Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman Stats & Odds

Matchup read

Where each fighter holds an edge — offense against the opponent's defense.

Dricus Du Plessis

edge

Kamaru Usman

Striking

Even

Even striking exchange

Effective offense

A+

91st

2.5

Even

A

84th

2.1

Defense

D

37th

52%

+26

B

64th

55%

KO power

B

9 KO

0.4 KD

+10

C

9 KO

0.5 KD

See full Striking →

Wrestling

Usman ▸

Usman has the bigger wrestling edge on Plessis

Takedowns landed

A

78th

2.2

Even

A

84th

2.8

Takedown accuracy

A

76th

51%

+13

B

63rd

44%

Takedown defense

F

21st

35%

+69

A+

90th

90%

Control time

D

30th

1.8 min

+62

A+

92nd

6.5 min

See full Grappling →

Submission

◂ Plessis

Plessis is the bigger submission threat on Usman

Submission attempts

B

65th

0.7

+28

D

37th

0.1

Sub win rate

A

76th

48%

11 subs

+22

C

54th

5%

1 sub

Submission defense

C

44th

4%

Even

C

44th

4%

See full Grappling →

Finishing

◂ Plessis

Plessis is more likely to finish Usman

Finish rate

C

49th

67%

+22

D

27th

31%

KO durability

A

71st

0%

Even

B

69th

5%

Submission defense

C

46th

0%

Even

C

46th

0%

See full Finishes →

Pace

Usman ▸

Usman pushes the higher work rate over five rounds

Work rate / min — full fight

6.4

7.2

Work rate / min — rounds 1–2

6.7

Even

6.8

Pace trend

-2%/rd

+2%/rd

See full Pace →

Form

◂ Plessis

Plessis is in better recent form than Usman

Win rate (career)

90%

84%

After a win

89%

93%

Last 5

80%

40%

Win streakL1W1

See full Form →

Schedule

Even

Comparable level of opposition

Schedule strength

83%

79%

Win quality

100%

85%

Ranked opponents

8

11

Title-holder bouts

1

2

Common opps (2)2-11-1

See full Schedule →

Activity

◂ Plessis

Plessis is fresher and more active than Usman

Last bout

11mo

13mo

Bouts, last 12 mo

1

0

Bouts, last 24 mo

3

1

See full Activity →

Tale of the tape

◂ Plessis

Plessis 3 cm · Plessis 7y younger · Switch-stance wrinkle

Dricus Du PlessisvsKamaru Usman

32

Age

7y

younger

39

6'1"

185cm

Height

1"

taller

6'0"

183cm

76"

193cm

Reach

Even

76"

193cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

See full Tale of the tape →

Core metrics

Each fighter's career rates as a division percentile.

Dricus Du PlessisKamaru Usman

Percentile

Striking/min5.184.16

Accuracy%48%51%

Defense%52%55%

Takedowns/152.22.8

TD defense%34%89%

Submissions/150.70.1

Career rate as a percentile within the middleweight (353 fighters) — further right is better. Descriptive research, not a prediction.

Markets

Moneyline

Implied

Dricus Du Plessis

Kamaru Usman

70%

-265

MMA Index model

Unlock

30%

+225

MMA Index model

Unlock

UFC betting history

Career

PlessisDricus Du Plessis

UsmanKamaru Usman

3-0100%

As pick'em

—

Notes

Sportsbook percentages are vig-free implied probabilities derived from the American odds — each market is normalised to sum to 100%.

UFC betting history is each fighter’s record when favored vs. an underdog, across their priced UFC bouts. Pick’em = closing consensus within ~2 points of even — too close to call a true favorite.

Career splits

PlessisDricus Du Plessis

Stat

UsmanKamaru Usman

4

0

KO / TKO

4

1

2

0

Submission

1

0

3

1

Decision

11

2

14:53

Avg fight time

17:50

Dricus Du Plessis’s splits

vs Usman

vs Orthodox

6-186%

vs Southpaw

2-0100%

vs Longer reach

2-0100%

vs Shorter reach

5-183%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Kamaru Usman’s splits

vs Plessis

vs Orthodox

9-190%

vs Southpaw

5-271%

vs Longer reach

0-0no data

vs Shorter reach

14-382%

Highlighted row matches this opponent’s profile — tap it to see who it counts.

Tale of the Tape

The biometric deltas where one side genuinely has an edge.

Dricus Du PlessisvsKamaru Usman

32

Age

7y

younger

39

6'1"

185cm

Height

1"

taller

6'0"

183cm

76"

193cm

Reach

Even

76"

193cm

Edge sizeSlightNotableMajor

Striking matchup

Each fighter's offense against the other's defense, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Overall Striking

Striking

B

62nd

Even

B

65th

Evenly matched striking — no clear edge either way.

Attacking

Plessis’s offensevsUsman’s defense

Where Plessis attacks (green = high volume) vs where Usman gets hit (red = vulnerable) — Plessis’s green zones meeting Usman’s red zones are the openings.

Dricus Du PlessisOffense

Head59%83rd457
Body18%77th137
Leg23%92nd176

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share of strikes

Kamaru UsmanDefense

Head55%71st498
Body26%36th239
Leg18%46th167

Color = division rank · green elite → red low · % = share absorbed · partly opponent-dependent

Plessis — by position

82%Standing

Standing82%635
Clinch8%61
Ground10%74

Usman — absorbed by position

82%Standing

Standing82%741
Clinch13%119
Ground5%44

Each lane: the attacker’s strike rate (offense) vs the other’s rate absorbed (defense), graded on the division. The bar leans toward whoever wins the exchange — longer + greener = a bigger, higher-quality edge.

Plessis’s offensevsUsman’s defense

Head

A

83rd

42.1

+12

A

71st

23.2

Body

A

77th

12.9

+42

D

36th

10.5

Leg

A+

92nd

15.3

+46

C

46th

7.4

Usman’s offensevsPlessis’s defense

Head

A

79th

38.4

+63

F

15th

44.8

Body

A+

89th

16.9

+57

D

32nd

10.9

Leg

D

39th

5.2

+21

B

60th

5.5

Full breakdown — all zones, both views

Zone	Fighter	Landed / 15	Accuracy	Absorbed / 15	Career landed
Head	Dricus Du Plessis	top 17% of division42.1	39%	well below average44.8	457
Head	Kamaru Usman	top 21% of division38.4	43%	top 29% of division23.2	896
Body	Dricus Du Plessis	top 23% of division12.9	77%	below division average10.9	137
Body	Kamaru Usman	top 11% of division16.9	79%	below division average10.5	404
Leg	Dricus Du Plessis	top 8% of division15.3	77%	above division average5.5	176
Leg	Kamaru Usman	below division average5.2	87%	around division average7.4	111

Per-15-minute rates are sourced from UFCStats fight totals across each fighter’s UFC career. Division percentile is computed against every UFC fighter who has competed in this weight class with at least two recorded bouts. Lower “absorbed” values are better — the percentile is inverted so “top of division” always means better outcome.

Grappling matchup

Takedowns, submission threat, and control, per 15 minutes.

UFC only

Dricus Du Plessis

Kamaru Usman

Overall Grappling

Grappling

C

54th

+19

A

73rd

Usman has the grappling edge (+19).

Takedowns

A

73rd

2.2

+10

A

83rd

2.8

Takedown accuracy

A

76th

51%

22/43

+13

B

63rd

44%

63/143

Takedown defense

F

21st

35%

8/23

+69

A+

90th

90%

44/49

Submission threat

B

66th

0.7

+27

D

39th

0.1

Control time

D

36th

1.8 min

+55

A+

91st

6.5 min

Full breakdown — career grappling totals

Metric	Dricus Du Plessis	Kamaru Usman
Takedowns landed / 15career takedowns	2.222	2.863
Takedown accuracycareer landed / attempted	51%22 / 43	44%63 / 143
Takedown defensecareer stopped / faced	35%8 / 23	90%44 / 49
Submission attempts / 15career attempts	0.77	0.12
Control time / 15 (min)career total	1.8 min17:34	6.5 min146:50
Time controlled by opponent / 15 (min)career total	2.8 min27:18	0.7 min15:08

UFCStats career rates, per 15 minutes. Takedown defense = stops ÷ attempts. Under 8 attempts shown ungraded.

Common opponents

Every UFC opponent both fighters have faced — a direct comparison controlling for matchmaking.

Dricus Du Plessis

Kamaru Usman

Record vs common opponents

Edge · Plessis

2-1

2-1

1-1

1-1

Both lost

Decision (Unanimous)R5· 5:00

Decision (Majority)R3· 5:00

Both won

Decision (Unanimous)R5· 5:00

opp ranked #1

Feb 8, 2025 W

Decision (Split)R5· 5:00

Decision (Unanimous)R3· 5:00

W

Schedule Score

Opponent quality, ranked against every UFC fighter (≥3 bouts).

UFC only

Dricus Du Plessis

96

Schedule Score

Kamaru Usman

92

Schedule Score

UFC experienceTotal octagon time + bouts

149 min

10 bouts

Octagon time

190 min

more

339 min

19 bouts

Schedule strength

83%

79%

Win quality

100%

85%

Ranked opponents

8

11

Title-holder bouts

1

2

Per-tier records + bout-by-bout

Per-tier records

Tier	Dricus Du Plessis	Kamaru Usman
Champion	4-1	2-3
Top-5	2-0	7-0
Top-15	1-0	1-0
Cross-div champ	—	1-0
Title-fight challenger	—	1-0
Contender-level	—	1-0
Established	1-0	1-0
Unproven	1-0	2-0

Dricus Du Plessis — bouts

Kamaru Usman — bouts

0–100 ratings. Schedule strength = average opponent quality faced; Win quality = quality of opponents beaten. Composite = 65% schedule + 35% wins, scored on rank-at-time-of-fight.

Recent form

Last five pro bouts and recent opposition.

Dricus Du Plessis

Kamaru Usman

Plessis — last 5

recent → old

Usman — last 5

recent → old

Last 5 record

4-1

2-3

Current streak

L1

W1

Ranked opps

5 of 5

4 of 5

Layoff

11 mo

13 mo

Career cohorts

Each fighter’s record by situation, over every completed UFC bout. Read down a fighter’s column; bold marks the better win rate (3+ bouts).

Dricus Du Plessis

Kamaru Usman

Title fights

SituationPlessis Usman

All title fightschallenger or champ

3-175%

7-278%

As championbelt defenses

2-167%

6-186%

As challengerfor the belt

1-0100%

1-150%

Post-result bounce

SituationPlessis Usman

After a loss

—

1-233%

After a win

8-189%

14-193%

Camp length

SituationPlessis Usman

Short turnaround< 100 days

1-0100%

2-0100%

Typical camp100–180 days

3-0100%

6-0100%

Long layoff> 180 days

4-180%

7-370%

Rematches

SituationPlessis Usman

All rematchesany repeat opponent

1-0100%

2-250%

Encore boutswon the first

1-0100%

2-250%

Finishing & durability

How fights end for each — finish rate and durability.

Dricus Du Plessis

Kamaru Usman

When their fights end

every pro finish on the fight clock

Plessis20W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

R4

R5

Usman10W–2L by finish

R1

R2

R3

R4

R5

0:00

5:00

10:00

15:00

20:00

25:00

Win(above)Loss(below)KO / TKOSubmissionPosition = when the fight ended

Finish & durability rates

Full professional career

Finish rate

↑39%·Plessis

percent of wins ending by KO or submission

↑39%·Plessis

B

66th

87%

+58

F

8th

48%

Goes the distance

Even

percent of resolved bouts going to a decision (style read, not quality)

Even

15%

52%

KO durability

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending in a KO/TKO loss

Even

A

76th

4%

Even

A

76th

4%

Submission defense

Even

percent of resolved bouts ending by submission loss

Even

C

58th

4%

Even

C

57th

4%

Full method breakdown

Outcome	Dricus Du Plessis	Kamaru Usman
Wins
by KO / TKO	9(39%)	9(43%)
by submission	11(48%)	1(5%)
by decision	3(13%)	11(52%)
Losses
by KO / TKO	1(33%)	1(25%)
by submission	1(33%)	1(25%)
by decision	1(33%)	2(50%)

Full professional career method splits, graded against the full-pro division distribution. Career KO losses are the total — clean knockouts and cut/injury stoppages can’t be separated outside the UFC corpus. Finish-time pace is UFC-only.

KO history

Knockout power and chin durability, head-to-head (UFC).

Dricus Du Plessis

vs

Kamaru Usman

40%

4 KO/TKO in 10 bouts

Knockout rate

21%

4 KO/TKO in 19 bouts

4

0.9 / 100 head

Knockdowns dealt

10

1.1 / 100 head

0

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

Clean KO losses

1

cuts / injury TKOs excluded

0

0.0 / 100 head

Knockdowns absorbed

1

0.2 / 100 head

Chin bars use a league scale: green = clean record, red = bottom ~10% of UFC fighters (4+ KO losses · 6+ knockdowns absorbed).

Dricus Du PlessisFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
Never finished by strikes in the UFC
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Kamaru UsmanFinish timeline

Last time KO'd
vs Leon Edwards3y 10mo ago
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · Aug 20, 2022 · R5 · 4:04
Last time submitted
Never submitted in the UFC

Pace & fade

Round-by-round work rate, and whether they fade.

UFC only

Dricus Du Plessis

103%

R3 vs R1 · 6 bouts reaching R3

Kamaru Usman

120%

R3 vs R1 · 16 bouts reaching R3

Both lean the same way, but Usman leans harder: Usman holds steady (+2% per round through round 5), Plessis holds steady (-2% per round through round 5). Within fights that reached round 3, Plessis sustains 103% of round-1 output by round 3, Usman 120%.

Plessis — HOLDS

Usman — HOLDSOutput / min

Rounds backed by fewer than 2 bouts are drawn smaller and dimmed with an n= count — a deep round seen in one or two fights is a thin sample, not a settled rate. Per-round bout counts are in the breakdown below.

Full per-round breakdown — both fighters

What drives the pace · per round

The composite output line above blends these three inputs. Splitting them out shows whether a fighter’s work rate is built on striking volume, takedown pressure, or top control — and which input fades.

Sig. strikes landed

Plessis

Usmanlanded / min

Takedown attempts

Plessis

Usmanattempts / min

Control time

Plessis

Usman% of round

Round	Fighter	Output / min	Sig landed / min	Sig absorbed / min	TD att / min	Control	Bouts
R1	Dricus Du Plessis	6.3	4.4	2.8	0.37	19%	10
R1	Kamaru Usman	6.5	3.2	2.6	0.52	44%	19
R2	Dricus Du Plessis	7.2	5.8	4.1	0.28	15%	9
R2	Kamaru Usman	7.2	4.6	2.9	0.30	42%	18
R3	Dricus Du Plessis	6.7	6.3	5.9	0.11	1%	6
R3	Kamaru Usman	7.7	4.5	2.2	0.44	46%	16
R4	Dricus Du Plessis	5.5	4.1	4.8	0.38	8%	4
R4	Kamaru Usman	7.5	4.8	3.0	0.36	40%	9
R5	Dricus Du Plessis	6.4	5.4	6.2	0.27	6%	3
R5	Kamaru Usman	7.2	4.0	2.7	0.49	44%	9

Output / minis the headline work rate — significant strikes landed, plus 3 per takedown attempt, plus one per 15 seconds of control — so a takedown-and-grind round isn’t scored as idle the way bare striking volume would. The remaining columns are its components. Per-round rates use UFCStats per-round data (available for ~95% of bouts since 2008). Each round’s rates are averaged only over bouts that reached that round, so the bout count shrinks as rounds deepen. The final round of a finished fight is pro-rated by its actual length — a 2:30 stoppage counts as 2.5 minutes, not five — so an early finish doesn’t distort the per-minute pace.