Submission attempts	16
Control time	156:27

Defense

TDs defended	50 / 72
Control absorbed	38:51

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (423min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Clay Guida

37 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 423 min

117%

R3 pace · 24 bouts

Guida builds (+8% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Guida lifts to 117% of round-1 output by round 3 (24 bouts).

Guida ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Faded points are drawn from a single bout that reached that round, so they’re less reliable than the solid points averaged over many fights.

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Guidalanded / min

Takedown attempts

Guidaattempts / min

Control time

Guida% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	5.1	2.6	3.1	0.44	31%	37
R2	6.7	2.8	3.1	0.70	44%	30
R3	6.1	2.9	3.4	0.57	39%	24
R4	3.2	2.0	2.2	0.20	16%	1
R5	2.2	2.2	3.4	0.00	0%	1

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Clay Guida

37 resolved UFC bouts · 8 ranked at the time

Schedule Score

40/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

B

69th

41%

69th

Win quality

C

44th

38%

44th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

4

6

7

4

6

ChampionHeld the title in this weight class at the time
Top-5Ranked #1–#5 at the time
Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Cross-div rankedRanked #1–#15 in another division at the time
Long-tenured vet12+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.60 win rate
Contender-level8+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.55 win rate
Established5+ UFC wins entering the bout, ≥.500
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Champion	4	2-2	50%
Top-5	6	2-4	33%
Top-15	6	2-4	33%
Cross-div ranked	1	1-0	100%
Long-tenured vet	1	0-1	0%
Contender-level	2	0-2	0%
Established	7	2-5	29%
Building	4	3-1	75%
Unproven	6	6-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Chase Hooper	Contender-level	40	Dec 7, 2024
L	Joaquim Silva	Established	30	Dec 2, 2023
L	Rafa Garcia	Established	26	Apr 15, 2023
W	Scott Holtzman	Established	30	Dec 3, 2022
L	Claudio Puelles	Established	26	Apr 23, 2022
W	Leonardo Santos	Established	30	Dec 4, 2021
L	Mark Madsen	Building	15	Aug 21, 2021
W	Michael Johnson#10	Top-5	75	Feb 6, 2021
L	King Green#13	Top-15	64	Jun 20, 2020
L	Jim Miller#14	Top-5	74	Aug 3, 2019
W	BJ Penn	Building	22	May 11, 2019
L	Charles Oliveira	Champion	81	Jun 9, 2018
W	Joe Lauzon#15	Top-15	67	Nov 11, 2017
W	Erik Koch	Cross-div ranked	45	Jun 25, 2017
L	Brian Ortega#12	Top-5	81	Jun 4, 2016
L	Thiago Tavares	Top-15	55	Nov 7, 2015
W	Robert Peralta	Building	18	Apr 4, 2015
L	Dennis Bermudez#11	Top-15	72	Jul 26, 2014
W	Tatsuya Kawajiri#12	Top-15	65	Apr 11, 2014
L	Chad Mendes#1	Top-5	90	Aug 31, 2013
W	Hatsu Hioki	Unproven	12	Jan 26, 2013
L	Gray Maynard	Top-5	70	Jun 22, 2012
L	Benson Henderson	Champion	68	Nov 12, 2011
W	Anthony Pettis	Champion	68	Jun 4, 2011
W	Takanori Gomi	Unproven	8	Jan 1, 2011
W	Rafael Dos Anjos	Champion	71	Aug 7, 2010
W	Shannon Gugerty	Building	18	Mar 21, 2010
L	Kenny Florian	Long-tenured vet	55	Dec 12, 2009
L	Diego Sanchez	Top-15	56	Jun 20, 2009
W	Nate Diaz	Top-5	63	Jan 31, 2009
W	Mac Danzig	Unproven	8	Sep 17, 2008
W	Samy Schiavo	Unproven	8	Apr 2, 2008
L	Roger Huerta	Established	30	Dec 8, 2007
W	Marcus Aurelio	Unproven	8	Aug 25, 2007
L	Tyson Griffin	Contender-level	32	Jun 16, 2007
L	Din Thomas	Established	26	Jan 25, 2007
W	Justin James	Unproven	8	Oct 14, 2006

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

37 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

2-1

3 bouts

Typical camp

100–180 days

8-9

17 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

7-9

16 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

1-0

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

11-7

18 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

6-12

18 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

1-0

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

1y 7mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Clay Guida

Extended layoff

1y 7mosince last bout

vs Chase Hooper · Dec 7, 2024

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 9-1As underdog 7-15

59.7

DK avg

73.6

Median

99.0

Ceiling

7.4

Floor

43%

Boom

22%

Bust

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