Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton Talbott Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Deiveson Figueiredo

edge

Payton Talbott

Striking

Talbott ▸

Talbott out-strikes Figueiredo

Effective offense

C

51st

1.4

+46

A+

97th

3.7

Defense

D

40th

49%

Even

D

36th

46%

KO power

C

9 KO

0.5 KD

Even

C

7 KO

0.5 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Talbott ▸

Talbott has the bigger wrestling edge on Figueiredo

Takedowns landed

B

61st

1.6

+17

C

44th

1.0

Takedown accuracy

C

48th

35%

+17

B

66th

50%

Takedown defense

C

43rd

57%

+24

B

67th

72%

Control time

C

48th

2.3 min

+14

B

62nd

3.3 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Figueiredo

Figueiredo is the bigger submission threat on Talbott

Submission attempts

A

83rd

1.2

+37

C

47th

0.2

Sub win rate

A

78th

36%

9 subs

+19

B

59th

9%

1 sub

Submission defense

D

38th

6%

Even

D

41st

0%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

Even

Both finishing threats

Finish rate

B

64th

57%

Even

B

64th

60%

KO durability

C

50th

0%

Even

C

50th

0%

Submission defense

D

34th

10%

Even

D

41st

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Talbott ▸

Talbott pushes the higher work rate over five rounds — Talbott's pace builds late

Work rate / min — full fight

4.3

7.3

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

4.2

6.9

Pace trend

+3%/rd

+13%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

Talbott ▸

Talbott is in better recent form than Figueiredo

Win rate (career)

67%

83%

After a win

64%

75%

Last 5

20%

80%

Win streakL2W2

See full Form →

Schedule

◂ Figueiredo

Figueiredo has faced the tougher schedule vs Talbott

Schedule strength

82%

38%

Win quality

63%

60%

Ranked opponents

19

2

Title-holder bouts

1

0

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Figueiredo

Figueiredo is fresher and more active than Talbott

Last bout

3mo

9mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

3

1

Bouts, last 24 mo

5

3

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

Talbott ▸

Talbott 2" reach · Talbott 13 cm · Talbott 10y younger · Switch-stance wrinkle

Deiveson FigueiredovsPayton Talbott

38

Age

10y

younger

28

5'5"

165cm

Height

5"

taller

5'10"

178cm

68"

173cm

Reach

2"

reach

71"

179cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

On the bubbleDeiveson Figueiredo 18% cut risk · 2-fight skid

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Deiveson FigueiredoPayton Talbott

Percentile

Striking/min2.636.62

Accuracy%53%56%

Defense%49%46%

Takedowns/151.60.8

TD defense%57%77%

Submissions/151.20.2

Career rate as a percentile within the bantamweight (244 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Deiveson Figueiredo

Payton Talbott

19%

+415

MMA Index model

Unlock

81%

-550

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

FigueiredoDeiveson Figueiredo

TalbottPayton Talbott

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

FigueiredoDeiveson Figueiredo

Stat

TalbottPayton Talbott

4

2

KO / TKO

2

0

4

2

Submission

1

0

6

3

Decision

2

1

12:08

Avg fight time

10:16

Deiveson Figueiredo’s splits

vs Talbott

vs Orthodox

7-558%

vs Southpaw

4-0100%

vs Shorter reach

8-373%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Payton Talbott’s splits

vs Figueiredo

vs Southpaw

2-0100%

vs Switch

0-0no data

vs Longer reach

1-0100%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Deiveson FigueiredovsPayton Talbott

38

Age

10y

younger

28

5'5"

165cm

Height

5"

taller

5'10"

178cm

68"

173cm

Reach

2"

reach

71"

179cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

C

48th

+14

B

62nd

Talbott has the striking edge (+14).

Attacking

Figueiredo’s offensevsTalbott’s defense

Where Figueiredo attacks (green = high volume) vs where Talbott gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Figueiredo’s green zones meeting Talbott’s red zones are the openings.

Deiveson FigueiredoOffense

Head60%35th431
Body28%57th202
Leg12%31st85

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Payton TalbottDefense

Head68%49th126
Body16%60th30
Leg16%53rd29

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Figueiredo — by position

76%Standing

Standing76%544
Clinch7%52
Ground17%122

Talbott — absorbed by position

68%Standing

Standing68%126
Clinch9%16
Ground23%43

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Figueiredo’s offensevsTalbott’s defense

Head

D

35th

24.3

+14

C

49th

33.2

Body

C

57th

10.8

Even

B

60th

9.1

Leg

D

31st

5.1

+22

C

53rd

7.9

Talbott’s offensevsFigueiredo’s defense

Head

A+

90th

50.1

+42

C

48th

33.8

Body

A

77th

14.6

+12

B

65th

8.6

Leg

C

54th

7.6

+15

D

38th

9.9

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Deiveson Figueiredo	below division average24.3	45%	around division average33.8	431
Head	Payton Talbott	top 10% of division50.1	53%	around division average33.2	262
Body	Deiveson Figueiredo	above division average10.8	75%	above division average8.6	202
Body	Payton Talbott	top 23% of division14.6	84%	above division average9.1	71
Leg	Deiveson Figueiredo	below division average5.1	79%	below division average9.9	85
Leg	Payton Talbott	around division average7.6	94%	around division average7.9	29

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Deiveson Figueiredo

Payton Talbott

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

57th

Even

B

60th

Evenly matched grappling — no clear edge either way.

Takedowns

B

61st

1.6

+10

C

51st

1.0

Takedown accuracy

C

48th

35%

30/86

+17

B

66th

50%

4/8

Takedown defense

C

43rd

57%

40/70

+24

B

67th

72%

36/50

Submission threat

A

83rd

1.2

+26

C

56th

0.2

Control time

C

48th

2.3 min

+11

B

59th

3.3 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Deiveson Figueiredo	Payton Talbott
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	1.630	1.04
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	35%30 / 86	50%4 / 8
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	57%40 / 70	72%36 / 50
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	1.222	0.21
Control time / 15 (min)career total	2.3 min43:48	3.3 min13:41
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	2.6 min47:48	5.2 min21:31

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Deiveson Figueiredo

85

Schedule Score

Payton Talbott

46

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

280 min

22 bouts

Octagon time

218 min

more

62 min

6 bouts

Schedule strength

82%

38%

Win quality

63%

60%

Ranked opponents

19

2

Title-holder bouts

1

0

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Deiveson Figueiredo	Payton Talbott
Champion	3-3-1	1-0
Top-5	7-4	—
Ranked 6–15	2-0	0-1
Building	2-0	2-0
Unproven	—	2-0

Deiveson Figueiredo — bouts

Payton Talbott — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Deiveson Figueiredo

Payton Talbott

Figueiredo — last 5

recent → old

Talbott — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

1-4

4-1

Current streak

L2

W2

Ranked opps

5 of 5

2 of 5

Layoff

3 mo

9 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Deiveson Figueiredo

Payton Talbott

Post-result bounce

SituationFigueiredo Talbott

After a loss

4-267%

1-0100%

After a win

9-469%

3-175%

Camp length

SituationFigueiredo Talbott

Short turnaround< 100 days

2-0100%

1-0100%

Typical camp100–180 days

8-467%

3-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

3-350%

0-10%

Title fights

SituationFigueiredo Talbott

All title fightschallenger or champ

3-260%

—

As championbelt defenses

1-233%

—

As challengerfor the belt

2-0100%

—

Rematches

SituationFigueiredo Talbott

All rematchesany repeat opponent

2-167%

—

Revenge boutslost the first

1-150%

—

Encore boutswon the first

1-0100%

—

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Deiveson Figueiredo

Payton Talbott

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Figueiredo18W–4L by finish · 61% in round 1

R1

R2

R3

Talbott8W–0L by finish

R1

R2

R3

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

Even

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

Even

C

50th

72%

Even

C

50th

73%

Goes the distance

Both finishers

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Both finishers

31%

33%

KO durability

↑6%·Talbott

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

↑6%·Talbott

B

60th

6%

+8

B

68th

0%

Submission defense

↑6%·Talbott

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

↑6%·Talbott

B

60th

6%

Even

B

67th

0%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Deiveson Figueiredo	Payton Talbott
Wins
by KO / TKO	9(36%)	7(64%)
by submission	9(36%)	1(9%)
by decision	7(28%)	3(27%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	2(29%)	0(0%)
by submission	2(29%)	0(0%)
by decision	3(43%)	1(100%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Deiveson Figueiredo

vs

Payton Talbott

18%

4 KO/TKO in 22 bouts

Knockout rate

29%

2 KO/TKO in 7 bouts

12

2.8 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

3

1.1 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

1

0.2 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

0

0.0 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Deiveson FigueiredoFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Cory Sandhagen1y 3mo ago
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 3, 2025 · R2 · 4:08
* injury · not a clean KO
Last time submitted
vs Song Yadong2 months ago
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · May 30, 2026 · R2 · 4:42

Payton TalbottFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Deiveson Figueiredo

105%

R3 vs R1 · 12 bouts reaching R3

Payton Talbott

203%

R3 vs R1 · 4 bouts reaching R3

Cardio edge to Talbott: Talbott builds (+13% per round through round 3) while Figueiredo fades (-4% per round through round 3). Within fights that reached round 3, Figueiredo lifts to 105% of round-1 output by round 3, Talbott 203%.

Figueiredo ▼ FADES

Talbott ▲ BUILDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Figueiredo

Talbottlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Figueiredo

Talbottattempts / min

Control time

Figueiredo

Talbott% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.9	2.1	3.2	0.33	20%	22
R1	Payton Talbott	6.1	5.1	2.8	0.16	14%	6
R2	Deiveson Figueiredo	4.5	2.7	3.5	0.35	19%	19
R2	Payton Talbott	7.7	6.4	2.4	0.05	28%	5
R3	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.6	2.6	3.1	0.23	8%	12
R3	Payton Talbott	8.0	6.4	4.1	0.19	27%	4
R4	Deiveson Figueiredo	5.7	4.5	5.7	0.27	10%	3
R4	Payton Talbott	—	—	—	—	—	—
R5	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.9	3.3	4.4	0.20	1%	3
R5	Payton Talbott	—	—	—	—	—	—

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.