Tom Watson Record, Stats & Next Fight

UFC fight history

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Event	Date
L	Chris Camozzi Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs. Saint Preux	Aug 8, 2015
L	Rafael Natal Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz	Jan 31, 2015
W	Sam Alvey Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Saint Preux	Aug 16, 2014
L	Nick Catone Middleweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC 169: Barao vs. Faber 2	Feb 1, 2014
L	Thales Leites Middleweight	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	UFC 163: Aldo vs. Jung	Aug 3, 2013
W	Stanislav Nedkov Middleweight	KO/TKO	Knee to Body In Clinch	R2	4:42	UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs. McDonald	Feb 16, 2013
L	Brad Tavares Middleweight	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs. Miocic	Sep 29, 2012

Outside the UFC

15-4across 19 bouts · 19 promotions · wins by 7 KO · 1 sub · 7 decBAMMA 9 · BAMMA 6 · BAMMA 4 · MFC 26 · BAMMA 3 +14

Res	Opponent	Outcome	Finish	Rd	Time	Promotion	Date
W	Jack Marshman23-10	KO/TKO	Elbows	R2	4:50	BAMMA 9	Mar 24, 2012
W	Murilo Rua20-13-1	KO/TKO	Head Kick and Punches	R3	2:06	BAMMA 6	May 21, 2011
W	Alex Reid10-10-1	Decision	Unanimous	R5	5:00	BAMMA 4	Sep 25, 2010
L	Jesse Taylor33-17	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	MFC 26	Sep 10, 2010
W	Matt Horwich30-25-1	Decision	Unanimous	R5	5:00	BAMMA 3	May 15, 2010
W	Travis Galbraith18-7	KO/TKO	Head Kick	R1	1:56	MFC 24	Feb 26, 2010
W	Denniston Sutherland23-13	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	UCMMA 8	Oct 24, 2009
W	John Maguire26-13	KO/TKO	Punches	R3	2:47	BAMMA 1	Jun 27, 2009
W	Daniel Cubitt3-6	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	1:57	UCMMA 1	Dec 6, 2008
W	Lloyd Clarkson8-9	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	AFC	Aug 9, 2008
W	John Phillips22-11	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Cage Rage 27	Jul 12, 2008
W	Pierre Guillet10-10-1	KO/TKO	Upkick	R1	2:05	Cage Rage 25	Mar 8, 2008
L	Mark Epstein14-11	Decision	Split	R3	5:00	Cage Rage 24	Dec 1, 2007
W	Ed Smith3-2	Decision	Unanimous	R3	5:00	Cage Rage 22	Jul 14, 2007
L	Xavier Foupa-Pokam32-22	Submission	Triangle Kimura	R2	2:27	Cage Rage 21	Apr 21, 2007
W	Dorlan O'Malley4-3	KO/TKO	Punches	R1	2:51	Cage Rage	Mar 3, 2007
L	Daijiro Matsui16-31-7	Submission	Armbar	R1	0:59	Cage Rage 20	Feb 10, 2007
W	Tulio Palhares4-17	Decision	—	R2	5:00	ZTFN 2	Jun 25, 2006
W	Michael Watson0-1	Submission	Guillotine Choke	R1	1:11	ZTFN 1	Feb 19, 2006

Non-UFC bouts (regional/other promotions) and Dana White’s Contender Series — shown for context only, excluded from Schedule Score, striking/grappling rates, and every UFC-scoped metric.

Method of victory & defeat

KO / TKO

8 wins, 0 losses

W8

L0

Submission

1 win, 2 losses

W1

L2

Decision

8 wins, 7 losses

W8

L7

Finishes

UFC KOs

1

Below avg · 15%Middleweight

Knockdowns / fight

0.14

Below avg · 0.24Middleweight

UFC submissions

0

Below avg · 8%Middleweight

Submission attempts / fight

0.00

Below avg · 0.39Middleweight

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability (UFC; clean KOs only).

Tom Watson

PowerChin

Knockout rate

14%

1 KO/TKO wins

Knockdowns dealt

1

0.56 per 100 head

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.00 per 100 head

Chin gauges use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Never finished by strikes · Never submittedin the UFC

Decision behavior

Judging

6 scorecards on file

Tom Watson

Scorecard luck

Wrong end of the cards

Won just 0 of 2 coin-flip decisions — repeatedly on the wrong end of close calls. Judges have given them 0 of 4 rounds they disagreed on (0%).

Coin-flip decisions

Split + majority

0–2

Won – Lost

Swing rounds

Judges disagreed

0–4

Won – Lost

0% went their way

Unanimous4 decisions · 67%

1W3L

Split2 decisions · 33%

2L

Majority

None

10-8 rounds

2 rounds total

0

Won

2

Lost

Most frequent judges

All judges →

Scorecard data ingested from MMA Decisions

Career striking

OverallC49th

44%400 / 902

Striking accuracy

50%

Striking defense

Sig. strikes / min-0.40 differential

Landed4.01

Absorbed4.41

47%str + td

Defensive rating

Striking edge

-6%accuracy vs opp. landing

worseevenbetter

Strike maps

Sig. strikes by target

Head45%53rd180
Body22%72nd88
Leg33%93rd132

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Sig. strikes by position

72%Standing

Standing72%288
Clinch26%105
Ground2%7

Striking zones

Per-15-minute breakdown — where this fighter lands, and where they get hit.

UFC only

Tom Watson

Landed per 15

Head

C

51st

27.1

51st

Body

A

78th

13.2

78th

Leg

A+

97th

19.9

97th

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Absorbed per 15

Head

F

9th

49.6

9th

Body

C

48th

8.7

48th

Leg

C

43rd

7.8

43rd

Ranks are division percentiles — e.g. 90th = top 10% of the weight class. Higher is always better: on “absorbed” rows the rank is inverted, so a high rank means they get hit less.

Career totals — landed / attempted

Landed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	27.1	180	594	30%
Body	13.2	88	152	58%
Leg	19.9	132	156	85%

Absorbed (career total)

Zone	Per 15	Landed	Attempted	Accuracy
Head	49.6	330	745	44%
Body	8.7	58	82	71%
Leg	7.8	52	56	93%

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Percentiles vs the division; absorbed is inverted so higher is better.

Grappling

Per-15-minute breakdown of takedowns, submissions, and ground control.

UFC only

Tom Watson

7%

Takedown accuracy

44%

Takedown defense

Control / 15 min-3.1 min net

On top1.5

On bottom4.6

Offense

Takedowns

D

30th

0.2

30th

TD accuracy

F

15th

7%

15th

Sub attempts

D

40th

0.0

40th

Control

D

34th

1.5 min

34th

Defense

TD defense

D

26th

44%

26th

Controlled

4.6 min

Career totals — landed / attempted, control time

Offense

Takedowns	1 / 14
Submission attempts	0
Control time	10:03

Defense

TDs defended	24 / 55
Control absorbed	30:38

Rates above are per 15 minutes of UFC fight time (100min total). Value colors reflect the per-15 rate’s percentile against the current weight class baseline; raw totals without a division reference stay neutral.

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Tom Watson

7 UFC bouts (per‑round) · 100 min

105%

R3 pace · 6 bouts

Watson holds steady (-2% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Watson lifts to 105% of round-1 output by round 3 (6 bouts).

Watson — HOLDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs — splitting them out shows whether the work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control, and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Watsonlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Watsonattempts / min

Control time

Watson% of round

Round	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	4.6	3.8	4.7	0.09	12%	7
R2	5.5	4.6	3.9	0.14	13%	7
R3	4.4	3.6	4.6	0.20	5%	6

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked across the UFC. Recent fights weighted heavier.

UFC only

Tom Watson

7 resolved UFC bouts

Schedule Score

36/ 100

0255075100

Schedule strength

C

58th

35%

58th

Win quality

F

18th

28%

18th

Opponent quality distribution

Every UFC bout, grouped by who the opponent was at the time.

4

2

1

Top-15Ranked #6–#15 at the time
Building3+ UFC fights, ≥.40 win rate
UnprovenFewer than 3 fights, or sub-.40 win rate

Tier	Bouts	Record	Win rate
Top-15	4	1-3	25%
Building	2	0-2	0%
Unproven	1	1-0	100%

Highest-quality opponents

Toughest opponents on the scheduleScore, scored at the time of the fight.

All bouts — opponent quality bout-by-bout

Res	Opponent	Tier	Score	Date
L	Chris Camozzi	Building	18	Aug 8, 2015
L	Rafael Natal	Top-15	53	Jan 31, 2015
W	Sam Alvey	Top-15	44	Aug 16, 2014
L	Nick Catone	Building	18	Feb 1, 2014
L	Thales Leites	Top-15	56	Aug 3, 2013
W	Stanislav Nedkov	Unproven	8	Feb 16, 2013
L	Brad Tavares	Top-15	53	Sep 29, 2012

Per-bout quality scoring: champion = 100; same-division ranks 1–5 = 90 → 78 linear; ranks 6–15 = 75 → 60 linear; cross-division champion = 78; cross-division ranked = 45; title-fight challenger (no rank signal) = 50, bumped to 65 when opp had an elite career UFC record at the time. Unranked opponents are scored on UFC record-at-time (long-tenured vet 60, contender-level 45, established 30, building 18, unproven 8). P4P top-10 at time adds +5; top-3 adds +8 (capped at 100). The Schedule Score combines schedule strength (65%) and quality wins (35%), then is held toward a rookie baseline for fighters with limited UFC experience so a thin résumé reads honestly low.

Career cohorts

7 resolved UFC bouts

Performance broken down by situation — camp length, response to the previous result, title-fight presence, and rematches. Computed across every completed UFC bout.

Camp length

Days between fights

Short turnaround

< 100 days

—

Typical camp

100–180 days

1-2

3 bouts

Long layoff

> 180 days

1-2

3 bouts

UFC debut

first UFC bout

0-1

1 bout

Post-result bounce

Performance based on the previous UFC result

After a loss

next bout after a defeat

2-2

4 bouts

After a win

next bout after a win

0-2

2 bouts

First UFC bout

no precedent

0-1

1 bout

Title fights

Performance with a belt on the line

All title fights

as challenger or champion

—

As champion

defending the belt

—

As challenger

fighting for the belt

—

Rematches

Performance when meeting an opponent again

All rematches

any second meeting

—

Revenge bouts

lost the first meeting

—

Encore bouts

won the first meeting

—

Activity & layoff

Last fight, activity, and divisional context.

Time since last UFC bout

10y 11mo

Active

0–6 mo

Normal

6–12 mo

Layoff

12–18 mo

Extended

18+ mo

Tom Watson

Extended layoff

10y 11mosince last bout

vs Chris Camozzi · Aug 8, 2015

DraftKings fantasy scoring

DFSAs favorite 2-1As underdog 0-4

43.5

DK avg

29.4

Median

66.8

Ceiling

16.1

Floor

14%

Boom

29%

Bust

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