Proprietary metrics · Upset Index
Upset Index
The giant-killers board — how often a fighter WINS as the betting underdog (positive pre-fight moneyline), across their UFC career. Underdog win rate shrunk toward the corpus mean (~33%) so small samples stay honest, scaled 0–100. Min 5 underdog bouts.
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16 fighters · / 100- 1
Lauren Murphy5-4 as underdog · 56%48.6 - 2
Luana Carolina4-3 as underdog · 57%48.3 - 3
Jasmine Jasudavicius3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 4
Joanne Wood3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 5
JJ Aldrich3-2 as underdog · 60%47.9 - 6
Jennifer Maia4-4 as underdog · 50%44.3 - 7
Viviane Araujo3-4 as underdog · 43%39.2 - 8
Katlyn Cerminara3-4 as underdog · 43%39.2 - 9
Veronica Hardy2-3 as underdog · 40%36.8 - 10
Jessica Eye3-5 as underdog · 38%35.9 - 11
Priscila Cachoeira3-5 as underdog · 38%35.9 - 12
Roxanne Modafferi4-7 as underdog · 36%35.4 - 13
Ariane da Silva3-6 as underdog · 33%33.2 - 14
Andrea Lee2-4 as underdog · 33%33.1 - 15
Mara Romero Borella2-4 as underdog · 33%33.1 - 16
Montana De La Rosa1-4 as underdog · 20%25.7